Victor Nova
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | ROKAZL Indians B… | 181 | .297/.409/.378 | 1 | 9 | 62 | — | .222/.301/.278 |
| 2021 | 21 | AA/A+CLE | 377 | .216/.318/.319 | 5 | 10 | 41 | — | .174/.254/.249 |
| 2022 | 22 | AACLE | 124 | .125/.248/.192 | 0 | 2 | 1 | — | .101/.190/.156 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 154 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 197 | 377 | 291 | 668 | 94 | 239 | 19 | 21 | 317 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | — | 181 | 148 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 297 | 409 | 378 | 787 | 81 | 384 | 20 | 14 | 353 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 90 | 79 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 326 | 278 | 604 | 38 | 352 | 28 | 11 | 281 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 287 | 241 | 50 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 77 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 207 | 316 | 332 | 648 | 124 | 280 | 27 | 13 | 295 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 124 | 104 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 248 | 192 | 440 | 67 | 197 | 31 | 14 | 212 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 154 | 127 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 126 | 265 | 181 | 446 | 55 | 152 | 24 | 15 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 181 | 158 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 222 | 301 | 278 | 580 | 57 | 311 | 29 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 90 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 232 | 501 | 24 | 338 | 34 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 287 | 256 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 101 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 164 | 249 | 254 | 503 | 90 | 243 | 35 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 124 | 109 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 101 | 190 | 156 | 346 | 55 | 181 | 39 | 10 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 154 | 127 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 126 | 265 | 181 | 446 | 55 | 163 | 24 | 15 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 154 | 117 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 197 | 377 | 291 | 668 | 94 | 239 | 19 | 21 | 317 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 181 | 158 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 222 | 301 | 278 | 580 | 57 | 321 | 29 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Indians Blue | — | 181 | 148 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 297 | 409 | 378 | 787 | 81 | 384 | 20 | 14 | 353 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 337 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 133 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 172 | 254 | 246 | 500 | 74 | 271 | 35 | 9 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 377 | 320 | 69 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 102 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 216 | 318 | 319 | 637 | 103 | 298 | 27 | 12 | 292 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 124 | 109 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 101 | 190 | 156 | 346 | 55 | 180 | 39 | 10 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | Akron RubberDucks | — | 124 | 104 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 248 | 192 | 440 | 67 | 197 | 31 | 14 | 212 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 154 | 129 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 124 | 265 | 178 | 443 | 54 | 152 | 24 | 15 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Indians Blue | — | 181 | 161 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 301 | 273 | 574 | 56 | 311 | 29 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 377 | 337 | 58 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 133 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 172 | 254 | 246 | 500 | 74 | 266 | 35 | 9 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 124 | 111 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 99 | 190 | 153 | 343 | 54 | 181 | 39 | 10 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 836 | 731 | 120 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 85 | 271 | 6 | 28 | 9 | 164 | 257 | 228 | 485 | 64 | 249 | 32 | 10 | 224 | 38 | -62 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +18 | -3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 94 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 211 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 165 | 258 | 232 | 490 | 67 | 251 | 32 | 10 | 224 | 38 | -48 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAAkron RubberDucks · 124 PAwOBA .207 → .170 (−38)K% 30.6% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.052 | ×0.970 | ×0.955 | ×1.042 | 8.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.61% | ÷0.926 | ×0.860 | ×0.955 | ×1.042 | 9.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | ×0.955 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 85, 3B 96, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .207 → .170; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .197 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Lake County Captains · 287 PAwOBA .290 → .226 (−64)K% 26.8% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.83% | ÷1.026 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.89% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 9.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.12% | ÷1.041 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 17.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.83% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×1.027 | 1.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.222 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .290 → .226; ISO .124 → .095; BABIP .280 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAkron RubberDucks · 90 PAwOBA .275 → .237 (−38)K% 27.8% → 34.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.63% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 29.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.129 | ×0.870 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.116 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.893 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 123, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .275 → .237; ISO .038 → .030; BABIP .352 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Indians Blue · 181 PAwOBA .349 → .260 (−88)K% 20.4% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 27.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.71% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .260; ISO .081 → .060; BABIP .384 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 DSLDSL Padres · 154 PAwOBA .314 → .214 (−100)K% 19.5% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 14.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.961 | ×1.008 | 12.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.961 | ×1.008 | 2.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.961 | ×1.008 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .314 → .214; ISO .094 → .053; BABIP .239 → .152. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).