Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 7 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 9.9% | 10.1% | -0.2% | 0.0% | 3.95 | 3.54 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 7 | 0 | 14 | 62 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 14.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 3.95 | 2.88 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 11 | 8 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 73% | 3.8 | 17.4% | 4.6% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 3.86 | 4.17 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 11 | 8 | 42 | 179 | 42 | 7 | 4 | 73% | 3.8 | 23.5% | 3.9% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 2.84 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 38 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 68 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 19.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 2.83 | 3.80 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 38 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 68 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 1.5% | 2.83 | 2.82 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 5 | 83 | 361 | 77 | 29 | 15 | 16% | 2.6 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 3.90 | 7.08 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 5 | 83 | 361 | 77 | 29 | 15 | 16% | 2.6 | 21.3% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 3.90 | 4.64 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 55 | 239 | 49 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.4% | 4.0% | 13.4% | 1.4% | 4.75 | 2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 55 | 239 | 49 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 20.5% | 5.4% | 15.1% | 2.1% | 4.75 | 3.21 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 7 | 71 | 313 | 49 | 27 | 9 | 22% | 2.2 | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.91 | 5.64 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 7 | 71 | 313 | 49 | 27 | 9 | 22% | 2.2 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 4.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.8% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.73 | 5.73 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.6% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.70 | 5.77 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.75 | 5.86 | -0.9 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.6% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.70 | 5.77 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | TOR | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.0% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.75 | 5.86 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.73 | 5.44 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 109 | 88 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.73 | 5.44 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 20 | 329 | 1419 | 234 | 111 | 58 | 13% | 2.2 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.83 | 4.92 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 12 | 200 | 863 | 142 | 67 | 35 | 13% | 2.2 | 16.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 3.83 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bobby Milacki (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.73 | 11.8% | 10.2% | 3.6% | — | 5.81 | 12.8% | 2.3% | 125 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.24 | 6.7% | 11.3% | 2.3% | .292 | 5.38 | 9.0% | -4.4% | 49 | +0.14 | 4.89 | 146 | 82 |
| Alex Caldera R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 81 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 78 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 78 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 78 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2029 · 5.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.14 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .281 | 4.13 | 12.1% | 4.4% | 139 | -1.01 | 3.26 | 273 | 77 |
| Jose Casilla R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.69 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 76 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.27 | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.2% | .365 | 4.44 | 11.4% | 3.1% | 109 | -0.83 | 4.15 | 152 | 76 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Warwick Saupold R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.00 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 389 | 75 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 74 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.95 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .303 | 3.28 | 21.3% | 15.1% | 133 | -1.67 | 2.67 | 333 | 74 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 29 | SW | 6.19 | 15.7% | 13.1% | 5.0% | .294 | 5.26 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 25 | -0.93 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2025 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 74 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 74 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.75 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | .292 | 4.46 | 11.6% | 2.4% | 107 | -0.29 | 4.11 | 156 | 73 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 73 |
| Rene Coss R 2025 · 5.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.24 | 12.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 123 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 12.4% | 10.4% | 1.43 | 5.73 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |