Josh Walker
P
Norfolk Tides
+0.1
WAR
Age 31
LHP
6'6" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.82
FIP4.63
xFIP3.28
SIERA2.75
K%23.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.5%
IP34
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL4545
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p5325.7%
K%
p3219.6%
xwOBA vs
p460.316
SI (7%)
CU (53%)
SL (53%)
FB-1.3 (47%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Mets | 14 | 0 | 14 | 71 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 12.5% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 9.42 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 3 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | ROK | GCL Mets | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 21 | 20 | 116 | 455 | 98 | 29 | 9 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 3.73 | 3.70 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 13 | 2 | 22 | 96 | 38 | 11 | 2 | 30.2% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 3.69 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 35 | 0 | 39 | 168 | 52 | 18 | 3 | 29.3% | 10.5% | 0.9% | 3.43 | 2.45 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | New York Mets | 43 | 0 | 50 | 219 | 61 | 28 | 5 | 25.1% | 13.3% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 43 | 0 | 48 | 212 | 53 | 21 | 7 | 21.2% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 4.91 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 6 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 8 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.24 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | BAL | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.84 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 43 | 177 | 42 | 19 | 5 | 23.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 3.74 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 22.6% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 32 | — | 32 | 133 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 4.87 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 179 | 23 | 309 | 1301 | 290 | 122 | 31 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 4.22 | 3.72 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 15 | 200 | 841 | 188 | 79 | 20 | 22.3% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 4.22 | 3.72 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Walker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.65 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | — | 4.83 | 22.0% | 11.1% | 94 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.80 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.13 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.33 | 2.37 | 130 | 82 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 77 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.49 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.06 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.57 | 2.43 | 420 | 77 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.27 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 75 |
| Luke Westphal L 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.68 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.4% | .321 | 4.72 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 95 | +0.04 | 2.97 | 294 | 75 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.70 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 223 | 73 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.62 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.92 | 3.70 | 181 | 73 |
| Brandon Mann L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 72 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% | .284 | 5.47 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.75 | 2.71 | 181 | 72 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.59 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.82 | 24.3% | 12.6% | 78 | +1.23 | 2.37 | 296 | 71 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.69 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.42 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.73 | 3.20 | 241 | 71 |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.47 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | .316 | 3.55 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.92 | 1.36 | 350 | 71 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 70 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 113 | 70 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 70 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2029 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 3.99 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.21 | 3.51 | 138 | 69 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 69 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.13 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 183 | 68 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.