Josh Walker
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 31
LHP
6'6" / 225 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 85 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99109vR 118
ERA4.12
FIP4.35
K%23.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP85
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (7%)
CU (53%)
SL (53%)
FB-1.3 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Mets | 14 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 9.42 | 4.47 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Mets | 14 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 1.4% | 9.42 | 3.45 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 3 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 34.3% | 0.0% | 34.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.20 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 3 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 34.3% | 0.0% | 34.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.43 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Mets | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.80 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Mets | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 15.4% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 6.00 | 1.77 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 116 | 455 | 98 | 29 | 9 | 95% | 5.5 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 3.73 | 3.70 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 20 | 116 | 455 | 98 | 29 | 9 | 95% | 5.5 | 21.5% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 2.0% | 3.73 | 3.17 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 2 | 22 | 96 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 15% | 1.7 | 30.2% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 3.63 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 2 | 22 | 96 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 15% | 1.7 | 39.6% | 11.5% | 28.1% | 2.1% | 4.91 | 2.33 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 39 | 168 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.3% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 0.9% | 3.43 | 2.45 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 39 | 168 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 1.8% | 3.43 | 2.82 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 61 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 61 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 2.3% | 4.32 | 3.64 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 212 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 4.91 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 48 | 212 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 3.3% | 4.91 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 28 | 0 | 36 | 144 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.96 | 3.50 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | BAL | 81 | 0 | 85 | 360 | 84 | 41 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.35 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | BAL | 81 | 0 | 85 | 359 | 84 | 40 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.12 | 4.35 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 122 | 504 | 125 | 52 | 16 | — | — | 24.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 4.07 | 4.10 | +1.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 91 | 385 | 125 | 52 | 16 | — | — | 32.5% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 4.1% | 5.42 | 4.30 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 120 | 0 | 126 | 530 | 120 | 60 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 4.95 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 110 | 0 | 115 | 486 | 105 | 56 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 113 | 0 | 119 | 502 | 113 | 57 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 4.95 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 104 | 0 | 109 | 460 | 100 | 53 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 331 | 0 | 347 | 1478 | 336 | 167 | 51 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.50 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 852 | 194 | 96 | 29 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 201 | 23 | 337 | 1413 | 318 | 130 | 36 | 11% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 14 | 200 | 838 | 189 | 77 | 22 | 11% | 1.7 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Walker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 23.2% | 11.5% | 3.3% | — | 5.06 | 22.1% | 10.7% | 241 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 79 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 76 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 74 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 73 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 72 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 71 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 71 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 70 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 70 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 69 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 69 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 69 |
| James Jones L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .230 | 4.72 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 35 | +0.64 | 3.58 | 127 | 67 |
| Anthony Gose L 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.72 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .234 | 4.93 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | +0.21 | 3.88 | 207 | 67 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.93 | 17.1% | 15.7% | 4.2% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 153 | 66 |
| Adam Loewen L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 66 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 65 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.09 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 183 | 64 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 64 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 137 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 111 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 1.38 | 4.78 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |