Collin Snider — OGILVIE

Collin Snider P Iowa Cubs

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.31

FIP4.43

K%20.4%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%14.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2192.4

Whiff%

p2421.7%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.361

FB+1.1 (36%)

SI (4%)

CU (12%)

SL-3.5 (39%)

CT-4.5 (25%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	34	149	22	6	4	0%	2.0	10.3%	7.1%	3.2%	1.3%	3.21	3.85	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	34	149	22	6	4	0%	2.0	14.8%	4.0%	10.7%	2.7%	3.21	3.87	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lexington Legends	29	9	76	362	50	16	13	31%	2.6	10.2%	5.2%	5.0%	4.4%	5.57	5.33	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lexington Legends	29	9	76	362	50	16	13	31%	2.6	13.8%	4.4%	9.4%	3.6%	5.57	4.64	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	56	224	34	11	2	3%	1.8	12.6%	6.1%	6.5%	1.4%	2.24	3.55	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	56	224	34	11	2	3%	1.8	15.2%	4.9%	10.3%	0.9%	2.24	2.94	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	66	291	64	25	8	0%	1.4	18.4%	9.3%	9.1%	3.0%	4.48	4.37	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	66	291	64	25	8	0%	1.4	22.0%	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	4.48	3.87	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	56	251	35	30	4	0%	0.9	13.3%	12.3%	1.1%	1.7%	6.11	4.48	+0.0
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	56	251	35	30	4	0%	0.9	13.9%	12.0%	2.0%	1.6%	6.11	4.39	+0.1
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	63	295	53	43	8	2%	1.1	15.5%	13.6%	2.0%	3.1%	5.57	5.19	-0.5
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	63	295	53	43	8	2%	1.1	15.5%	13.6%	2.0%	3.1%	5.57	5.19	-0.5
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	1	63	295	53	43	8	2%	1.1	18.0%	14.6%	3.4%	2.7%	5.57	5.12	-0.4
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	25.6%	7.1%	18.5%	2.8%	2.40	3.36	+0.8
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	25.6%	7.1%	18.5%	2.8%	2.40	3.36	+0.8
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	1	60	255	69	19	7	2%	1.0	27.1%	7.5%	19.6%	2.7%	2.40	3.27	+0.9
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	17.6%	3.6%	13.9%	5.2%	6.75	4.92	-0.2
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	17.6%	3.6%	13.9%	5.2%	6.75	4.92	-0.2
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	52	236	45	9	13	0%	1.1	19.1%	3.8%	15.3%	5.5%	6.75	5.14	-0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			128	1	123	534	104	44	14	1%	1.0	19.5%	8.2%	11.2%	2.6%	4.48	3.96	+0.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	14.3%	9.8%	4.6%	7.6%	9.15	7.29	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	14.3%	9.8%	4.6%	7.6%	9.15	7.29	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	CHC	36	0	40	203	35	22	14	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.8%	6.4%	6.9%	9.15	6.80	—
ROS	30	MLB MLE	CHC	5	0	5	23	5	1	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	5.7%	14.7%	3.6%	4.31	4.43	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	46	226	40	23	15	—	—	17.6%	10.3%	7.2%	6.6%	8.58	6.95	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	57	0	60	253	50	15	10	0%	1.1	19.6%	6.0%	13.6%	3.8%	4.52	4.66	-0.1
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	53	0	55	234	44	15	9	0%	1.0	18.8%	6.4%	12.4%	4.0%	4.76	4.92	-0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	21	0	22	93	18	6	4	0%	1.0	19.6%	6.0%	13.6%	3.8%	4.52	4.66	-0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	30	0	31	131	25	8	5	0%	1.0	18.8%	6.4%	12.4%	4.0%	4.76	4.92	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		179	1	176	758	147	58	23	1%	1.0	19.4%	7.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.53	4.08	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		203	1	200	863	167	66	26	1%	1.0	19.4%	7.6%	11.7%	3.0%	4.53	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		390	12	504	2266	349	187	78	3%	1.3	15.4%	8.3%	7.1%	3.4%	4.99	4.73	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	5	200	900	139	74	31	3%	1.3	15.4%	8.3%	7.1%	3.4%	4.99	4.73	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Collin Snider (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	20.4%	5.7%	3.6%	—	4.78	19.2%	13.0%	115	+0.35	—	—	—
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	83
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	3.19	191	83
Craig Stammen R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	32	SU	4.04	17.0%	3.7%	3.5%	.333	3.27	23.9%	18.6%	241	-0.77	1.82	407	79
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	79
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	79
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	79
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	77
Junichi Tazawa R 2016 · 4.14 FIP	30	SU	4.14	26.0%	6.2%	4.4%	.288	4.74	17.7%	9.1%	118	+0.60	2.94	227	77
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	76
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	76
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	76
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	76
Alex Wilson R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	30	SU	3.77	16.2%	3.8%	2.8%	.299	4.61	18.5%	12.8%	123	+0.84	3.35	326	76
Gerardo Sanchez R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	30	SU	3.58	20.5%	5.4%	2.8%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	137	76
Justin Miller R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	30	SU	4.44	16.9%	4.4%	4.0%	.305	4.88	25.8%	18.8%	81	+0.44	2.63	279	75
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	29	SU	3.40	21.1%	6.1%	2.4%	.376	5.80	20.8%	10.2%	60	+2.40	3.40	162	74
Casey Fien R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	31	SU	3.42	16.0%	3.1%	2.3%	.272	5.55	18.5%	14.4%	73	+2.13	3.42	136	74
Jim Johnson R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	32	SU	3.34	17.2%	6.2%	1.7%	.330	3.63	22.0%	14.1%	185	+0.29	2.56	251	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	19.6%	6.0%	1.46	4.52
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47