Kevin Watson Jr
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+/A/ROK2 orgs | 118 | .318/.500/.482 | 1 | 7 | 105 | — | .234/.372/.345 |
| 2022 | 23 | ASEA | 236 | .237/.365/.418 | 7 | 10 | 69 | — | .185/.283/.327 |
| 2023 | 24 | ASEA | 351 | .296/.402/.361 | 0 | 9 | 77 | — | .245/.324/.297 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 25 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 240 | 217 | 457 | 43 | 250 | 28 | 8 | 216 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 185 | 156 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 355 | 365 | 721 | 122 | 353 | 29 | 12 | 327 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 19 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 421 | 400 | 821 | 133 | 444 | 32 | 21 | 375 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 29 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 414 | 625 | 1.039 | 333 | 429 | 31 | 17 | 441 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 70 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 348 | 559 | 435 | 994 | 87 | 432 | 16 | 29 | 448 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 236 | 194 | 46 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 64 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 237 | 365 | 418 | 782 | 180 | 310 | 27 | 14 | 349 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 351 | 294 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 50 | 62 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 296 | 402 | 361 | 762 | 65 | 367 | 18 | 14 | 348 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 167 | 327 | 42 | 203 | 40 | 4 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 185 | 165 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 152 | 235 | 218 | 453 | 67 | 266 | 41 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 316 | 312 | 628 | 125 | 367 | 42 | 16 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 29 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 423 | 699 | 231 | 366 | 45 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 70 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 264 | 426 | 321 | 747 | 57 | 340 | 23 | 19 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 236 | 205 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 185 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 141 | 271 | 37 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 351 | 310 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 84 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 324 | 297 | 620 | 52 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 167 | 327 | 42 | 214 | 40 | 4 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 25 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 240 | 217 | 457 | 43 | 250 | 28 | 8 | 216 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 185 | 165 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 152 | 235 | 218 | 453 | 67 | 270 | 41 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 185 | 156 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 53 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 244 | 355 | 365 | 721 | 122 | 353 | 29 | 12 | 327 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 118 | 95 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 36 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 242 | 379 | 358 | 737 | 116 | 367 | 31 | 16 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 118 | 85 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 318 | 500 | 482 | 982 | 165 | 433 | 22 | 25 | 435 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 236 | 205 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 185 | 283 | 327 | 610 | 141 | 281 | 37 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 236 | 194 | 46 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 64 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 237 | 365 | 418 | 782 | 180 | 310 | 27 | 14 | 349 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 351 | 310 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 84 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 245 | 324 | 297 | 620 | 52 | 329 | 24 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 351 | 294 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 50 | 62 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 296 | 402 | 361 | 762 | 65 | 367 | 18 | 14 | 348 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 25 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 160 | 167 | 327 | 42 | 203 | 40 | 4 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 185 | 165 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 76 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 152 | 235 | 218 | 453 | 67 | 266 | 41 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 118 | 96 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 36 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 379 | 354 | 733 | 115 | 351 | 31 | 16 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 236 | 206 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 88 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 184 | 283 | 325 | 609 | 141 | 271 | 37 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 351 | 312 | 76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 84 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 244 | 324 | 295 | 619 | 51 | 322 | 24 | 10 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 915 | 799 | 165 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 90 | 294 | 14 | 35 | 10 | 207 | 298 | 292 | 590 | 85 | 309 | 32 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -37 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +20 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 118 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 209 | 10 | 25 | 7 | 208 | 300 | 296 | 595 | 88 | 310 | 32 | 10 | 266 | 66 | -26 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AInland Empire 66ers · 351 PAwOBA .344 → .282 (−62)K% 17.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.96% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.60% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.980 | 27.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.60% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×0.980 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×0.980 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 110, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .344 → .282; ISO .065 → .053; BABIP .367 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AInland Empire 66ers · 236 PAwOBA .343 → .270 (−74)K% 27.1% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.12% | ÷0.991 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.56% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 20.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.023 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 2.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.020 | ×0.990 | 3.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 4.80% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 101, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .343 → .270; ISO .180 → .150; BABIP .310 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Angels · 70 PAwOBA .452 → .345 (−107)K% 15.7% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷1.003 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.952 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 18.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.14% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 30.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.081 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.179 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 97, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .452 → .345; ISO .087 → .066; BABIP .432 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AInland Empire 66ers · 29 PAwOBA .430 → .307 (−123)K% 31.0% → 43.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | — | 12.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | — | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | — | 10.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | — | 5.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .430 → .307; ISO .333 → .229; BABIP .429 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 19 PAwOBA .367 → .267 (−100)K% 31.6% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 41.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.047 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 14.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.069 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 28.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 8.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 114, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .367 → .267; ISO .133 → .090; BABIP .444 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKACL D-backs · 185 PAwOBA .319 → .211 (−108)K% 28.6% → 41.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 41.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 19.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .211; ISO .122 → .078; BABIP .353 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKACL D-backs · 25 PAwOBA .211 → .142 (−69)K% 28.0% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 15.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .211 → .142; ISO .043 → .027; BABIP .250 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).