Collin Snider

P Iowa Cubs

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	28	MIX2 levels	59	1	60	2.40	3.27	27.1%	7.5%	0.9	K 25.9% · BB 7.1% · FIP 3.34
2025	29	MIX2 levels	49	0	52	6.75	5.14	19.1%	3.8%	-0.4	K 17.8% · BB 3.6% · FIP 4.90
2026	30	AAACHC	36	0	40	9.15	7.51	17.2%	10.8%	—	K 14.8% · BB 9.8% · FIP 7.25
2027PROJ	31	MLBCHC	53	0	56	4.80	5.16	18.3%	6.9%	-0.4
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBCHC	18	0	19	5.17	5.42	17.5%	7.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBCHC	25	0	26	5.49	5.70	16.7%	7.8%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

K%36

Whiff%24

FB Velo21

xwOBA vs10

CompsAngel Castro (age 32) · Scott Atchison (age 31) · Tyler Sturdevant (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA4.80

FIP5.16

K%18.3%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%11.4%

Proj IP56

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2192.4

Whiff%

p2421.7%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.361

FB+1.1 (36%)

SI (4%)

CU (12%)

SL-3.5 (39%)

CT-4.5 (25%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	34	149	22	6	4	0%	2.0	10.3%	7.1%	3.2%	1.3%	3.21	3.85	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	34	149	22	6	4	0%	2.0	14.8%	4.0%	10.7%	2.7%	3.21	3.87	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	29	9	76	362	50	16	13	31%	2.6	10.2%	5.2%	5.0%	4.4%	5.57	5.33	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lexington Legends	29	9	76	362	50	16	13	31%	2.6	13.8%	4.4%	9.4%	3.6%	5.57	4.64	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	56	224	34	11	2	3%	1.8	12.6%	6.1%	6.5%	1.4%	2.24	3.55	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	56	224	34	11	2	3%	1.8	15.2%	4.9%	10.3%	0.9%	2.24	2.94	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	66	291	64	25	8	0%	1.4	18.4%	9.3%	9.1%	3.0%	4.48	4.37	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	66	291	64	25	8	0%	1.4	22.0%	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	4.48	3.87	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	56	251	35	30	4	0%	0.9	13.3%	12.3%	1.1%	1.7%	6.11	4.48	+0.0
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	56	251	35	30	4	0%	0.9	13.9%	12.0%	2.0%	1.6%	6.11	4.39	+0.1
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	63	295	53	43	8	2%	1.1	16.0%	13.6%	2.4%	3.1%	5.57	5.16	-0.4
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	1	63	295	53	43	8	2%	1.1	18.0%	14.6%	3.4%	2.7%	5.57	5.12	-0.4
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	25.9%	7.1%	18.7%	2.8%	2.40	3.34	+0.9
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	25.9%	7.1%	18.7%	2.8%	2.40	3.34	+0.9
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	27.1%	7.5%	19.6%	2.7%	2.40	3.27	+0.9
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	17.8%	3.6%	14.2%	5.2%	6.75	4.90	-0.2
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	17.8%	3.6%	14.2%	5.2%	6.75	4.90	-0.2
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	19.1%	3.8%	15.3%	5.5%	6.75	5.14	-0.4
2026	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	14.8%	9.8%	5.1%	7.6%	9.15	7.25	—
2026	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	14.8%	9.8%	5.1%	7.6%	9.15	7.25	—
2026	30	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.8%	6.4%	6.9%	9.15	7.51	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			128	1	123	534	104	44	14	1%	1.0	19.5%	8.2%	11.2%	2.6%	4.48	3.96	+0.9
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	CHC	53	0	56	236	43	16	10	0%	1.1	18.3%	6.9%	11.4%	4.3%	4.80	5.16	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	49	0	52	218	38	16	10	0%	1.1	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	4.5%	5.17	5.42	-0.5
2029	33	MLB MLE	CHC	45	0	47	200	33	16	10	0%	1.1	16.7%	7.8%	8.9%	4.8%	5.49	5.70	-0.6
2030	34	MLB MLE	CHC	41	0	43	182	29	15	9	0%	1.0	15.8%	8.3%	7.5%	5.1%	5.80	6.00	-0.7
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	18	0	19	80	14	6	4	0%	1.1	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	4.5%	5.17	5.42	-0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	CHC	25	0	26	110	18	9	5	0%	1.0	16.7%	7.8%	8.9%	4.8%	5.49	5.70	-0.3
2030	34	MLB CTX	CHC	21	0	22	93	15	8	5	0%	1.0	15.8%	8.3%	7.5%	5.1%	5.80	6.00	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		192	1	189	816	151	66	28	1%	1.0	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.4%	4.84	4.42	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		202	1	200	861	159	70	30	1%	1.0	18.5%	8.1%	10.4%	3.4%	4.84	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		390	12	504	2266	353	187	78	3%	1.3	15.6%	8.3%	7.3%	3.4%	4.99	4.72	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	5	200	900	140	74	31	3%	1.3	15.6%	8.3%	7.3%	3.4%	4.99	4.72	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Collin Snider (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	18.3%	6.9%	4.3%	—	5.69	16.7%	8.9%	142	+0.53	—	—	—
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	83
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	79
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	78
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	78
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	78
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	78
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	77
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	76
Pedro Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	31	SU	4.14	14.7%	4.9%	3.0%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	145	76
Miguel Socolovich R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	16.4%	5.1%	3.6%	.303	3.55	19.7%	14.5%	93	-0.82	2.65	299	75
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	75
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	75
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	75
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	74
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	74
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	74
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	74
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	40	18.1%	8.0%	1.50	4.97
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*