Luis González
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | AAASF | 92 | .289/.407/.539 | 6 | 4 | 103 | — | .238/.330/.400 | |
| 2022 | 26 | MLBSF | 350 | .251/.325/.357 | 4 | 10 | 94 | -0.4 | ||
| 2023 | 27 | AAASF | 110 | .255/.358/.362 | 1 | 6 | 77 | — | .235/.312/.327 | |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 169 | .306/.386/.449 | 3 | 5 | 114 | — | .247/.322/.346 | |
| 2025 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 277 | 233 | 57 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 358 | 361 | 718 | 116 | 302 | 18 | 14 | 326 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 22 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 286 | 176 | 462 | 59 | 143 | 14 | 18 | 226 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 288 | 252 | 79 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 313 | 383 | 504 | 887 | 190 | 354 | 16 | 9 | 382 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 255 | 230 | 69 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 57 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 300 | 361 | 491 | 852 | 191 | 365 | 22 | 8 | 371 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 535 | 473 | 117 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 247 | 322 | 359 | 681 | 112 | 281 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 137 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 354 | 423 | 777 | 182 | 289 | 25 | 13 | 346 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 350 | 311 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 251 | 325 | 357 | 682 | 106 | 312 | 21 | 9 | 306 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 92 | 76 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 289 | 407 | 539 | 946 | 250 | 327 | 24 | 16 | 411 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 110 | 94 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 255 | 358 | 362 | 720 | 106 | 311 | 18 | 12 | 328 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 91 | 78 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 282 | 378 | 397 | 775 | 115 | 400 | 26 | 11 | 348 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 78 | 69 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 395 | 507 | 902 | 174 | 345 | 12 | 6 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 350 | 311 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 251 | 325 | 357 | 682 | 106 | 312 | 21 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -3 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 277 | 245 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 68 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 196 | 281 | 286 | 567 | 90 | 257 | 25 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 158 | 348 | 53 | 107 | 18 | 9 | 144 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 288 | 264 | 69 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 261 | 309 | 409 | 718 | 148 | 319 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 255 | 237 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 78 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 245 | 290 | 392 | 682 | 148 | 323 | 31 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 535 | 486 | 103 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 108 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 212 | 270 | 300 | 571 | 88 | 245 | 20 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 144 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 286 | 306 | 591 | 104 | 264 | 30 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 350 | 312 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 75 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 253 | 325 | 359 | 684 | 106 | 312 | 21 | 8 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 92 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 237 | 330 | 400 | 730 | 163 | 287 | 29 | 12 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 110 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 312 | 327 | 638 | 92 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 91 | 81 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 247 | 322 | 346 | 668 | 99 | 365 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 264 | 49 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 186 | 271 | 269 | 540 | 83 | 247 | 24 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 299 | 250 | 59 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 236 | 353 | 348 | 701 | 112 | 291 | 18 | 14 | 319 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 501 | 127 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 148 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 253 | 300 | 401 | 701 | 148 | 331 | 27 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 543 | 482 | 148 | 40 | 5 | 14 | 48 | 103 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 307 | 373 | 498 | 871 | 191 | 359 | 19 | 9 | 377 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 535 | 486 | 103 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 108 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 212 | 270 | 300 | 571 | 88 | 252 | 20 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 535 | 473 | 117 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 247 | 322 | 359 | 681 | 112 | 281 | 17 | 9 | 304 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 144 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 286 | 306 | 591 | 104 | 272 | 30 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 137 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 354 | 423 | 777 | 182 | 289 | 25 | 13 | 346 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 392 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 102 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 328 | 378 | 706 | 125 | 314 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 442 | 387 | 100 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 97 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 258 | 342 | 393 | 735 | 134 | 315 | 22 | 10 | 328 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 110 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 312 | 327 | 638 | 92 | 289 | 20 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 110 | 94 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 255 | 358 | 362 | 720 | 106 | 311 | 18 | 12 | 328 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 149 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 248 | 325 | 349 | 674 | 101 | 381 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 169 | 147 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 306 | 386 | 449 | 835 | 143 | 372 | 20 | 9 | 368 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 266 | 49 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 184 | 271 | 267 | 538 | 83 | 246 | 24 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 505 | 127 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 148 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 251 | 300 | 398 | 698 | 147 | 321 | 27 | 6 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 535 | 491 | 103 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 108 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 210 | 270 | 297 | 568 | 88 | 245 | 20 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 145 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 200 | 286 | 303 | 589 | 103 | 264 | 30 | 9 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 442 | 395 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 102 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 251 | 328 | 375 | 703 | 124 | 307 | 23 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 110 | 98 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 235 | 312 | 327 | 638 | 92 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 150 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 247 | 325 | 347 | 672 | 100 | 365 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 169 | 150 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 247 | 325 | 347 | 672 | 100 | 365 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 350 | 311 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 75 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 251 | 325 | 357 | 682 | 106 | 312 | 21 | 9 | 306 | 76 | -3 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 145 | 32 | 4 | 7 | 56 | 139 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 251 | 324 | 356 | 681 | 106 | 313 | 21 | 9 | 306 | 76 | -5 | +2 | -10 | -9 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2261 | 2034 | 467 | 91 | 17 | 34 | 169 | 556 | 23 | 63 | 27 | 230 | 296 | 341 | 637 | 112 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -3 | +1 | -5 | -5 | +8 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 134 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 160 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 229 | 297 | 342 | 639 | 113 | 293 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -5 | +2 | -10 | -9 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 91 PAwOBA .343 → .292 (−52)K% 26.4% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.37% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.99% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 26.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 7.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.982 | 3.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .343 → .292; ISO .115 → .102; BABIP .400 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASacramento River Cats · 110 PAwOBA .323 → .282 (−41)K% 18.2% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.087 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.97% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 21.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.956 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.992 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.057 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.89% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 117, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .323 → .282; ISO .106 → .091; BABIP .311 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 92 PAwOBA .405 → .321 (−84)K% 23.9% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.91% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.30% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 11.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 25.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.85% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 7.89% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .405 → .321; ISO .250 → .181; BABIP .327 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 163 PAwOBA .339 → .266 (−73)K% 25.2% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.15% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.50% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.92% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 3.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.37% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .339 → .266; ISO .182 → .116; BABIP .289 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABirmingham Barons · 535 PAwOBA .301 → .255 (−46)K% 16.6% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.64% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷0.929 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.009 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .255; ISO .112 → .093; BABIP .281 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 288 PAwOBA .380 → .311 (−69)K% 16.0% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.97% | ÷0.928 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.049 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.33% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.65% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 10.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 86, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .380 → .311; ISO .190 → .157; BABIP .354 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AKannapolis Intimidators · 255 PAwOBA .364 → .289 (−76)K% 22.4% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷0.986 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.24% | ÷0.966 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.39% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.990 | 22.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.25% | ÷0.986 | ×0.820 | ×1.027 | ×0.990 | 7.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.100 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×0.990 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.63% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 120, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .364 → .289; ISO .191 → .147; BABIP .365 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AKannapolis Intimidators · 277 PAwOBA .320 → .252 (−68)K% 18.1% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.05% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.72% | ÷0.975 | ×0.660 | — | — | 9.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | — | 18.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.070 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | — | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.970 | — | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.824 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.09% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .320 → .252; ISO .116 → .093; BABIP .302 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .