Kutter Crawford

P Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA peak 1.2 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

AAASPD6040-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	MIX2 levels	32	23	132	4.01	3.58	25.8%	6.7%	2.1	K 25.6% · BB 6.8% · FIP 3.62
2024	28	MLBBOS	33	33	184	4.36	4.43	23.1%	6.7%	1.0
2026	30	AAABOS	1	1	3	15.00	13.77	31.2%	6.2%	—	K 31.2% · BB 6.2% · FIP 11.54
2027PROJ	31	MLBBOS	17	17	103	4.36	4.50	22.9%	7.9%	0.5
2028PROJ	32	MLBBOS	26	26	158	4.60	4.76	22.1%	8.3%	0.3
2029PROJ	33	MLBBOS	24	24	145	4.86	5.04	21.2%	8.8%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.1 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

K%55

xwOBA vs55

Whiff%50

FB Velo23

CompsTim Adleman (age 31) · Jarrett Grube (age 33) · Jose Samayoa (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.36

FIP4.50

K%22.9%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%15.0%

Proj IP103

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL6055

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p5025.3%

p5523.1%

xwOBA vs

p550.307

CT+5.0 (32%)

CU (7%)

SL-2.5 (18%)

FB-4.7 (34%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	144	607	157	48	6	100%	5.3	19.3%	9.3%	10.1%	1.4%	3.26	3.41	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	144	607	157	48	6	100%	5.3	25.9%	7.9%	18.0%	1.0%	3.26	2.46	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	88	385	100	45	7	100%	4.6	20.2%	13.2%	7.0%	2.2%	3.57	4.25	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	88	385	100	45	7	100%	4.6	26.0%	11.7%	14.3%	1.8%	3.57	3.39	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	20	97	394	133	22	13	95%	4.6	29.1%	5.6%	23.5%	3.5%	4.66	3.30	+1.9
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	20	97	394	133	22	13	95%	4.6	33.8%	5.6%	28.2%	3.3%	4.66	2.78	+2.6
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	16	102	445	100	34	17	59%	3.8	21.9%	7.7%	14.1%	4.1%	5.40	4.47	+0.5
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	16	102	445	100	34	17	59%	3.8	22.5%	7.6%	14.8%	3.8%	5.40	4.31	+0.7
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	23	132	539	139	36	18	72%	4.1	25.6%	6.8%	18.8%	3.3%	4.01	3.62	+2.0
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	23	132	539	139	36	18	72%	4.1	25.8%	6.7%	19.1%	3.3%	4.01	3.58	+2.1
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	33	33	184	759	175	51	34	100%	5.6	23.1%	6.7%	16.3%	4.6%	4.36	4.53	+0.8
2024	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	33	33	184	759	175	51	34	100%	5.6	23.1%	6.7%	16.3%	4.6%	4.36	4.53	+0.8
2024	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	33	33	184	759	175	51	34	100%	5.6	23.1%	6.7%	16.3%	4.5%	4.36	4.43	+1.0
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	1	1	3	16	5	1	3	100%	3.0	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	18.8%	15.00	11.54	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	1	1	3	16	5	1	3	100%	3.0	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	18.8%	15.00	11.54	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	1	1	3	16	5	1	3	100%	3.0	31.2%	6.2%	25.0%	18.8%	15.00	13.77	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			86	69	392	1633	389	117	64	80%	4.6	23.8%	7.2%	16.7%	3.9%	4.56	4.13	+3.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	BOS	17	17	103	435	100	34	15	100%	6.1	22.9%	7.9%	15.0%	3.6%	4.36	4.50	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	BOS	26	26	158	667	147	55	25	100%	6.1	22.1%	8.3%	13.8%	3.8%	4.60	4.76	+0.3
2029	33	MLB MLE	BOS	24	24	145	612	130	54	25	100%	6.0	21.2%	8.8%	12.5%	4.1%	4.86	5.04	-0.2
