Francisco Hernandez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+STL | 346 | .186/.267/.270 | 3 | 8 | 4 | — | .131/.194/.188 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+STL | 364 | .219/.330/.332 | 5 | 18 | 52 | — | .186/.271/.276 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+STL | 224 | .215/.268/.325 | 3 | 8 | 13 | — | .159/.196/.234 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 99 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 258 | 311 | 569 | 111 | 238 | 26 | 3 | 255 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals Red | — | 269 | 222 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 293 | 403 | 414 | 817 | 122 | 371 | 21 | 12 | 364 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 165 | 146 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 311 | 425 | 736 | 199 | 239 | 19 | 8 | 326 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 311 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 141 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 186 | 267 | 270 | 537 | 84 | 327 | 41 | 9 | 249 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 364 | 310 | 68 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 100 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 219 | 330 | 332 | 662 | 113 | 303 | 27 | 13 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 224 | 209 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 268 | 325 | 593 | 110 | 298 | 29 | 7 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 99 | 91 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 132 | 186 | 176 | 361 | 44 | 162 | 32 | 2 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Red | — | 269 | 233 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 176 | 270 | 232 | 502 | 56 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 165 | 151 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 152 | 220 | 285 | 504 | 132 | 175 | 27 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 320 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 190 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 131 | 194 | 188 | 382 | 56 | 306 | 55 | 6 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 364 | 323 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 119 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 186 | 271 | 276 | 547 | 90 | 273 | 33 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 224 | 214 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 159 | 196 | 234 | 430 | 75 | 249 | 38 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 99 | 91 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 132 | 186 | 176 | 361 | 44 | 183 | 32 | 2 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 99 | 90 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 200 | 258 | 311 | 569 | 111 | 238 | 26 | 3 | 255 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Red | — | 269 | 233 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 176 | 270 | 232 | 502 | 56 | 238 | 25 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals Red | — | 269 | 222 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 56 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 293 | 403 | 414 | 817 | 122 | 371 | 21 | 12 | 364 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 165 | 151 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 152 | 220 | 285 | 504 | 132 | 176 | 27 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 165 | 146 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 311 | 425 | 736 | 199 | 239 | 19 | 8 | 326 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 320 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 190 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 131 | 194 | 188 | 382 | 56 | 310 | 55 | 6 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 311 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 141 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 186 | 267 | 270 | 537 | 84 | 327 | 41 | 9 | 249 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 364 | 323 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 119 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 186 | 271 | 276 | 547 | 90 | 276 | 33 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 364 | 310 | 68 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 100 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 219 | 330 | 332 | 662 | 113 | 303 | 27 | 13 | 304 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 224 | 214 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 159 | 196 | 234 | 430 | 75 | 254 | 38 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 224 | 209 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 268 | 325 | 593 | 110 | 298 | 29 | 7 | 267 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 99 | 93 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 129 | 186 | 172 | 358 | 43 | 162 | 32 | 2 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals Red | — | 269 | 237 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 68 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 173 | 270 | 228 | 498 | 55 | 235 | 25 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 165 | 151 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 152 | 220 | 285 | 504 | 132 | 175 | 27 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 346 | 318 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 190 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 132 | 194 | 189 | 383 | 57 | 306 | 55 | 6 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 364 | 323 | 60 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 119 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 186 | 271 | 276 | 547 | 90 | 273 | 33 | 9 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 224 | 212 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 160 | 196 | 236 | 432 | 75 | 249 | 38 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1467 | 1332 | 212 | 41 | 7 | 15 | 98 | 540 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 159 | 230 | 234 | 464 | 75 | 250 | 37 | 7 | 210 | 28 | -126 | -2 | +0 | +5 | +32 | -9.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 94 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 239 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 159 | 230 | 236 | 465 | 76 | 249 | 37 | 7 | 210 | 28 | -56 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 A+Peoria Chiefs · 224 PAwOBA .260 → .188 (−73)K% 29.0% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.02% | ÷0.961 | ×1.270 | — | — | 38.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.70% | ÷1.065 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.53% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 18.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 4.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.093 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 106, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .260 → .188; ISO .110 → .077; BABIP .298 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Peoria Chiefs · 364 PAwOBA .299 → .245 (−54)K% 27.5% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.47% | ÷1.064 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.64% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 86, K 113, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .299 → .245; ISO .113 → .089; BABIP .303 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Peoria Chiefs · 346 PAwOBA .244 → .174 (−70)K% 40.8% → 55.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 55.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.96% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.12% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 23.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.47% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 5.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×1.012 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.39% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .244 → .174; ISO .084 → .053; BABIP .327 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Cardinals · 165 PAwOBA .319 → .222 (−98)K% 18.8% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 12.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .222; ISO .199 → .141; BABIP .239 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Cardinals Red · 269 PAwOBA .360 → .237 (−123)K% 20.8% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.82% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.97% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.972 | ×0.995 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×0.995 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×0.995 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.85% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .360 → .237; ISO .122 → .069; BABIP .371 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Cardinals · 99 PAwOBA .253 → .159 (−93)K% 26.3% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.04% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.027 | ×1.008 | 15.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.027 | ×1.008 | 0.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.027 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 2.22% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .253 → .159; ISO .111 → .053; BABIP .238 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).