Agustin Ruiz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 601 | .213/.305/.401 | 23 | 4 | 67 | — | .169/.247/.328 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 507 | .209/.327/.332 | 9 | 4 | 52 | — | .161/.243/.252 |
| 2025 | 25 | INTLTucson Baseba… | 237 | .279/.383/.406 | 4 | 4 | 122 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres | — | 62 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 311 | 283 | 594 | 75 | 344 | 35 | 11 | 275 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 467 | 820 | 200 | 400 | 29 | 12 | 362 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 1 | — | 224 | 193 | 56 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 27 | 66 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 290 | 386 | 466 | 852 | 176 | 433 | 29 | 12 | 376 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 510 | 443 | 106 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 127 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 326 | 334 | 660 | 95 | 318 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 145 | 134 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 250 | 351 | 601 | 157 | 230 | 29 | 5 | 268 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 324 | 281 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 36 | 93 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 253 | 346 | 466 | 812 | 214 | 318 | 29 | 11 | 357 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Charros de Jalisco | — | 79 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 325 | 391 | 716 | 145 | 278 | 16 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 91 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 237 | 356 | 382 | 737 | 145 | 308 | 25 | 13 | 333 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 247 | 210 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 332 | 405 | 737 | 181 | 258 | 22 | 10 | 329 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 423 | 364 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 134 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 203 | 305 | 401 | 706 | 198 | 257 | 32 | 10 | 313 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 178 | 157 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 306 | 401 | 708 | 166 | 311 | 28 | 7 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 307 | 264 | 58 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 220 | 322 | 367 | 690 | 148 | 269 | 22 | 10 | 312 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 200 | 158 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 190 | 333 | 272 | 605 | 82 | 252 | 25 | 16 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Tucson Baseball Team | — | 237 | 197 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 279 | 383 | 406 | 789 | 127 | 311 | 14 | 11 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 62 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 197 | 179 | 375 | 54 | 277 | 52 | 6 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 344 | 41 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 1 | — | 224 | 203 | 39 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 95 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 192 | 265 | 300 | 565 | 108 | 343 | 42 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 510 | 458 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 178 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 246 | 242 | 488 | 66 | 265 | 35 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 145 | 136 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 215 | 301 | 517 | 132 | 215 | 37 | 3 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 324 | 292 | 53 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 182 | 255 | 329 | 584 | 147 | 258 | 38 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 91 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 300 | 329 | 629 | 127 | 274 | 31 | 10 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 247 | 217 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 279 | 341 | 620 | 152 | 223 | 28 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 423 | 378 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 27 | 163 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 247 | 328 | 575 | 159 | 228 | 39 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 307 | 274 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 89 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 161 | 243 | 252 | 495 | 91 | 214 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 62 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 197 | 179 | 375 | 54 | 280 | 52 | 6 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres | — | 62 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 311 | 283 | 594 | 75 | 344 | 35 | 11 | 275 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 219 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 187 | 258 | 297 | 555 | 110 | 342 | 42 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 241 | 208 | 60 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 29 | 71 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 288 | 383 | 466 | 850 | 178 | 431 | 29 | 12 | 375 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 510 | 458 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 178 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 177 | 246 | 242 | 488 | 66 | 273 | 35 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 510 | 443 | 106 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 51 | 127 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 326 | 334 | 660 | 95 | 318 | 25 | 10 | 298 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 499 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 19 | 35 | 208 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 178 | 244 | 323 | 566 | 144 | 254 | 38 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 548 | 484 | 114 | 20 | 1 | 23 | 50 | 148 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 236 | 317 | 424 | 741 | 188 | 287 | 27 | 9 | 327 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 338 | 296 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 97 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 193 | 284 | 338 | 622 | 145 | 247 | 29 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 338 | 286 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 227 | 338 | 399 | 737 | 171 | 271 | 23 | 11 | 330 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 537 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 21 | 38 | 232 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 168 | 242 | 320 | 563 | 153 | 237 | 39 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 601 | 521 | 111 | 23 | 3 | 23 | 54 | 184 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 213 | 305 | 401 | 706 | 188 | 274 | 31 | 9 | 311 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 450 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 147 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 160 | 238 | 249 | 487 | 89 | 219 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 422 | 88 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 61 | 118 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 209 | 327 | 332 | 658 | 123 | 263 | 23 | 12 | 299 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL MLE | Tucson Baseball Team | — | 237 | 197 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 279 | 383 | 406 | 789 | 127 | 311 | 14 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL RAW | Tucson Baseball Team | — | 237 | 197 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 33 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 279 | 383 | 406 | 789 | 127 | 311 | 14 | 11 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres | — | 62 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 123 | 197 | 175 | 372 | 53 | 277 | 52 | 6 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 241 | 218 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 188 | 258 | 298 | 556 | 110 | 343 | 42 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 510 | 463 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 178 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 246 | 240 | 486 | 65 | 265 | 35 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 548 | 500 | 89 | 15 | 0 | 19 | 35 | 208 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 178 | 244 | 322 | 566 | 144 | 245 | 38 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 338 | 297 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 97 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 284 | 337 | 621 | 145 | 237 | 29 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 601 | 543 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 21 | 38 | 232 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 166 | 242 | 317 | 559 | 151 | 228 | 39 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 456 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 147 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 158 | 238 | 246 | 484 | 88 | 214 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 456 | 72 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 147 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 158 | 238 | 246 | 484 | 88 | 214 | 29 | 7 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3044 | 2712 | 492 | 98 | 16 | 63 | 217 | 1029 | 64 | 23 | 21 | 181 | 258 | 299 | 557 | 118 | 259 | 34 | 7 | 221 | 35 | -234 | -4 | +0 | -33 | +66 | -20.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 220 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 180 | 256 | 294 | 550 | 114 | 258 | 34 | 7 | 221 | 35 | -50 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 307 PAwOBA .307 → .223 (−84)K% 22.1% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.26% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.84% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 14.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.67% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 5.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×0.978 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .307 → .223; ISO .148 → .096; BABIP .269 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 423 PAwOBA .306 → .250 (−56)K% 31.7% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.68% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.98% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.84% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 16.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.68% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .306 → .250; ISO .198 → .161; BABIP .257 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 247 PAwOBA .325 → .263 (−61)K% 21.9% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.86% | ÷0.992 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.72% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 3.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.998 | 14.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×0.998 | 6.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.955 | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.45% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .325 → .263; ISO .181 → .150; BABIP .258 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 91 PAwOBA .329 → .279 (−50)K% 25.3% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.27% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×1.027 | 20.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×0.953 | ×1.027 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×1.027 | 1.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.77% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.56% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .329 → .279; ISO .145 → .128; BABIP .308 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 324 PAwOBA .351 → .256 (−95)K% 28.7% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.70% | ÷1.011 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.050 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.81% | ÷1.017 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.98% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 6.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 103, 2B 118, 3B 113, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .351 → .256; ISO .214 → .152; BABIP .318 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASan Antonio Missions · 145 PAwOBA .262 → .219 (−43)K% 29.0% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.97% | ÷0.949 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.83% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 3.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.48% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.26% | ÷0.925 | ×0.870 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 3.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 6.11% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 114, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .262 → .219; ISO .157 → .133; BABIP .230 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 510 PAwOBA .295 → .222 (−73)K% 24.9% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.90% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.80% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.42% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.23% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .295 → .222; ISO .095 → .067; BABIP .318 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Padres 1 · 224 PAwOBA .368 → .246 (−123)K% 29.5% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 5.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.62% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .368 → .246; ISO .176 → .112; BABIP .433 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .