Drew Strotman
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%21.2%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 9 | 9 | 46 | 189 | 43 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 9 | 9 | 46 | 189 | 43 | 18 | 0 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 2.40 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 24 | 111 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 2.7 | 13.7% | 12.6% | 1.1% | 5.9% | 4.50 | 6.75 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 9 | 24 | 111 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 2.7 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.10 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 25 | 24 | 112 | 504 | 104 | 63 | 12 | 96% | 4.5 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 5.29 | 4.39 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 25 | 24 | 112 | 504 | 104 | 63 | 12 | 96% | 4.5 | 20.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 5.29 | 4.32 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 42 | 0 | 53 | 254 | 63 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.8% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 6.32 | 4.70 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 42 | 0 | 53 | 254 | 63 | 36 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 6.32 | 4.24 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 13 | 97 | 469 | 96 | 71 | 10 | 41% | 3.0 | 18.0% | 15.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 6.47 | 4.75 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 13 | 97 | 469 | 96 | 71 | 10 | 41% | 3.0 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 6.47 | 4.65 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 51 | 244 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.1% | 15.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 51 | 244 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 4.02 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SF | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 39 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.53 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 107 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 155 | 55 | 384 | 1771 | 325 | 251 | 39 | 35% | 2.5 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 5.28 | 4.54 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 29 | 200 | 923 | 169 | 131 | 20 | 35% | 2.5 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 5.28 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Strotman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.91 | 21.1% | 8.7% | 40 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 75 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 74 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 74 |
| André Rienzo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 74 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 72 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 70 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 70 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 70 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 70 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 70 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 69 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 69 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 69 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 69 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 69 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 69 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 68 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 68 |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.94 | 22.8% | 11.4% | 2.4% | .278 | 3.42 | 27.3% | 14.2% | 51 | -0.52 | 3.22 | 537 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 42 | 21.1% | 12.4% | 1.11 | 4.80 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |