Jorge Caballero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | AMIA | 271 | .290/.372/.378 | 3 | 1 | 61 | — | .224/.290/.280 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+/AMIA | 379 | .304/.389/.404 | 3 | 8 | 81 | — | .255/.323/.325 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+MIA | 209 | .254/.391/.331 | 2 | 3 | 64 | — | .205/.309/.272 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | — | 244 | 198 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 388 | 359 | 747 | 91 | 305 | 14 | 11 | 338 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 194 | 160 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 300 | 411 | 362 | 773 | 62 | 429 | 25 | 15 | 351 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Marlins | — | 55 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 455 | 565 | 1.020 | 217 | 483 | 27 | 15 | 448 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 271 | 238 | 69 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 372 | 378 | 750 | 88 | 398 | 26 | 10 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 132 | 114 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 351 | 325 | 676 | 70 | 414 | 34 | 11 | 312 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 247 | 218 | 72 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 330 | 409 | 445 | 854 | 115 | 411 | 19 | 11 | 384 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 25 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 150 | 320 | 150 | 470 | 300 | 40 | 8 | 253 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 184 | 149 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 268 | 401 | 356 | 757 | 87 | 384 | 27 | 17 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 244 | 206 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 180 | 287 | 233 | 520 | 53 | 204 | 16 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 194 | 171 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 305 | 275 | 580 | 47 | 368 | 37 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 55 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 309 | 347 | 656 | 122 | 383 | 38 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 271 | 246 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 280 | 570 | 57 | 358 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 132 | 118 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 290 | 263 | 553 | 51 | 377 | 43 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 247 | 226 | 63 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 279 | 340 | 358 | 698 | 80 | 375 | 25 | 7 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 25 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 280 | 143 | 423 | 282 | 48 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 184 | 159 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 313 | 289 | 602 | 75 | 322 | 34 | 12 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 244 | 206 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 180 | 287 | 233 | 520 | 53 | 213 | 16 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Marlins | — | 244 | 198 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 268 | 388 | 359 | 747 | 91 | 305 | 14 | 11 | 338 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 194 | 171 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 305 | 275 | 580 | 47 | 386 | 37 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 194 | 160 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 300 | 411 | 362 | 773 | 62 | 429 | 25 | 15 | 351 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 55 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 309 | 347 | 656 | 122 | 370 | 38 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | FCL Marlins | — | 55 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 348 | 455 | 565 | 1.020 | 217 | 483 | 27 | 15 | 448 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 271 | 246 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 280 | 570 | 57 | 361 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 271 | 238 | 69 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 372 | 378 | 750 | 88 | 398 | 26 | 10 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 345 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 118 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 249 | 315 | 316 | 631 | 67 | 372 | 31 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 332 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 92 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 304 | 389 | 404 | 793 | 99 | 412 | 24 | 11 | 359 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 179 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 207 | 314 | 274 | 588 | 67 | 333 | 35 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 209 | 169 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 60 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 254 | 391 | 331 | 723 | 77 | 376 | 29 | 16 | 338 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Marlins | — | 244 | 211 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 175 | 287 | 227 | 514 | 52 | 204 | 16 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 194 | 173 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 305 | 272 | 577 | 46 | 368 | 37 | 9 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Marlins | — | 55 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 309 | 347 | 656 | 122 | 383 | 38 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 271 | 246 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 280 | 570 | 57 | 358 | 36 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 343 | 86 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 118 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 251 | 315 | 318 | 633 | 67 | 376 | 31 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 179 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 207 | 314 | 274 | 588 | 67 | 317 | 35 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 209 | 179 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 207 | 314 | 274 | 588 | 67 | 317 | 35 | 11 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1352 | 1196 | 265 | 36 | 7 | 8 | 113 | 422 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 222 | 303 | 283 | 587 | 62 | 332 | 31 | 8 | 265 | 65 | -56 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +29 | -3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 575 | 127 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 54 | 203 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 221 | 302 | 282 | 583 | 61 | 331 | 31 | 8 | 265 | 65 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 184 PAwOBA .345 → .271 (−74)K% 27.2% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.17% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 34.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 12.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.31% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 26.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷0.962 | ×0.810 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .345 → .271; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .384 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 25 PAwOBA .247 → .204 (−43)K% 40.0% → 47.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.039 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 12.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 10.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 28.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 82, K 108, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .247 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AJupiter Hammerheads · 247 PAwOBA .375 → .312 (−62)K% 19.0% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.03% | ÷1.039 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.75% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×0.990 | 30.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.85% | ÷1.031 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×0.990 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.017 | ×0.990 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .375 → .312; ISO .115 → .091; BABIP .411 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 132 PAwOBA .307 → .242 (−65)K% 34.1% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.09% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 43.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 29.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.59% | ÷1.113 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 8.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.817 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 99, 2B 123, 3B 103, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .307 → .242; ISO .070 → .049; BABIP .414 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AJupiter Hammerheads · 271 PAwOBA .333 → .258 (−74)K% 25.8% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.83% | ÷0.967 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.93% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | — | 31.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.156 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | — | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | — | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.49% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .333 → .258; ISO .088 → .063; BABIP .398 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Marlins · 55 PAwOBA .436 → .301 (−135)K% 27.3% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.27% | ÷1.013 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.55% | ÷0.984 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.48% | ÷0.969 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 29.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.96% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 94, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .436 → .301; ISO .217 → .146; BABIP .483 → .383. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Marlins · 194 PAwOBA .345 → .259 (−86)K% 25.3% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 30.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .345 → .259; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .429 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Marlins · 244 PAwOBA .336 → .236 (−100)K% 13.5% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.92% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.992 | ×1.022 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.992 | ×1.022 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.992 | ×1.022 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .336 → .236; ISO .091 → .055; BABIP .305 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).