Drew Strotman
P
Sacramento River Cats
+0.1
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.2%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%8.8%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 9 | 9 | 46 | 189 | 43 | 18 | 0 | 16.8% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 3.10 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | 9 | 9 | 24 | 111 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 13.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 4.50 | 6.49 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 25 | 24 | 112 | 504 | 104 | 63 | 12 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 2.3% | 5.29 | 4.48 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 42 | 0 | 53 | 254 | 63 | 36 | 6 | 21.8% | 14.9% | 2.8% | 6.32 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 13 | 97 | 469 | 96 | 71 | 10 | 18.0% | 15.9% | 2.2% | 6.47 | 4.81 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 38 | 0 | 51 | 244 | 55 | 35 | 4 | 19.1% | 15.3% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 55 | 32 | 7 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | 4.78 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 54 | 31 | 7 | 21.2% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.77 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SF | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 51 | 29 | 7 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.84 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SF | 55 | — | 55 | 234 | 49 | 28 | 7 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | SF | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | SF | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 43 | 26 | 7 | 20.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 5.02 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | SF | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 20.0% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 5.13 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | SF | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 37 | 24 | 6 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 155 | 55 | 384 | 1771 | 325 | 251 | 39 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 2.2% | 5.28 | 4.57 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 29 | 200 | 923 | 169 | 131 | 20 | 18.4% | 14.2% | 2.2% | 5.28 | 4.57 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew Strotman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.85 | 21.1% | 9.0% | 173 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 89 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 89 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 86 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.4% | .310 | 4.90 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.65 | 3.99 | 748 | 86 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.47 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -0.99 | 2.97 | 230 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.82 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .275 | 6.70 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +1.88 | 3.88 | 180 | 85 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.77 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.74 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | -0.03 | 2.26 | 602 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.03 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.65 | 2.38 | 160 | 84 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -0.54 | 3.46 | 295 | 84 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 230 | 82 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 81 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.93 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.0% | .237 | 4.40 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.53 | 2.47 | 231 | 81 |
| Justin Miller R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .353 | 4.68 | 22.5% | 16.5% | 127 | +0.87 | 2.67 | 279 | 80 |
| Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.45 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.14 | 162 | 80 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.94 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 2.0% | .292 | 3.68 | 15.5% | 6.9% | 16 | -0.26 | 3.68 | 146 | 80 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .304 | 6.07 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 80 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.