Brett de Geus

P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX2 levels	29	2	46	4.86	4.05	17.8%	8.4%	—	K 14.6% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.68
2024	26	MIX2 levels	52	0	50	5.72	3.60	15.1%	8.0%	0.6	K 13.4% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.71
2025	27	MIX2 levels	31	0	40	5.58	4.54	12.9%	11.9%	0.0	K 11.7% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	29	MLBPHI	54	0	57	5.11	5.28	12.3%	10.7%	-0.5
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBPHI	19	0	20	5.24	5.39	12.7%	10.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBPHI	26	0	27	5.39	5.54	12.7%	11.1%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo90

xwOBA vs26

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsEder Llamas (age 29) · Benjamin Sandoval (age 29) · Jesus Adrian Castillo (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.11

FIP5.28

K%12.3%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%1.6%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.0

Whiff%

p1018.4%

p1013.5%

xwOBA vs

p260.340

FB (57%)

SI (57%)

CU (19%)

CT (15%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	20	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	15	14	62	288	58	27	10	93%	4.1	13.7%	11.7%	2.0%	4.9%	7.26	6.10	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	15	14	62	288	58	27	10	93%	4.1	20.1%	9.4%	10.8%	3.5%	7.26	4.63	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	62	242	72	11	0	0%	1.6	22.5%	5.3%	17.2%	0.0%	1.75	1.87	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	62	242	72	11	0	0%	1.6	29.8%	4.5%	25.2%	0.0%	1.75	1.30	—
2021	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	47	0	50	238	41	24	6	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.1%	7.1%	2.7%	7.56	4.39	+0.1
2021	23	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	47	0	50	238	41	24	6	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.1%	7.1%	2.5%	7.56	4.46	+0.1
2022	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	0	23	111	16	16	3	0%	1.3	11.7%	15.9%	-4.2%	3.0%	5.96	5.75	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	0	23	111	16	16	3	0%	1.3	14.4%	14.4%	0.0%	2.7%	5.96	5.53	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	2	46	202	36	17	5	7%	1.6	14.6%	8.4%	6.2%	3.2%	4.86	4.68	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	2	46	202	36	17	5	7%	1.6	17.8%	8.4%	9.4%	2.5%	4.86	4.05	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	50	225	34	18	3	0%	1.0	13.4%	7.4%	6.1%	1.5%	5.72	3.71	+0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	50	225	34	18	3	0%	1.0	13.4%	7.4%	6.1%	1.5%	5.72	3.71	+0.5
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	50	225	34	18	3	0%	1.0	15.1%	8.0%	7.1%	1.3%	5.72	3.60	+0.6
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	40	194	25	23	3	0%	1.3	11.7%	9.8%	1.9%	1.9%	5.58	4.39	+0.1
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	40	194	25	23	3	0%	1.3	11.7%	9.8%	1.9%	1.9%	5.58	4.39	+0.1
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	40	194	25	23	3	0%	1.3	12.9%	11.9%	1.0%	1.5%	5.58	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			61	0	63	300	48	31	6	0%	1.0	16.0%	10.3%	5.7%	2.0%	7.39	4.28	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	PHI	54	0	57	241	30	26	7	0%	1.1	12.3%	10.7%	1.6%	2.7%	5.11	5.28	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	PHI	51	0	53	225	29	24	7	0%	1.0	12.7%	10.8%	1.9%	2.9%	5.24	5.39	-0.5
2029	31	MLB MLE	PHI	47	0	50	210	27	23	7	0%	1.1	12.7%	11.1%	1.7%	3.2%	5.39	5.54	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	PHI	19	0	20	84	11	9	2	0%	1.1	12.7%	10.8%	1.9%	2.9%	5.24	5.39	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	PHI	26	0	27	114	15	13	4	0%	1.0	12.7%	11.1%	1.7%	3.2%	5.39	5.54	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	110	498	73	53	12	0%	1.0	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	2.4%	6.51	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	904	132	96	22	0%	1.0	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	2.4%	6.51	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		230	16	333	1500	230	141	37	7%	1.4	15.3%	9.4%	6.0%	2.5%	5.43	4.35	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	10	200	900	138	84	22	7%	1.4	15.3%	9.4%	6.0%	2.5%	5.43	4.35	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brett de Geus (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	12.3%	10.7%	2.7%	—	5.46	12.7%	1.8%	103	+0.18	—	—	—
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	85
Benjamin Sandoval R 2016 · 5.13 FIP	29	SU	5.13	6.7%	11.3%	2.1%	.292	5.51	9.0%	-4.4%	49	+0.38	4.66	146	83
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	9.8%	9.5%	1.6%	.307	3.52	13.2%	7.9%	80	-0.85	2.23	173	83
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	83
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	82
Luis Angel Daniel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	30	SU	4.47	9.9%	6.9%	2.4%	.292	4.36	11.6%	2.4%	107	-0.11	4.16	156	80
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	80
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	80
Tony Fiore R 2000 · 5.61 FIP	28	SU	5.61	10.8%	9.5%	4.0%	.321	4.76	14.3%	3.5%	127	-0.85	4.60	142	79
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	79
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	79
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	79
Brian Bass R 2009 · 4.70 FIP	27	SU	4.70	13.5%	9.8%	2.8%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	176	78
Jason Boyd R 2002 · 5.81 FIP	29	SU	5.81	13.7%	10.7%	4.6%	.290	4.74	15.0%	3.7%	65	-1.07	3.68	128	78
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	78
Jeff Gray R 2011 · 4.36 FIP	29	SU	4.36	10.7%	8.8%	1.9%	.284	5.43	11.0%	1.7%	52	+1.07	3.46	127	77
Brandon Puffer R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	28	SU	5.23	13.5%	11.2%	3.4%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	108	77
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	77
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	56	13.6%	10.8%	1.02	5.85
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Mike Barlow ('75-'81, -2 WAR*)	1.2	62	14.0%*	9.4%*	0.76*	4.97*
Joe Grzenda ('61-'72, 0 WAR*)	1.5	51	17.2%*	8.6%*	0.76*	4.83*
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*