PJ Poulin

P Washington Nationals

Age 31 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs MLB ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBRPD6040-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	45	0	60	2.10	2.03	29.8%	9.4%	—	K 24.8% · BB 9.5% · FIP 2.52
2025	29	MIX2 levels	63	3	67	3.48	2.95	30.3%	10.2%	1.3	K 27.3% · BB 9.6% · FIP 3.33
2026	30	MIX2 levels	41	11	43	2.95	5.07	15.6%	14.0%	-0.3	K 16.3% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.81
2027PROJ	31	MLBWSH	32	0	34	4.17	4.58	20.4%	10.2%	-0.0
2028PROJ95% MLB	32	MLBWSH	48	0	50	4.54	4.81	19.9%	10.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ95% MLB	33	MLBWSH	44	0	46	4.83	5.05	19.3%	10.8%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs15

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsTommy Layne (age 31) · Raul Valdes (age 32) · Adam Liberatore (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.17

FIP4.58

K%20.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP34

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL5050

CMD6565

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.1

Whiff%

p1016.9%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

SL (35%)

SI (23%)

CH-1.3 (12%)

FB-1.6 (53%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	23	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	54	0	59	258	67	20	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.1%	10.1%	0.4%	2.90	2.86	—
2019	23	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	54	0	59	258	67	20	1	0%	1.1	26.0%	7.8%	18.2%	0.4%	2.90	2.07	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	45	176	59	15	4	0%	1.0	26.3%	9.5%	16.8%	2.6%	3.63	3.49	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	45	176	59	15	4	0%	1.0	33.5%	8.5%	25.0%	2.3%	3.63	2.63	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	55	0	61	267	79	23	8	0%	1.1	24.6%	9.3%	15.3%	3.4%	4.15	4.04	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	55	0	61	267	79	23	8	0%	1.1	29.6%	8.6%	21.0%	3.0%	4.15	3.35	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	32	0	50	238	39	32	10	0%	1.6	14.1%	12.1%	2.0%	4.4%	5.44	5.83	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	32	0	50	238	39	32	10	0%	1.6	16.4%	13.4%	2.9%	4.2%	5.44	6.08	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	60	245	73	23	1	0%	1.3	24.8%	9.5%	15.3%	0.6%	2.10	2.52	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	60	245	73	23	1	0%	1.3	24.8%	9.5%	15.3%	0.6%	2.10	2.52	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	60	245	73	23	1	0%	1.3	29.8%	9.4%	20.4%	0.4%	2.10	2.03	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	3	67	294	89	30	6	5%	1.1	27.3%	9.6%	17.7%	2.4%	3.48	3.33	+1.0
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	3	67	294	89	30	6	5%	1.1	27.3%	9.6%	17.7%	2.4%	3.48	3.33	+1.0
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	3	67	294	89	30	6	5%	1.1	30.3%	10.2%	20.1%	2.0%	3.48	2.95	+1.3
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	11	43	179	28	25	5	27%	1.0	16.3%	13.1%	3.3%	2.6%	2.95	4.81	-0.1
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	11	43	179	28	25	5	27%	1.0	16.3%	13.1%	3.3%	2.6%	2.95	4.81	-0.1
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	11	43	179	28	25	5	27%	1.0	15.6%	14.0%	1.7%	2.8%	2.95	5.07	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			63	11	61	263	52	33	6	17%	1.0	19.8%	12.5%	7.2%	2.3%	3.08	4.29	+0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	WSH	32	0	34	144	29	15	4	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	2.8%	4.17	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	WSH	50	0	53	222	44	23	7	0%	1.1	19.9%	10.5%	9.4%	3.1%	4.54	4.81	-0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	WSH	46	0	48	204	39	22	7	0%	1.1	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	3.3%	4.83	5.05	-0.3
2030	34	MLB MLE	WSH	42	0	44	186	35	21	7	0%	1.0	18.6%	11.2%	7.3%	3.6%	5.11	5.32	-0.4
2028	32	MLB CTX	WSH	48	0	50	211	42	22	6	0%	1.0	19.9%	10.5%	9.4%	3.1%	4.54	4.81	-0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	WSH	44	0	46	194	37	21	6	0%	1.0	19.3%	10.8%	8.5%	3.3%	4.83	5.05	-0.3
2030	34	MLB CTX	WSH	38	0	40	169	31	19	6	0%	1.1	18.6%	11.2%	7.3%	3.6%	5.11	5.32	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		192	11	197	836	163	95	25	6%	1.0	19.4%	11.4%	8.1%	3.0%	4.27	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	11	200	849	165	96	25	6%	1.0	19.4%	11.4%	8.1%	3.0%	4.27	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		334	14	384	1657	365	169	38	4%	1.1	22.1%	10.2%	11.9%	2.3%	3.49	3.79	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		174	7	200	863	190	88	20	4%	1.1	22.1%	10.2%	11.9%	2.3%	3.49	3.79	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
PJ Poulin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	20.4%	10.2%	2.8%	—	5.04	19.3%	8.5%	145	+0.46	—	—	—
Tommy Layne L 2016 · 3.43 FIP	31	SU	3.43	20.3%	9.6%	1.5%	.266	4.25	19.4%	10.0%	90	+0.82	0.55	218	82
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	81
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	80
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	79
Randy Flores L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	20.4%	9.7%	2.5%	.333	3.30	18.1%	10.5%	93	-0.70	2.51	250	78
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	78
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	78
George Sherrill L 2008 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	24.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.277	3.38	20.6%	12.4%	141	-0.48	2.74	323	75
Tyler Olson L 2021 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	21.6%	8.7%	2.9%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	263	75
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	74
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	73
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	239	73
Nick Hagadone L 2017 · 3.74 FIP	31	SU	3.74	22.6%	9.3%	2.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	141	73
David Purcey L 2013 · 3.79 FIP	31	SU	3.79	20.4%	11.5%	1.7%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	206	73
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	72
Pedro Feliciano L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	31	SU	3.90	21.1%	7.6%	2.9%	.309	3.02	22.1%	14.9%	122	-0.88	2.69	378	71
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	71
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	70
Brian Fuentes L 2007 · 3.68 FIP	31	SU	3.68	22.0%	9.0%	2.4%	.235	3.19	25.4%	16.4%	166	-0.49	2.08	602	70
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	41	19.6%	11.3%	1.15	4.28
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Ohman ('12)	1.8	50	21.8%	10.3%	1.07	4.28
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*