Fadriel Cruz — OGILVIE

Fadriel CruzSS Fresno Grizzlies

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 170 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 103 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .259 / .261

PA103

HR1

K%31

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	195	174	36	3	1	1	19	56	0	32	6	207	285	253	538	46	299	29	10	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	195	161	46	4	1	1	32	39	0	32	6	286	404	342	746	56	372	20	16	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	223	195	29	5	1	0	22	69	2	36	6	149	242	185	427	36	227	31	10	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	223	182	38	7	1	0	35	48	2	36	6	209	342	258	601	49	279	22	16	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	168	147	31	6	2	2	17	40	0	21	5	211	293	320	612	109	276	24	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	168	139	40	8	2	3	25	31	0	21	5	288	396	439	835	151	352	18	15	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	64	55	5	2	0	0	8	30	1	4	1	91	219	127	346	36	200	47	12	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	64	51	9	4	1	0	12	20	1	4	1	176	344	294	638	118	290	31	19	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	195	38	2	3	4	22	75	2	18	5	195	283	297	581	103	293	34	10	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	181	50	3	5	6	36	52	2	18	5	276	402	448	849	171	358	24	16	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	199	29	2	0	2	19	84	2	11	3	146	227	186	413	40	237	38	9	191	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	187	36	3	0	2	31	64	2	11	3	193	314	241	554	48	279	29	14	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	COL	—	103	92	17	3	1	1	9	31	1	2	1	185	265	272	536	87	257	30	9	243	44	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	COL	30%	137	123	23	4	1	2	12	41	1	3	1	187	265	285	549	98	261	30	9	253	52	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	COL	42%	227	203	40	7	1	4	20	66	2	5	1	197	276	300	576	103	264	29	9	259	56	-11	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	COL	30%	41	37	7	1	0	1	4	12	0	1	0	189	268	297	566	108	281	29	10	262	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	27	MLB	COL	42%	94	85	18	3	1	2	8	28	1	2	0	212	287	341	628	129	283	30	9	268	64	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	135	122	25	4	1	3	12	40	1	3	0	205	281	328	609	123	278	30	9	267	62	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	120	19	5	14	58	193	5	14	0	204	282	325	607	121	279	30	9	267	62	-28	+3	+0	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	1559	1383	248	34	10	16	148	492	11	132	29	179	264	253	517	74	263	32	9	234	37	-110	+15	+0	+17	+44	-3.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	103	14	4	7	62	205	5	55	12	179	265	253	518	75	261	32	10	234	37	-46	+6	+0	+7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	195	161	46	4	1	1	32	39	0	32	6	286	404	342	746	56	372	20	16	345	122	+5	+4	—	—	+6	1.5
2019	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	223	182	38	7	1	0	35	48	2	36	6	209	342	258	601	49	279	22	16	285	77	-6	+5	—	—	+6	0.5
2021	20	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	168	139	40	8	2	3	25	31	0	21	5	288	396	439	835	151	352	18	15	367	139	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.5
2022	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	64	51	9	4	1	0	12	20	1	4	1	176	344	294	638	118	290	31	19	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	181	50	3	5	6	36	52	2	18	5	276	402	448	849	171	358	24	16	378	148	+12	+2	—	—	+6	2.0
2024	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	221	187	36	3	0	2	31	64	2	11	3	193	314	241	554	48	279	29	14	268	63	-9	+1	—	—	+6	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	239	3	5	188	265	279	+3	+6	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	9	13	188	265	279	+7.1	+16.7	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fadriel Cruz (OGILVIE)	25	20	33	53	52	180/259/261	81	257	1	2	31%	9%	44	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Matthew Morizio 2009 · A	25	40	38→40	48→50	47	193/266/271	77	258	5	9	26%	8%	49	-1.8	188/257/262	74	249	4	9	24%	7%	43	-2.2	119/196/142	23	155	0	3	21%	7%	-15	-1.3
✕Kyle Marinconz 2021 · A	25	40→35	39→40	47→50	43	193/256/276	83	262	7	10	28%	7%	45	-2.1	205/269/297	92	275	8	11	27%	7%	56	-1.3	172/244/233	60	225	7	12	26%	6%	27	-0.9
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→29	40→45	49→60	37	191/259/277	86	288	7	12	34%	6%	48	-1.9	177/254/283	106	281	10	16	38%	8%	47	-1.9	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	49	-1.8	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	47	-1.9	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	24	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	35	38→40	47→40	40	173/239/249	75	277	7	5	38%	8%	31	-3.0	198/264/303	105	342	10	6	42%	7%	56	-1.3	161/239/268	108	273	13	0	43%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	40→38	39→40	50	46	195/262/276	82	264	6	6	27%	8%	48	-1.9	192/260/272	80	283	5	10	31%	8%	46	-2.0	178/249/243	64	257	2	12	29%	8%	31	-2.6
✕Kevin Merrell 2021 · AA	25	40→35	37→40	53→55	36	194/231/266	72	275	4	16	30%	4%	30	-3.1	213/266/333	120	277	14	13	28%	6%	65	-0.7	203/260/324	121	252	18	13	27%	6%	58	-0.3
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Kevin Torres 2015 · A	25	39	39→40	49→40	37	194/235/273	79	264	7	3	29%	4%	35	-2.8	211/260/298	87	275	7	4	25%	6%	52	-1.6	216/272/302	86	271	7	1	22%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	37→38	41→45	46→45	42	183/263/283	100	256	8	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/287/282	87	269	7	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	175/279/254	79	240	7	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→31	41→45	53→55	43	207/268/306	98	300	8	10	32%	8%	57	-1.2	185/257/298	113	267	10	17	32%	8%	53	-1.5	165/245/279	113	234	10	18	32%	8%	39	-1.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2023 · AA	25	39	41→40	50	44	195/260/293	98	266	8	19	29%	7%	52	-1.6	202/266/316	114	300	10	15	34%	7%	60	-1.0	141/207/294	152	225	17	13	44%	8%	26	-0.6
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	39→35	40	50→45	37	189/250/280	91	282	7	8	34%	5%	44	-2.1	174/234/270	96	268	9	6	36%	6%	34	-2.8	124/186/210	86	189	9	2	38%	7%	-3	-3.3
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	38	42→40	52→45	46	187/288/295	108	267	9	9	31%	9%	66	-0.6	194/280/284	90	288	7	7	32%	8%	59	-1.1	177/267/253	76	271	5	4	33%	7%	42	-0.8
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	36	41→45	53→50	44	181/245/281	100	235	8	18	26%	7%	42	-2.3	206/271/305	99	295	7	14	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/281/311	97	327	6	13	34%	7%	63	-0.5