Nolan Blackwood
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 31
RHP
6'5" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%21.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 13 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 1.5% | 4.05 | 3.13 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | 13 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.8% | 19.3% | 1.2% | 4.05 | 2.35 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 44 | 0 | 57 | 236 | 48 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 0.6% | 3.00 | 3.09 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | 44 | 0 | 57 | 236 | 48 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 0.8% | 3.00 | 2.71 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 45 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 55 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 4.13 | 3.58 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 45 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 55 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 1.9% | 4.13 | 3.20 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 69 | 285 | 64 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 18.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 0.8% | 2.60 | 3.26 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 69 | 285 | 64 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 1.4% | 2.60 | 3.22 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 37 | 2 | 60 | 268 | 51 | 22 | 5 | 5% | 1.6 | 16.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 4.92 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 37 | 2 | 60 | 268 | 51 | 22 | 5 | 5% | 1.6 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 1.9% | 4.92 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 44 | 0 | 50 | 214 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.81 | 5.38 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 44 | 0 | 50 | 214 | 38 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.81 | 5.07 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 36 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 0.4% | 4.75 | 3.22 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 36 | 0 | 47 | 203 | 35 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 0.5% | 4.75 | 3.04 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 22 | 0 | 24 | 104 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 2.22 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 22 | 0 | 24 | 104 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 2.22 | 3.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 16 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.20 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 285 | 2 | 389 | 1661 | 275 | 142 | 27 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 3.72 | 3.67 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 1 | 200 | 854 | 141 | 73 | 14 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 3.72 | 3.67 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nolan Blackwood (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.7% | — | 4.58 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 93 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 81 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 81 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 81 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 80 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 80 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 79 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.37 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.72 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 90 | +1.35 | 3.37 | 170 | 78 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 77 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 77 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 77 |
| Bryan Morris R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.60 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 1.2% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 102 | 77 |