Phoenix Sanders
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 31
RHP
5'10" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%23.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.3
Whiff%
p1017.4%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
SL+4.1
FB-1.6
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 14 | 5 | 39 | 160 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 36% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.42 | 6.02 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 14 | 5 | 39 | 160 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 36% | 2.8 | 25.0% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 4.4% | 4.42 | 4.16 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 24.7% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 0.9% | 3.08 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 89 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 33.1% | 8.2% | 24.9% | 0.7% | 3.08 | 1.76 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 61 | 250 | 68 | 25 | 5 | 2% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 1.92 | 3.84 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 1 | 61 | 250 | 68 | 25 | 5 | 2% | 1.4 | 27.2% | 10.0% | 17.2% | 2.0% | 1.92 | 3.17 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 50 | 0 | 64 | 247 | 80 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.5% | 5.1% | 23.4% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 3.09 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 50 | 0 | 64 | 247 | 80 | 12 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.4% | 4.9% | 27.5% | 3.2% | 3.38 | 2.79 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 47 | 197 | 50 | 6 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 3.1% | 19.9% | 4.2% | 5.21 | 3.83 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 1 | 47 | 197 | 50 | 6 | 7 | 3% | 1.3 | 25.4% | 3.0% | 22.3% | 3.6% | 5.21 | 3.29 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 22 | 1 | 23 | 100 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 5% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.79 | 6.52 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 22 | 1 | 23 | 100 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 5% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 5.79 | 6.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | SF | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SF | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SF | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 4.56 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 22 | 88 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 1.2% | 3.57 | 2.80 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 0 | 200 | 800 | 173 | 54 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 1.2% | 3.57 | 2.80 | +6.1 | ||
| Career | — | 200 | 8 | 298 | 1223 | 286 | 97 | 40 | 4% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.62 | 3.95 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 5 | 200 | 821 | 192 | 65 | 27 | 4% | 1.5 | 23.4% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.62 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Phoenix Sanders (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.66 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Carlos Villanueva R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.53 | 22.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .259 | 5.02 | 19.0% | 15.9% | 74 | +1.49 | 3.53 | 135 | 78 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.89 | 27.5% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.93 | 28.0% | 19.4% | 191 | +0.04 | 2.49 | 417 | 76 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 75 |
| Kazuhisa Makita R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.07 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | .270 | 2.64 | 18.9% | 15.2% | 70 | -1.43 | 2.64 | 132 | 72 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 72 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 70 |
| Pat Venditte S 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.87 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .344 | 3.34 | 23.9% | 14.5% | 182 | -0.53 | 2.23 | 317 | 70 |
| Pat Neshek R 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.65 | 22.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | .268 | 2.40 | 24.6% | 21.9% | 134 | -1.25 | 1.48 | 206 | 70 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 69 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 69 |
| Craig Stammen R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.86 | 17.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | .333 | 3.42 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 241 | -0.44 | 1.87 | 407 | 69 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.42 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .247 | 3.86 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 113 | +0.44 | 3.15 | 272 | 69 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 21.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | .256 | 4.04 | 20.1% | 14.5% | 151 | -0.25 | 2.80 | 288 | 69 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 68 |
| Yusmeiro Petit R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.60 | 18.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | .286 | 3.37 | 24.1% | 20.4% | 267 | -1.23 | 2.64 | 517 | 68 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 16.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | .303 | 3.60 | 19.7% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.73 | 2.60 | 283 | 68 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 68 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 68 |