Fadriel Cruz — OGILVIE

Fadriel CruzSS Fresno Grizzlies

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .261 / .261

PA9

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	195	161	46	4	1	1	32	39	0	32	6	286	404	342	746	56	372	20	16	345	120	+5	+4	—	—	+4	1.3
2019	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	223	182	38	7	1	0	35	48	2	36	6	209	342	258	601	49	279	22	16	285	79	-5	+5	—	—	+5	0.4
2021	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	168	139	40	8	2	3	25	31	0	21	5	288	396	439	835	151	352	18	15	367	134	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	64	51	9	4	1	0	12	20	1	4	1	176	344	294	638	118	290	31	19	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	181	50	3	5	6	36	52	2	18	5	276	402	448	849	171	358	24	16	378	142	+11	+2	—	—	+5	1.8
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	187	36	3	0	2	31	64	2	11	3	193	314	241	554	48	279	29	14	268	67	-9	+1	—	—	+5	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	195	174	36	3	1	1	19	56	0	32	6	207	285	253	538	46	289	29	10	240	49	-12	+4	—	—	+4	-0.4
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	223	195	29	5	1	0	22	69	2	36	6	149	242	185	427	36	212	31	10	194	17	-22	+5	—	—	+5	-1.3
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	168	148	32	6	2	2	16	42	0	21	5	216	293	324	617	108	276	25	10	268	68	-6	+2	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	64	55	6	2	1	0	8	29	1	4	1	109	234	182	416	73	217	45	12	188	13	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	195	37	2	3	4	22	75	2	18	5	190	279	292	571	103	282	34	10	258	61	-10	+2	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	197	28	2	0	2	21	85	2	11	3	142	232	183	415	41	234	38	10	195	18	-22	+1	—	—	+5	-1.6
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	195	174	36	3	1	1	19	56	0	32	6	207	285	253	538	46	299	29	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	195	161	46	4	1	1	32	39	0	32	6	286	404	342	746	56	372	20	16	345	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	223	195	29	5	1	0	22	69	2	36	6	149	242	185	427	36	227	31	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	223	182	38	7	1	0	35	48	2	36	6	209	342	258	601	49	279	22	16	285	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	168	148	32	6	2	2	16	42	0	21	5	216	293	324	617	108	288	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	168	139	40	8	2	3	25	31	0	21	5	288	396	439	835	151	352	18	15	367	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	64	55	6	2	1	0	8	29	1	4	1	109	234	182	416	73	231	45	12	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	64	51	9	4	1	0	12	20	1	4	1	176	344	294	638	118	290	31	19	304	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	195	37	2	3	4	22	75	2	18	5	190	279	292	571	103	284	34	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	221	181	50	3	5	6	36	52	2	18	5	276	402	448	849	171	358	24	16	378	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	197	28	2	0	2	21	85	2	11	3	142	232	183	415	41	234	38	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	187	36	3	0	2	31	64	2	11	3	193	314	241	554	48	279	29	14	268	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	195	174	36	3	1	1	19	56	0	32	6	207	285	253	538	46	289	29	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	223	197	29	5	1	0	22	69	2	36	6	147	242	183	425	36	212	31	10	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	168	150	32	6	2	2	16	42	0	21	5	213	293	320	613	107	276	25	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	64	55	6	2	1	0	8	29	1	4	1	109	234	182	416	73	217	45	12	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	195	37	2	3	4	22	75	2	18	5	190	279	292	571	103	282	34	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	196	28	2	0	2	21	85	2	11	3	143	232	184	415	41	234	38	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	195	37	2	3	4	22	75	2	18	5	190	279	292	571	103	282	34	10	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	196	28	2	0	2	21	85	2	11	3	143	232	184	415	41	234	38	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		257	33	11	244	51	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	137	123	23	4	1	2	12	41	1	3	1	187	265	285	549	98	261	30	9	255	58	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	42%	227	202	39	7	1	4	21	66	2	5	1	193	276	297	573	104	264	29	9	260	62	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	41	37	7	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	276	29	10	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	42%	94	84	18	3	1	2	9	27	1	2	0	214	298	345	643	131	278	29	10	266	62	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	135	121	25	4	1	3	13	39	1	3	0	207	289	331	619	124	278	29	10	265	45	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	120	19	5	14	63	188	5	14	0	206	289	328	617	122	278	29	10	265	45	-30	+3	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1465	1297	231	31	10	15	142	466	10	130	28	178	264	252	516	74	263	32	10	234	45	-18	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	103	14	4	7	63	207	4	58	12	179	264	254	518	75	264	32	10	234	45	-31	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	239	3	5	188	267	279	+3	+6	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	9	13	+7.1	+16.7	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fadriel Cruz (OGILVIE)	25	20	33	53	54	180/261/261	82	257	1	2	31%	9%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matthew Morizio 2009 · A	25	40	38→40	48→50	47	193/266/271	77	258	5	9	26%	8%	55	-2.0	188/257/262	74	249	4	9	24%	7%	49	-2.4	119/196/142	23	155	0	3	21%	7%	-2	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	194/261/281	86	283	7	12	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/256/281	101	278	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	41	189/253/285	96	258	8	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/270/318	113	284	10	14	30%	6%	67	-1.1	179/250/307	128	258	11	20	33%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	41→38	39→40	47→50	44	199/260/284	84	265	7	10	26%	7%	55	-2.0	206/269/296	90	273	8	11	26%	6%	61	-1.5	172/243/229	57	222	6	12	24%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	47→40	40	175/240/253	78	277	7	5	37%	8%	40	-3.0	200/267/305	105	333	10	6	40%	7%	63	-1.4	166/245/275	109	270	12	0	41%	7%	46	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→38	38→40	52→50	46	190/264/265	75	260	5	15	28%	8%	53	-2.1	192/256/273	81	276	8	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	40	50	45	192/259/283	92	259	7	19	28%	8%	55	-2.0	199/263/303	104	295	9	15	33%	7%	60	-1.6	132/195/249	117	217	11	13	43%	7%	19	-0.8
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	41	38→40	50	47	199/267/280	81	266	6	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	197/265/278	81	283	5	10	30%	8%	55	-1.9	191/259/258	67	264	3	12	26%	8%	46	-2.2
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	196/273/302	106	328	12	11	41%	8%	65	-1.2	191/271/295	104	328	13	14	42%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	39→35	42→40	50→45	37	192/254/294	102	283	9	8	34%	5%	55	-1.9	179/236/279	100	270	9	6	35%	6%	45	-2.7	134/192/223	89	201	8	2	36%	6%	13	-3.0
✕Cam Gibson 2019 · AA	25	40→41	43→45	54→55	43	199/264/310	111	274	10	17	30%	7%	62	-1.4	203/266/305	102	279	8	19	28%	7%	62	-1.4	187/251/284	97	253	7	25	27%	6%	49	-1.8
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	37→38	41→45	53→50	45	186/251/285	100	242	8	18	26%	7%	52	-2.2	209/274/307	98	295	7	14	29%	7%	65	-1.2	218/285/314	96	322	6	13	32%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	205/266/301	96	298	7	10	32%	8%	61	-1.5	190/261/305	115	269	10	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	41→39	42→40	47→40	47	199/286/298	99	288	10	4	32%	10%	69	-0.9	201/272/295	94	273	9	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	193/263/280	87	255	9	5	27%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Kevin Torres 2015 · A	25	40	39→40	48→40	37	196/236/274	78	264	7	3	28%	4%	42	-2.9	215/264/305	90	277	8	4	24%	6%	61	-1.5	224/279/315	91	276	8	1	21%	6%	67	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps