Tommy Romero

P Iowa Cubs

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 222 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

AAASPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	AAAWSH	36	10	88	5.44	4.91	20.4%	15.0%	—	K 17.6% · BB 13.5% · FIP 4.89
2024	27	AAASF	19	8	72	3.14	4.26	22.1%	12.4%	—	K 19.0% · BB 11.1% · FIP 4.51
2025	28	MIX2 levels	18	11	75	5.40	4.73	18.1%	11.2%	—	K 15.1% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.99
2027PROJ	30	MLBCHC	10	10	68	4.91	4.91	17.6%	9.6%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBCHC	4	4	23	4.98	5.06	17.8%	9.9%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBCHC	5	5	32	5.10	5.23	17.7%	10.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Control70FB velo57

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Fabio Castillo (age 28) · Scott McGregor (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%17.6%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

CTRL7070

K†4040

SL-1.1

FB-6.5

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	13	2	43	164	51	15	0	15%	3.3	21.1%	11.4%	9.7%	0.0%	2.08	2.76	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	13	2	43	164	51	15	0	15%	3.3	31.1%	9.1%	22.0%	0.0%	2.08	1.78	—
2018	21	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	25	128	523	131	51	11	100%	5.1	18.5%	11.5%	7.0%	2.6%	2.95	4.44	—
2018	21	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	25	25	128	523	131	51	11	100%	5.1	25.0%	9.8%	15.3%	2.1%	2.95	3.37	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	125	488	104	38	5	79%	5.2	17.1%	8.9%	8.2%	1.2%	2.15	3.42	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	19	125	488	104	38	5	79%	5.2	21.3%	7.8%	13.5%	1.0%	2.15	2.87	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	110	435	145	31	10	91%	4.8	28.1%	7.6%	20.5%	2.6%	2.61	3.09	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	110	435	145	31	10	91%	4.8	33.3%	7.1%	26.2%	2.3%	2.61	2.49	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	17	94	400	79	43	23	52%	2.9	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	4.6%	3.91	5.37	-0.5
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	17	94	400	79	43	23	52%	2.9	19.8%	10.8%	9.0%	5.8%	3.91	5.96	-1.1
2023	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	36	10	88	401	82	60	11	28%	2.4	17.6%	13.5%	4.1%	2.9%	5.44	4.89	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	36	10	88	401	82	60	11	28%	2.4	20.4%	15.0%	5.5%	2.7%	5.44	4.91	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	19	8	72	299	66	37	8	42%	3.8	19.0%	11.1%	7.8%	2.9%	3.14	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	19	8	72	299	66	37	8	42%	3.8	19.0%	11.1%	7.8%	2.9%	3.14	4.51	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	19	8	72	299	66	37	8	42%	3.8	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	2.7%	3.14	4.26	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	11	75	321	58	36	10	61%	4.2	15.1%	10.8%	4.2%	3.3%	5.40	4.99	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	11	75	321	58	36	10	61%	4.2	15.1%	10.8%	4.2%	3.3%	5.40	4.99	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	11	75	321	58	36	10	61%	4.2	18.1%	11.2%	6.9%	3.1%	5.40	4.73	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	2	8	44	7	9	7	50%	2.1	15.9%	20.5%	-4.5%	15.9%	10.80	15.58	-1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CHC	10	10	68	287	50	28	9	100%	6.8	17.6%	9.6%	8.0%	3.1%	4.91	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	63	267	47	27	9	100%	6.3	17.8%	9.9%	7.8%	3.3%	4.98	5.06	-0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	59	247	44	25	9	100%	6.5	17.7%	10.3%	7.4%	3.5%	5.10	5.23	-0.2
2028	31	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	23	97	17	10	3	100%	5.8	17.8%	9.9%	7.8%	3.3%	4.98	5.06	-0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	32	135	24	14	5	100%	6.4	17.7%	10.3%	7.4%	3.5%	5.10	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	11	64	279	49	33	15	85%	4.9	17.4%	11.8%	5.7%	5.4%	5.80	6.09	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	33	200	872	153	103	47	84%	5.1	17.4%	11.8%	5.7%	5.4%	5.80	6.09	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		191	113	736	3031	584	318	79	59%	3.9	19.3%	10.5%	8.8%	2.6%	3.40	4.24	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	31	200	824	159	86	22	59%	3.9	19.3%	10.5%	8.8%	2.6%	3.40	4.24	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tommy Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	17.6%	9.6%	3.1%	—	5.14	17.7%	7.6%	122	+0.23	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	77
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	71
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	70
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	69
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	68
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	68
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	68
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	67
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	67
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	66
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	66
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	66
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	65
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	65
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	65
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	65
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	701	65
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	64
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	64

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	17.6%	10.5%	1.53	5.24
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*