Brett de Geus
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139129vR 120
ERA5.12
FIP5.32
K%12.2%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%0.7%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.0
Whiff%
p1018.4%
K%
p1013.5%
xwOBA vs
p260.340
FB (57%)
SI (57%)
CU (19%)
CT (15%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | 15 | 14 | 62 | 288 | 58 | 27 | 10 | 93% | 4.1 | 13.7% | 11.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 7.26 | 6.10 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | 15 | 14 | 62 | 288 | 58 | 27 | 10 | 93% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 7.26 | 4.63 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 62 | 242 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.5% | 5.3% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 1.75 | 1.87 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 62 | 242 | 72 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.8% | 4.5% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 1.75 | 1.30 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47 | 0 | 50 | 238 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 7.56 | 4.25 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 47 | 0 | 50 | 238 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 7.56 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 17 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 11.7% | 15.9% | -4.2% | 2.7% | 5.96 | 5.62 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 17 | 0 | 23 | 111 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.4% | 14.4% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 5.96 | 5.53 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 2 | 46 | 202 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 7% | 1.6 | 14.7% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 5.00 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 2 | 46 | 202 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 7% | 1.6 | 17.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.86 | 4.05 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 50 | 225 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 5.72 | 3.82 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 50 | 225 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 5.72 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 40 | 194 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.58 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 40 | 194 | 25 | 23 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.9% | 11.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.58 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 29 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.12 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 29 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.7% | 11.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 49 | 0 | 51 | 217 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.7% | 11.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.23 | 5.38 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.36 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 504 | 74 | 55 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 6.49 | 4.53 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 903 | 133 | 98 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 6.49 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 230 | 16 | 333 | 1500 | 231 | 147 | 37 | 7% | 1.4 | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 5.43 | 4.41 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 138 | 10 | 200 | 900 | 139 | 88 | 22 | 7% | 1.4 | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 5.43 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brett de Geus (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.32 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 2.6% | — | 5.44 | 12.7% | 1.2% | 106 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.72 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.59 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 31 | -1.13 | 3.64 | 204 | 77 |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.89 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.27 | 5.8% | -5.7% | 62 | +0.38 | 4.89 | 146 | 77 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2028 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.27 | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .365 | 4.44 | 11.4% | 3.1% | 109 | -0.83 | 4.15 | 152 | 76 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 76 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 75 |
| Jose Casilla R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 75 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 75 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 75 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .307 | 3.44 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 80 | -0.85 | 2.23 | 173 | 75 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.20 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 104 | 74 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.44 | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .371 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 207 | 74 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 74 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 74 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 73 |
| Alex Caldera R 2027 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 73 |
| John Fasola R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.06 | 10.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 124 | 73 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 73 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2028 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .292 | 4.46 | 11.6% | 2.4% | 107 | -0.29 | 4.11 | 156 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 1.07 | 5.23 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |