Diosbel Arias

Pos1B
B/TR/R
Born1996-07-21
Age (2027)31
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLPROSPECT
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202428INTLSultanes de M…169.206/.268/.2651152—
202529INTLTomateros de …87.250/.400/.38210125—
202630INTLBravos de Mar…44.325/.372/.47510135—
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA
Speed81
Max EV72
Chase%50
BB%39
Z-Con%38
Whiff%29

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201721 ROKDSL Rangers 1 — 3231 13400 160 00 419438548986 129520 193 437 62 — — — — — —
201923 A+Down East Wood Ducks — 549485 1312444 551244 45 270349361710 91351 2310 322 48 — — — — — —
202125 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 419379 1011705 36720 31 266330351681 84314 179 307 67 — — — — — —
202226 AAARound Rock Express — 284250 681605 29683 00 272355396751 124352 2410 338 82 — — — — — —
202226 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 5850 9102 563 11 180293320613 140167 109 286 49 — — — — — —
202327 AAARound Rock Express — 397353 1012246 401162 40 286362422784 136409 2910 350 70 — — — — — —
202327 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 5043 11204 4103 00 256360581941 326241 208 408 105 — — — — — —
202327 INTLToros del Este — 3835 8301 2121 10 229289400689 171318 325 307 94 — — — — — —
202428 INTLSultanes de Monterrey — 169155 32601 12341 12 206268265532 58256 207 246 52 — — — — — —
202529 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 8768 17601 16141 00 250400382782 132302 1618 353 125 — — — — — —
202630 INTLBravos de Margarita — 4440 13301 390 00 325372475847 150387 207 368 135 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201721 ROK MLEDSL Rangers 1 — 3231 8200 170 00 258281323604 65332 223 260 62 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 549505 1041933 351764 45 206263273536 67299 326 239 48 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 419392 971604 23840 31 247289319608 71299 205 267 67 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 284259 631404 20803 00 243305344649 100335 287 289 82 — — — — — —
202226 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 5852 9102 373 11 173259308566 135154 125 240 49 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 397366 841644 271452 40 230286328614 98363 377 271 70 — — — — — —
202327 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 5044 9203 3123 00 205300455755 250210 246 324 105 — — — — — —
201721 ROK MLEDSL Rangers 1 — 3231 8200 170 00 258281323604 65333 223 260 62 — — — — — —
201721 ROK RAWDSL Rangers 1 — 3231 13400 160 00 419438548986 129520 193 437 62 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 549505 1041933 351764 45 206263273536 67305 326 239 48 — — — — — —
201923 A+ RAWDown East Wood Ducks — 549485 1312444 551244 45 270349361710 91351 2310 322 48 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 419392 971604 23840 31 247289319608 71302 205 267 67 — — — — — —
202125 AA RAWFrisco RoughRiders — 419379 1011705 36720 31 266330351681 84314 179 307 67 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLE2 teams — 342310 711505 24886 11 229297326623 97301 267 281 76 — — — — — —
202226 AAA RAW2 teams — 342300 771707 34746 11 257344383727 127317 2210 329 76 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLE3 teams — 485444 1022048 331706 50 230292347639 117352 357 277 74 — — — — — —
202327 AAA RAW3 teams — 485431 12027411 461386 50 278356436792 158385 289 353 74 — — — — — —
202428 INTL MLESultanes de Monterrey — 169155 32601 12341 12 206268265532 58256 207 — — — — — — — —
202428 INTL RAWSultanes de Monterrey — 169155 32601 12341 12 206268265532 58256 207 246 52 — — — — — —
202529 INTL MLETomateros de Culiacan — 8768 17601 16141 00 250400382782 132302 1618 — — — — — — — —
202529 INTL RAWTomateros de Culiacan — 8768 17601 16141 00 250400382782 132302 1618 353 125 — — — — — —
202630 INTL MLEBravos de Margarita — 4440 13301 390 00 325372475847 150387 207 — — — — — — — —
202630 INTL RAWBravos de Margarita — 4440 13301 390 00 325372475847 150387 207 368 135 — — — — — —
201721 ROK MLEDSL Rangers 1 — 3231 8200 170 00 258281323604 65332 223 260 62 — — — — — —
201923 A+ MLEDown East Wood Ducks — 549505 1041933 351764 45 206263273536 67299 326 239 48 — — — — — —
202125 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 419393 971604 23840 31 247289318607 71299 205 267 67 — — — — — —
202226 AAA MLE2 teams — 342309 711505 24886 11 230297327624 97304 267 281 76 — — — — — —
