Nolan Blackwood — OGILVIE

Nolan Blackwood P Nashville Sounds

Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.59

FIP4.59

K%17.3%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	13	0	20	83	20	4	1	0%	1.5	17.8%	5.7%	12.1%	1.5%	4.05	3.15	—
2016	21	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	13	0	20	83	20	4	1	0%	1.5	24.1%	4.8%	19.3%	1.2%	4.05	2.35	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	44	0	57	236	48	16	2	0%	1.3	15.7%	7.8%	7.9%	0.8%	3.00	3.18	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	Stockton Ports	44	0	57	236	48	16	2	0%	1.3	20.3%	6.8%	13.6%	0.8%	3.00	2.71	—
2018	23	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	45	0	61	268	55	17	5	0%	1.4	16.6%	7.0%	9.6%	2.0%	4.13	3.69	—
2018	23	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	45	0	61	268	55	17	5	0%	1.4	20.5%	6.3%	14.2%	1.9%	4.13	3.20	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	69	285	64	28	4	0%	1.6	18.4%	9.9%	8.6%	1.0%	2.60	3.36	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	69	285	64	28	4	0%	1.6	22.5%	9.8%	12.6%	1.4%	2.60	3.22	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	37	2	60	268	51	22	5	5%	1.6	16.7%	8.6%	8.1%	2.0%	4.92	3.85	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	37	2	60	268	51	22	5	5%	1.6	19.0%	8.2%	10.8%	1.9%	4.92	3.58	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	44	0	50	214	38	19	9	0%	1.1	15.6%	9.3%	6.3%	4.5%	3.81	5.44	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	44	0	50	214	38	19	9	0%	1.1	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	4.2%	3.81	5.07	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	36	0	47	203	35	18	1	0%	1.3	14.3%	8.0%	6.3%	0.5%	4.75	3.16	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	36	0	47	203	35	18	1	0%	1.3	14.3%	8.0%	6.3%	0.5%	4.75	3.16	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	36	0	47	203	35	18	1	0%	1.3	17.2%	8.9%	8.4%	0.5%	4.75	3.04	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	22	0	24	104	19	10	1	0%	1.1	15.2%	8.7%	6.5%	1.2%	2.22	3.55	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	22	0	24	104	19	10	1	0%	1.1	15.2%	8.7%	6.5%	1.2%	2.22	3.55	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	22	0	24	104	19	10	1	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.6%	8.7%	1.0%	2.22	3.31	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	MIL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	17.3%	8.7%	8.7%	2.7%	4.59	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIL	19	0	20	84	15	8	3	0%	1.1	17.5%	9.1%	8.4%	3.0%	4.70	4.79	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIL	7	0	7	30	5	3	1	0%	1.0	17.5%	9.1%	8.4%	3.0%	4.70	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	5	3	1	0%	1.1	17.5%	9.1%	8.4%	3.0%	4.70	4.41	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	136	82	27	0%	1.1	17.5%	9.1%	8.4%	3.0%	4.70	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		285	2	389	1661	272	138	28	1%	1.4	16.4%	8.3%	8.1%	1.7%	3.72	3.71	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	1	200	854	140	71	15	1%	1.4	16.4%	8.3%	8.1%	1.7%	3.72	3.71	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nolan Blackwood (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.59	17.3%	8.7%	2.7%	—	4.79	17.5%	8.4%	20	+0.20	—	—	—
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	85
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	85
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	84
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	84
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	84
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	84
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	84
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	83
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	83
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	82
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	81
Bryan Morris R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	30	SU	3.60	16.0%	9.6%	1.1%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	102	81
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	80
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	80
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	79
Junichi Tazawa R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	16.0%	7.6%	3.5%	.270	4.81	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.16	2.94	227	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	79
Ronald Belisario R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	32	SU	3.71	11.8%	6.3%	1.5%	.254	2.10	18.4%	14.0%	48	-1.61	2.10	126	79
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	78
Francisco Rodriguez R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	32	SU	4.79	11.1%	8.1%	2.9%	.281	4.04	12.1%	4.4%	139	-0.75	3.16	273	78