Tyler Esplin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+BOS | 338 | .202/.297/.276 | 2 | 4 | 24 | — | .159/.231/.218 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA/A+BOS | 138 | .242/.331/.350 | 0 | 0 | 48 | — | .198/.257/.277 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA/A+BOS | 91 | .247/.297/.400 | 1 | 0 | 47 | — | .206/.242/.332 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | — | 94 | 85 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 388 | 729 | 118 | 368 | 28 | 7 | 330 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | — | 436 | 387 | 98 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 107 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 253 | 329 | 375 | 704 | 121 | 333 | 25 | 9 | 315 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 338 | 297 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 202 | 297 | 276 | 573 | 74 | 282 | 27 | 11 | 268 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 353 | 214 | 567 | 333 | 29 | 18 | 283 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 121 | 106 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 328 | 368 | 696 | 123 | 356 | 28 | 11 | 309 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 71 | 68 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 296 | 441 | 737 | 176 | 378 | 31 | 3 | 323 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 300 | 235 | 535 | 59 | 200 | 10 | 10 | 261 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 94 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 68 | 315 | 39 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 436 | 401 | 79 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 150 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 197 | 253 | 284 | 537 | 87 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 338 | 308 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 121 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 159 | 231 | 218 | 449 | 58 | 248 | 36 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 200 | 494 | 338 | 35 | 12 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 121 | 111 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 252 | 288 | 540 | 90 | 309 | 35 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 71 | 69 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 239 | 362 | 602 | 145 | 342 | 38 | 1 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 159 | 15 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 94 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 68 | 320 | 39 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Red Sox | — | 94 | 85 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 340 | 388 | 729 | 118 | 368 | 28 | 7 | 330 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 436 | 401 | 79 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 150 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 197 | 253 | 284 | 537 | 87 | 299 | 34 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 436 | 387 | 98 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 107 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 253 | 329 | 375 | 704 | 121 | 333 | 25 | 9 | 315 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 338 | 308 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 121 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 159 | 231 | 218 | 449 | 58 | 253 | 36 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | Greenville Drive | — | 338 | 297 | 60 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 90 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 202 | 297 | 276 | 573 | 74 | 282 | 27 | 11 | 268 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 138 | 126 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 257 | 278 | 535 | 79 | 316 | 35 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 138 | 120 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 331 | 350 | 681 | 108 | 354 | 28 | 12 | 306 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 91 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 253 | 337 | 590 | 128 | 309 | 33 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 91 | 85 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 297 | 400 | 697 | 153 | 333 | 26 | 4 | 310 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Red Sox | — | 94 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 68 | 315 | 39 | 4 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 436 | 403 | 79 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 150 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 196 | 253 | 283 | 536 | 87 | 290 | 34 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 338 | 306 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 121 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 160 | 231 | 219 | 450 | 59 | 248 | 36 | 8 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 138 | 127 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 257 | 276 | 533 | 79 | 313 | 35 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 91 | 86 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 253 | 337 | 590 | 128 | 302 | 33 | 3 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1097 | 1009 | 188 | 44 | 6 | 8 | 70 | 386 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 186 | 246 | 266 | 512 | 79 | 290 | 35 | 6 | 225 | 39 | -80 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +24 | -6.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 112 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 229 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 187 | 247 | 269 | 516 | 82 | 291 | 35 | 6 | 225 | 39 | -47 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 71 PAwOBA .314 → .251 (−63)K% 31.0% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.82% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 1.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷0.972 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.144 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 11.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 2.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.048 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 94, 2B 129, 3B 80, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .314 → .251; ISO .176 → .130; BABIP .378 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greenville Drive · 20 PAwOBA .255 → .189 (−67)K% 10.0% → 13.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.981 | ×1.310 | — | — | 13.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 3.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.053 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 10.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .189; ISO .059 → .045; BABIP .200 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greenville Drive · 121 PAwOBA .304 → .239 (−65)K% 28.1% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.10% | ÷1.059 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.74% | ÷1.001 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 112, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .239; ISO .123 → .097; BABIP .356 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 17 PAwOBA .277 → .238 (−39)K% 29.4% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 12.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 33.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .277 → .238; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Greenville Drive · 338 PAwOBA .263 → .203 (−60)K% 26.6% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.63% | ÷1.004 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.24% | ÷1.004 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 19.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.104 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.094 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×1.012 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.891 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 121, 3B 119, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .263 → .203; ISO .074 → .055; BABIP .282 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AGreenville Drive · 436 PAwOBA .310 → .235 (−75)K% 24.5% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.54% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.037 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 20.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.29% | ÷1.015 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.091 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 1.38% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .310 → .235; ISO .121 → .088; BABIP .333 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Red Sox · 94 PAwOBA .318 → .229 (−89)K% 27.7% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.70% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .318 → .229; ISO .118 → .081; BABIP .368 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).