2030	34	MLB MLE	BOS	22	22	132	557	113	52	24	100%	6.0	20.3%	9.2%	11.1%	4.4%	5.15	5.34	-0.6
2028	32	MLB CTX	BOS	26	26	158	667	147	55	25	100%	6.1	22.1%	8.3%	13.8%	3.8%	4.60	4.76	+0.3
2029	33	MLB CTX	BOS	24	24	145	612	130	54	25	100%	6.0	21.2%	8.8%	12.5%	4.1%	4.86	5.04	-0.2
2030	34	MLB CTX	BOS	22	22	132	557	113	52	24	100%	6.0	20.3%	9.2%	11.1%	4.4%	5.15	5.34	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		158	142	827	3470	780	277	139	90%	5.2	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	4.0%	4.72	4.41	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	34	200	839	189	67	34	89%	5.2	22.5%	8.0%	14.5%	4.0%	4.72	4.41	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		160	139	749	3145	725	252	105	87%	4.7	23.1%	8.0%	15.0%	3.3%	4.22	3.99	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	37	200	839	194	67	28	87%	4.7	23.1%	8.0%	15.0%	3.3%	4.22	3.99	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kutter Crawford (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	22.9%	7.9%	3.6%	—	5.03	21.3%	12.5%	435	+0.53	—	—	—
Tim Adleman R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	22.8%	7.8%	3.9%	.266	4.71	18.5%	11.1%	90	+0.41	3.63	605	75
Jarrett Grube R 2015 · 3.75 FIP	33	SP	3.75	18.7%	4.2%	3.1%	.285	4.57	17.3%	9.6%	253	+0.82	3.75	393	70
Jose Samayoa R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP	4.05	19.4%	7.0%	3.1%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	262	69
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	67
Matt Buschmann R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	31	SP	4.03	17.2%	8.7%	2.3%	.282	4.84	12.8%	4.4%	142	+0.81	4.03	277	65
Scott Richmond R 2009 · 5.11 FIP	29	SP	5.11	19.2%	9.5%	4.4%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	166	65
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	65
Mike Fiers R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	31	SP	4.30	18.5%	5.8%	3.7%	.308	4.96	19.2%	12.2%	510	+0.66	2.83	1,140	65
Chuck Smith R 2001 · 3.99 FIP	31	SP	3.99	18.4%	8.1%	2.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	211	64
Daisuke Matsuzaka R 2012 · 5.55 FIP	31	SP	5.55	19.1%	9.3%	5.2%	.329	3.83	21.1%	9.5%	122	-1.72	3.77	790	63
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	3.84	193	63
Chase Anderson R 2019 · 4.39 FIP	31	SP	4.39	20.9%	8.1%	3.7%	.259	5.39	19.2%	10.0%	218	+1.00	3.30	1,260	63
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	63
Brad Peacock R 2019 · 4.22 FIP	31	SP-	4.22	25.1%	8.1%	4.0%	.261	4.15	22.8%	12.5%	96	-0.07	2.97	748	62
Manuel Flores R 2017 · 3.46 FIP	31	SP	3.46	15.8%	4.7%	2.0%	.305	4.32	17.1%	9.7%	122	+0.86	3.46	515	62
Leo Medrano R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	14.2%	3.9%	2.5%	.354	4.34	11.0%	3.7%	113	+0.58	3.76	222	62
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	62
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	61
Jeremy Hefner R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	30	SP	4.64	16.8%	9.1%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	322	61
Cory Riordan R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	30	SP	4.24	14.3%	5.0%	3.1%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	154	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.7	135	22.5%	8.0%	1.53	4.67
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.1	138	21.3%	7.8%	1.48	4.52
Brent Strom ('72-'77, 0 WAR*)	2.5	125	19.3%*	8.2%*	1.53*	4.78*
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.6	130	21.9%	7.3%	1.61	4.74
Jerad Eickhoff ('22)	2.3	116	20.7%	6.9%	1.57	4.50
Jack Scott ('16-'29, 13 WAR*)	9.1	165	22.5%*	7.7%*	1.37*	4.46*
Dennis Bennett ('62-'68, 7 WAR*)	4.3	123	19.8%*	8.1%*	1.41*	4.40*