Trevor Bettencourt
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 32
RHP
6'0" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.6%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 59 | 233 | 77 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.7% | 4.5% | 20.2% | 1.8% | 2.61 | 2.54 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 59 | 233 | 77 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.0% | 3.9% | 29.2% | 1.3% | 2.61 | 1.60 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 38 | 150 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.8% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 1.3% | 2.15 | 3.06 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 0 | 38 | 150 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.7% | 8.0% | 20.7% | 1.3% | 2.15 | 2.46 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.5% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 1.80 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 38.5% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 1.60 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 3 | 31 | 134 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 13% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 3.16 | 5.28 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 3 | 31 | 134 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 13% | 1.4 | 23.9% | 6.7% | 17.2% | 4.5% | 3.16 | 4.41 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 58 | 263 | 56 | 25 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 1.6% | 5.55 | 3.79 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 58 | 263 | 56 | 25 | 4 | 2% | 1.4 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 5.55 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 132 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 5.14 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.95 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.68 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 182 | 87 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.68 | 4.44 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 4 | 189 | 793 | 171 | 62 | 18 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 3.53 | 3.50 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 4 | 200 | 841 | 181 | 66 | 19 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 2.2% | 3.53 | 3.50 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Bettencourt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 22.6% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.85 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 94 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 91 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 86 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 86 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 86 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 85 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 85 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 85 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 85 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 83 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 82 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 80 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 80 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 80 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 80 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 33 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 1.28 | 4.61 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |