Jason Ruffcorn

P Arkansas Travelers

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	42	0	50	3.44	3.48	26.1%	8.1%	—	K 20.6% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.18
2025	27	AASEA	47	0	66	3.02	3.08	25.1%	10.4%	—	K 20.3% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.01
2026	28	AASEA	33	7	69	6.68	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	—	K 15.3% · BB 8.5% · FIP 4.73
2027PROJ	29	MLBSEA	66	0	69	4.94	4.94	16.7%	9.6%	-0.3
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBSEA	19	0	20	4.98	5.05	17.0%	9.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	31	MLBSEA	30	0	31	5.09	5.20	17.1%	10.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAngel Castro (age 32) · Wirfin Obispo (age 30) · Eder Llamas (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%16.7%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%7.1%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	12	0	12	58	13	7	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	2.3%	5.84	4.74	—
2021	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	12	0	12	58	13	7	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.1%	10.3%	1.7%	5.84	3.75	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	45	211	40	37	4	0%	1.2	14.6%	20.2%	-5.6%	2.7%	5.80	5.90	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	38	0	45	211	40	37	4	0%	1.2	19.0%	17.5%	1.4%	1.9%	5.80	4.94	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	44	0	50	225	52	21	3	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.7%	7.1%	1.9%	5.01	4.02	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	44	0	50	225	52	21	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	9.3%	13.8%	1.3%	5.01	3.06	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	3.44	4.18	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	20.6%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	3.44	4.18	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	50	211	55	17	6	0%	1.2	26.1%	8.1%	18.0%	2.8%	3.44	3.48	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.1%	3.02	4.01	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	2.1%	3.02	4.01	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	47	0	66	279	70	29	4	0%	1.4	25.1%	10.4%	14.7%	1.4%	3.02	3.08	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	33	7	69	322	61	25	9	21%	2.1	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	3.4%	6.68	4.73	—
2026	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	33	7	69	322	61	25	9	21%	2.1	15.3%	8.5%	6.8%	3.4%	6.68	4.73	—
2026	28	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	33	7	69	322	61	25	9	21%	2.1	18.9%	7.8%	11.2%	2.8%	6.68	4.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	SEA	66	0	69	291	49	28	9	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.6%	7.1%	3.0%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	272	46	27	9	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	3.2%	4.98	5.05	-0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	SEA	57	0	60	254	43	26	9	0%	1.1	17.1%	10.2%	6.9%	3.4%	5.09	5.20	-0.4
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	19	0	20	84	14	8	3	0%	1.1	17.0%	9.9%	7.1%	3.2%	4.98	5.05	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	SEA	30	0	31	131	22	13	4	0%	1.0	17.1%	10.2%	6.9%	3.4%	5.09	5.20	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	216	37	22	7	0%	1.0	17.1%	10.1%	7.0%	3.3%	5.05	4.76	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	145	86	27	0%	1.1	17.1%	10.1%	7.0%	3.3%	5.05	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		216	7	292	1306	230	154	35	3%	1.4	17.6%	11.8%	5.8%	2.6%	4.84	4.55	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	5	200	896	158	105	24	3%	1.4	17.6%	11.8%	5.8%	2.6%	4.84	4.55	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jason Ruffcorn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	16.7%	9.6%	3.0%	—	5.12	17.1%	7.0%	125	+0.18	—	—	—
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	90
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	84
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	84
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	83
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	83
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	83
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	82
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	82
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	82
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	81
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	81
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	80
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	80
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	80
David Goforth R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	29	SU	4.07	14.1%	8.6%	2.0%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	256	80
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	16.9%	9.9%	1.23	5.00
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*