Drew Strotman

P Sacramento River Cats

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	25	AAATEX	42	0	53	6.32	4.24	24.8%	14.2%	—	K 21.8% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.63
2023	26	AAASF	32	13	97	6.47	4.65	20.5%	15.1%	—	K 17.6% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.56
2024	27	MIX2 levels	38	0	51	3.86	4.02	22.5%	14.3%	—	K 18.9% · BB 13.9% · FIP 4.25
2027PROJ	30	MLBSF	33	0	35	4.75	4.75	21.1%	11.4%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBSF	11	0	12	4.83	4.91	20.9%	11.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsYoanner Negrin (age 31) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Rodolfo Aguirre (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%21.1%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP35

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	9	9	46	189	43	18	0	100%	5.1	16.8%	11.2%	5.6%	0.0%	3.52	3.10	—
2018	21	A RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	9	9	46	189	43	18	0	100%	5.1	22.8%	9.5%	13.2%	0.0%	3.52	2.40	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	9	24	111	24	11	3	100%	2.7	13.7%	12.6%	1.1%	5.5%	4.50	6.54	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	9	24	111	24	11	3	100%	2.7	21.6%	9.9%	11.7%	2.7%	4.50	4.10	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	25	24	112	504	104	63	12	96%	4.5	18.2%	13.1%	5.0%	2.3%	5.29	4.51	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	25	24	112	504	104	63	12	96%	4.5	20.6%	12.5%	8.1%	2.4%	5.29	4.32	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	42	0	53	254	63	36	6	0%	1.3	21.8%	14.9%	6.9%	2.7%	6.32	4.63	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	42	0	53	254	63	36	6	0%	1.3	24.8%	14.2%	10.6%	2.4%	6.32	4.24	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	32	13	97	469	96	71	10	41%	3.0	17.6%	13.6%	4.0%	2.2%	6.47	4.56	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	32	13	97	469	96	71	10	41%	3.0	20.5%	15.1%	5.3%	2.1%	6.47	4.65	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	51	244	55	35	4	0%	1.4	18.9%	13.9%	5.0%	1.8%	3.86	4.25	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	51	244	55	35	4	0%	1.4	18.9%	13.9%	5.0%	1.8%	3.86	4.25	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	51	244	55	35	4	0%	1.4	22.5%	14.3%	8.2%	1.6%	3.86	4.02	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	SF	33	0	35	148	31	17	4	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.4%	9.7%	2.9%	4.75	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	SF	31	0	32	137	29	16	4	0%	1.0	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	3.2%	4.83	4.91	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	SF	11	0	12	51	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	3.2%	4.83	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	11	6	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	3.2%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	100	33	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.5%	9.4%	3.2%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		155	55	384	1771	323	237	40	35%	2.5	18.2%	13.4%	4.8%	2.2%	5.28	4.48	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	29	200	923	168	124	21	35%	2.5	18.2%	13.4%	4.8%	2.2%	5.28	4.48	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Strotman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	21.1%	11.4%	2.9%	—	4.91	20.9%	9.4%	32	+0.16	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	75
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	70
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	69
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	69
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	69
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	68
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	68
Eder Llamas R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	11.4%	6.8%	2.0%	.301	3.23	11.3%	4.6%	64	-0.89	3.23	171	67
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	67
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	67
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	67
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	66
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	66
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	66
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	66
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	66
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	66
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	65
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	21.0%	11.4%	1.18	4.79
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*