Jake Walsh

P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 32 RHP 6'1" / 192 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	27	MIX2 levels	16	18	3.00	2.16	34.6%	10.3%	0.5	K 30.7% · BB 10.0% · FIP 2.69
2023	28	AAASTL	27	31	5.28	5.25	23.9%	16.2%	—	K 20.6% · BB 14.6% · FIP 5.43
2024	29	AAAATL	11	12	2.31	3.79	15.1%	15.1%	—	K 13.0% · BB 13.6% · FIP 3.72
2027PROJ	32	MLBATL	6	6	4.55	4.55	21.3%	9.9%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBATL	7	7	4.68	4.78	21.0%	10.3%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJames Hoyt (age 32) · Arcenio Leon (age 32) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%21.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.4%

Proj IP6

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

FB-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	16	0	28	108	39	10	1	0%	1.8	24.6%	11.6%	13.0%	1.3%	0.95	3.20	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	16	0	28	108	39	10	1	0%	1.8	36.1%	9.3%	26.9%	0.9%	0.95	1.86	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	140	560	116	35	11	96%	5.6	15.7%	7.3%	8.4%	2.8%	2.51	4.22	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	140	560	116	35	11	96%	5.6	20.7%	6.2%	14.5%	2.0%	2.51	3.21	—
2019	24	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	2	1	2	8	4	1	0	50%	0.8	50.0%	12.5%	37.5%	0.0%	10.80	0.46	—
2019	24	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	2	1	2	8	4	1	0	50%	0.8	50.0%	12.5%	37.5%	0.0%	10.80	0.10	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	88	34	7	2	0%	1.3	28.9%	6.3%	22.6%	0.0%	2.86	1.45	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	22	88	34	7	2	0%	1.3	38.6%	8.0%	30.7%	2.3%	2.86	2.15	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	18	78	27	8	1	0%	1.1	30.7%	10.0%	20.7%	1.7%	3.00	2.69	+0.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	18	78	27	8	1	0%	1.1	34.6%	10.3%	24.4%	1.3%	3.00	2.16	+0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	27	0	31	142	34	23	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	14.6%	6.0%	4.1%	5.28	5.43	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	27	0	31	142	34	23	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	16.2%	7.7%	3.5%	5.28	5.25	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	13.0%	13.6%	-0.6%	0.0%	2.31	3.72	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	13.0%	13.6%	-0.6%	0.0%	2.31	3.72	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	11	0	12	53	8	8	0	0%	1.1	15.1%	15.1%	0.0%	0.0%	2.31	3.79	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	3	15	5	2	0	0%	0.9	33.3%	13.3%	20.0%	0.0%	13.50	1.60	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	ATL	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	2.9%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.3%	10.8%	3.2%	4.68	4.78	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.3%	10.8%	3.2%	4.68	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	46	12	5	1	0%	1.0	25.0%	11.3%	13.8%	2.2%	7.03	3.61	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	919	239	100	20	0%	1.0	25.0%	11.3%	13.8%	2.2%	7.03	3.61	+2.2
Career	—	MLE		114	25	252	1037	204	95	24	22%	2.2	19.7%	9.2%	10.5%	2.3%	2.79	3.88	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	20	200	823	162	76	19	22%	2.2	19.7%	9.2%	10.5%	2.3%	2.79	3.88	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jake Walsh (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	21.3%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.78	21.0%	10.8%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
James Hoyt R 2019 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.2%	9.9%	1.8%	.355	5.63	22.1%	10.4%	50	+2.18	1.61	312	68
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	67
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	67
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	66
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	66
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	66
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	65
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	65
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	64
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	64
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	64
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	64
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	64
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	64
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	63
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	63
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	63
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2018 · 3.45 FIP	34	SU	3.45	22.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.242	3.97	24.6%	15.2%	65	+0.52	3.45	132	63
Dustin Molleken R 2017 · 3.38 FIP	32	SU	3.38	24.3%	12.4%	1.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	129	62
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	62