202327 AAA MLE3 teams — 485443 1022048 331706 50 230292348640 117346 357 277 74 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 21271945 44487723 14758218 149 228289316604 87311 277 226 39 -153 -1 +0 -38 +46 -14.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650594 1362727 451786 43 229290316606 88312 277 226 39 -47 -0 +0 -12 +14 -4.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAARound Rock Express · 397 PAwOBA .341 → .271 (−70)K% 29.2% → 36.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.22%÷0.964×1.200——36.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.82%÷0.991×0.690—×1.0036.86%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.940—×1.0030.47%
Singles /BIP29.11%÷0.993×0.930×0.980×1.00326.81%
Doubles /BIP9.28%÷1.044×0.830×0.980×1.0037.26%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷0.918×0.970×0.980×1.0031.75%
Home runs /BIP2.53%÷1.035×0.700—×1.0031.72%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .341 → .271; ISO .136 → .101; BABIP .409 → .363. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 50 PAwOBA .397 → .324 (−72)K% 20.0% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.009×1.220——24.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷0.989×0.700—×0.9785.54%
HBP% /PA6.00%—×0.870—×0.9785.11%
Singles /BIP15.15%÷1.031×0.920—×0.97813.22%
Doubles /BIP6.06%÷0.875×0.840—×0.9785.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.074×0.940—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP12.12%÷0.974×0.800—×0.9789.73%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 115, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .397 → .324; ISO .326 → .264; BABIP .241 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 284 PAwOBA .331 → .289 (−43)K% 23.9% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.94%÷1.015×1.200——28.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.21%÷0.997×0.690—×1.0187.20%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.940—×1.0181.01%
Singles /BIP25.82%÷0.986×0.930×1.014×1.01825.14%
Doubles /BIP8.79%÷0.938×0.830×1.014×1.0188.03%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.014×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP2.75%÷0.957×0.700—×1.0182.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .331 → .289; ISO .124 → .102; BABIP .352 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 58 PAwOBA .278 → .240 (−39)K% 10.3% → 12.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.34%÷1.010×1.220——12.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.62%÷1.012×0.700—×0.9885.89%
HBP% /PA5.17%—×0.870—×0.9884.45%
Singles /BIP13.64%÷1.003×0.920×1.046×0.98812.92%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.030×0.840×1.046×0.9881.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×1.046×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP4.55%÷0.915×0.800—×0.9883.93%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .278 → .240; ISO .140 → .123; BABIP .167 → .154. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 419 PAwOBA .303 → .267 (−35)K% 17.2% → 20.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.18%÷1.044×1.220——20.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.59%÷1.098×0.690—×0.9985.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9980.00%
Singles /BIP25.73%÷1.006×0.940×1.031×0.99824.75%
Doubles /BIP5.54%÷0.957×0.870×1.031×0.9985.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.995×0.920×1.031×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP1.63%÷1.114×0.780—×0.9981.14%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .303 → .267; ISO .084 → .071; BABIP .314 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 549 PAwOBA .316 → .239 (−77)K% 22.6% → 32.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.59%÷1.002×1.420——32.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷0.985×0.630—×0.9986.28%
HBP% /PA0.73%—×0.860—×0.9980.63%
Singles /BIP27.42%÷1.038×0.940×0.950×0.99823.54%
Doubles /BIP6.65%÷0.939×0.830×0.950×0.9985.57%
Triples /BIP1.11%÷0.900×0.800×0.950×0.9980.93%
Home runs /BIP1.11%÷1.152×0.900—×0.9980.86%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .316 → .239; ISO .091 → .069; BABIP .351 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 DSLDSL Rangers 1 · 32 PAwOBA .425 → .260 (−165)K% 18.8% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷1.000×1.220——22.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.12%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9752.13%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP36.00%÷1.000×0.680—×0.97523.87%
Doubles /BIP16.00%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9759.36%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .260; ISO .129 → .072; BABIP .520 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .