Collin Snider
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.28
FIP4.39
K%20.7%
BB%6.0%
K-BB%14.7%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p2421.7%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.361
FB+1.1 (36%)
SI (4%)
CU (12%)
SL-3.5 (39%)
CT-4.5 (25%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 34 | 149 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 3.21 | 3.85 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 34 | 149 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 2.0 | 14.8% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 3.21 | 3.87 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | 29 | 9 | 76 | 362 | 50 | 16 | 13 | 31% | 2.6 | 10.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.57 | 5.22 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | 29 | 9 | 76 | 362 | 50 | 16 | 13 | 31% | 2.6 | 13.8% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 5.57 | 4.64 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 1 | 56 | 224 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 3% | 1.8 | 12.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 2.24 | 3.67 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 1 | 56 | 224 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 3% | 1.8 | 15.2% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 0.9% | 2.24 | 2.94 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 66 | 291 | 64 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.35 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 66 | 291 | 64 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 35 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 6.11 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 0 | 56 | 251 | 35 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 13.9% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 6.11 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 63 | 295 | 53 | 43 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 15.1% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.57 | 5.39 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 63 | 295 | 53 | 43 | 8 | 2% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 14.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.57 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 60 | 255 | 69 | 19 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 18.4% | 2.7% | 2.40 | 3.37 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 59 | 1 | 60 | 255 | 69 | 19 | 7 | 2% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 2.7% | 2.40 | 3.27 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 45 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 6.75 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 52 | 236 | 45 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 3.8% | 15.3% | 5.5% | 6.75 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 29 | 0 | 35 | 175 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.77 | 7.91 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 56 | 16 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 99 | 446 | 87 | 33 | 23 | — | — | 19.5% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 6.22 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 6 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 20.7% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.01 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 50 | 16 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 4.49 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 53 | 0 | 55 | 234 | 45 | 16 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 4.72 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 39 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 4.98 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 4.49 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 4.72 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 4.98 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 217 | 1 | 216 | 928 | 179 | 71 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.18 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 201 | 1 | 200 | 859 | 166 | 66 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 3.2% | 4.59 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 383 | 12 | 498 | 2238 | 351 | 192 | 77 | 3% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.74 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 5 | 200 | 898 | 141 | 77 | 31 | 3% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.74 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Collin Snider (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 20.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | — | 4.87 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 166 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 84 |
| Carlos Torres R 2028 · 3.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.19 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.74 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 206 | +0.55 | 2.78 | 326 | 80 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 79 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 79 |
| Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 79 |
| Rob Wooten R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.26 | 19.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | .299 | 3.74 | 17.7% | 14.4% | 111 | -1.52 | 3.19 | 191 | 78 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 78 |
| Craig Stammen R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.86 | 17.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | .333 | 3.42 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 241 | -0.44 | 1.87 | 407 | 78 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 78 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 77 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.05 | 26.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | .288 | 4.80 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 118 | +0.75 | 2.90 | 227 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 76 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.55 | 20.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 137 | 75 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 75 |
| Jim Johnson R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.21 | 2.51 | 251 | 75 |
| Chris Martin R 2025 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 75 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2024 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 1.47 | 4.59 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |