Andry Arias
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROKGCL Nationals | 134 | .195/.321/.310 | 3 | 7 | 14 | — | .117/.209/.183 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROKWSH | 166 | .259/.354/.434 | 5 | 2 | 40 | — | .160/.232/.260 |
| 2022 | 22 | AWSH | 200 | .207/.307/.333 | 3 | 2 | 38 | — | .166/.241/.265 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Nationals | — | 264 | 226 | 61 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 270 | 365 | 412 | 777 | 142 | 324 | 18 | 11 | 345 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Nationals | — | 134 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 195 | 321 | 310 | 631 | 115 | 268 | 29 | 14 | 296 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 166 | 143 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 259 | 354 | 434 | 787 | 175 | 320 | 24 | 10 | 349 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 200 | 174 | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 207 | 307 | 333 | 640 | 126 | 273 | 26 | 12 | 292 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 264 | 236 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 174 | 250 | 246 | 496 | 72 | 214 | 22 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 134 | 120 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 117 | 209 | 183 | 392 | 67 | 203 | 42 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 166 | 150 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 160 | 232 | 260 | 492 | 100 | 230 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 200 | 181 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 166 | 241 | 265 | 506 | 99 | 252 | 36 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 264 | 236 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 174 | 250 | 246 | 496 | 72 | 222 | 22 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Nationals | — | 264 | 226 | 61 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 270 | 365 | 412 | 777 | 142 | 324 | 18 | 11 | 345 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 134 | 120 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 117 | 209 | 183 | 392 | 67 | 194 | 42 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Nationals | — | 134 | 113 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 195 | 321 | 310 | 631 | 115 | 268 | 29 | 14 | 296 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 166 | 150 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 160 | 232 | 260 | 492 | 100 | 231 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Nationals | — | 166 | 143 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 259 | 354 | 434 | 787 | 175 | 320 | 24 | 10 | 349 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 200 | 181 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 166 | 241 | 265 | 506 | 99 | 259 | 36 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 200 | 174 | 36 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 207 | 307 | 333 | 640 | 126 | 273 | 26 | 12 | 292 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Nationals | — | 264 | 238 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 172 | 250 | 244 | 494 | 71 | 214 | 22 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Nationals | — | 134 | 119 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 118 | 209 | 185 | 394 | 67 | 203 | 42 | 9 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 166 | 151 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 159 | 232 | 258 | 490 | 99 | 230 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 200 | 180 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 167 | 241 | 267 | 508 | 100 | 252 | 36 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 764 | 687 | 109 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56 | 245 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 159 | 236 | 243 | 480 | 84 | 229 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | -59 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +17 | -4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 93 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 208 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 159 | 238 | 245 | 482 | 86 | 229 | 32 | 7 | 220 | 35 | -50 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -4.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AFredericksburg Nationals · 200 PAwOBA .286 → .224 (−62)K% 25.5% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.50% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | — | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.07% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | — | 3.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.25% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | — | 3.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.074 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 82, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .286 → .224; ISO .126 → .098; BABIP .273 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Nationals · 166 PAwOBA .344 → .228 (−117)K% 24.1% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.10% | ÷0.996 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.24% | ÷1.009 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.027 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 15.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.71% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 6.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.017 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .344 → .228; ISO .175 → .117; BABIP .320 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Nationals · 134 PAwOBA .289 → .189 (−100)K% 29.1% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 15.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .289 → .189; ISO .115 → .076; BABIP .268 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Nationals · 264 PAwOBA .338 → .227 (−110)K% 18.2% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 16.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.007 | ×1.008 | 2.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .338 → .227; ISO .142 → .083; BABIP .324 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).