Dan Rizzie

PosC
B/TR/R
Born1993-11-26
Age (2027)33
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AALAST SEASON 2021
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201824A+/A2 orgs264.254/.318/.3182048—.216/.267/.274
201925A+NYM135.244/.301/.3011121—.183/.226/.230
202127AANYM30.130/.310/.1740014—.120/.241/.160
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201723 A+St. Lucie Mets — 7059 9100 9131 00 153275169445 17191 1913 222 11 — — — — — —
201723 AColumbia Fireflies — 202184 48800 15380 00 261317304621 43329 197 282 41 — — — — — —
201824 A+St. Lucie Mets — 240214 53902 20330 02 248312318630 70276 148 282 47 — — — — — —
201824 AColumbia Fireflies — 2422 7000 131 00 318375318693 368 124 324 57 — — — — — —
201925 A+St. Lucie Mets — 135123 30401 10300 11 244301301602 57315 227 273 21 — — — — — —
202127 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 3023 3100 690 00 130310174484 43200 3020 243 14 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201723 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 7061 8100 7191 00 131232148379 16180 2710 184 11 — — — — — —
201723 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 202189 43700 10490 00 228266265531 37295 245 229 41 — — — — — —
201824 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 240219 46802 15480 02 210261274535 64244 206 238 47 — — — — — —
201824 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 2422 6000 141 00 273333273606 316 174 253 57 — — — — — —
201925 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 135126 23301 7460 11 183226230456 48272 345 199 21 — — — — — —
202127 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 3025 3100 4110 00 120241160401 40170 3713 189 14 — — — — — —
201723 A MLE2 teams — 272250 50700 17681 00 200254228482 28273 256 217 33 — — — — — —
201723 A RAW2 teams — 272243 57900 24511 00 235306272578 37295 199 266 33 — — — — — —
201824 A+ MLE2 teams — 264241 51802 16531 02 212264270533 58255 206 239 48 — — — — — —
201824 A+ RAW2 teams — 264236 60902 21361 02 254318318636 64284 148 286 48 — — — — — —
201925 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 135126 23301 7460 11 183226230456 48278 345 199 21 — — — — — —
201925 A+ RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 135123 30401 10300 11 244301301602 57315 227 273 21 — — — — — —
202127 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 3025 3100 4110 00 120241160401 40200 3713 189 14 — — — — — —
202127 AA RAWBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 3023 3100 690 00 130310174484 43200 3020 243 14 — — — — — —
201723 A MLE2 teams — 272252 50700 17681 00 198254226480 28265 256 217 33 — — — — — —
201824 A+ MLE2 teams — 264245 51802 16531 02 208264265529 57251 206 239 48 — — — — — —
201925 A+ MLESt. Lucie Mets — 135127 23301 7460 11 181226228454 47272 345 199 21 — — — — — —
202127 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 3026 3100 4110 00 115241154395 38170 3713 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 701642 1271903 441782 13 198251241493 44264 256 221 36 -54 -1 +0 +13 +15 -2.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650595 1181803 411652 13 198252244496 45265 256 221 36 -50 -1 +0 +12 +14 -2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 30 PAwOBA .246 → .189 (−58)K% 30.0% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.017×1.220——35.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.018×0.690—×0.96813.12%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷1.045×0.940—×0.96812.44%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.053×0.870—×0.9685.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.060×0.920—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.995×0.780—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 109, 2B 111, 3B 112, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .246 → .189; ISO .043 → .038; BABIP .200 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+St. Lucie Mets · 135 PAwOBA .266 → .199 (−67)K% 22.2% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.917×1.420——34.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷0.975×0.750—×0.9685.51%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.930—×0.9680.00%
Singles /BIP26.88%÷1.048×0.920—×0.96822.85%
Doubles /BIP4.30%÷0.978×0.960—×0.9684.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.062×0.810—×0.9680.00%
Home runs /BIP1.08%÷1.122×0.880—×0.9680.82%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 112, K 83, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .266 → .199; ISO .057 → .043; BABIP .315 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+St. Lucie Mets · 240 PAwOBA .280 → .238 (−42)K% 13.8% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.75%÷0.967×1.420——20.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.92%÷0.907×0.750—×0.9786.40%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.930—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP23.20%÷1.022×0.920×0.989×0.97820.20%
Doubles /BIP4.97%÷0.964×0.960×0.989×0.9784.79%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.810×0.989×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP1.10%÷1.074×0.880—×0.9780.89%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 81 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .280 → .238; ISO .070 → .061; BABIP .276 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AColumbia Fireflies · 24 PAwOBA .316 → .253 (−62)K% 12.5% → 17.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷0.956×1.340——17.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.17%÷1.054×0.660—×0.9702.53%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.770—×0.9703.11%
Singles /BIP36.84%÷1.042×0.920—×0.97031.56%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.957×0.820—×0.9700.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.066×0.940—×0.9700.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.976×0.820—×0.9700.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .316 → .253; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .368 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AColumbia Fireflies · 202 PAwOBA .275 → .229 (−45)K% 18.8% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.81%÷1.037×1.340——24.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.43%÷0.981×0.660—×0.9804.89%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×0.9800.00%
Singles /BIP27.40%÷1.009×0.920×1.016×0.98024.90%
Doubles /BIP5.48%÷0.976×0.820×1.016×0.9804.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940×1.016×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.995×0.820—×0.9800.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .275 → .229; ISO .043 → .036; BABIP .329 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+St. Lucie Mets · 70 PAwOBA .221 → .184 (−36)K% 18.6% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.57%÷0.956×1.420——27.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.86%÷0.957×0.750—×0.9889.95%
HBP% /PA1.43%—×0.930—×0.9881.31%
Singles /BIP17.39%÷0.970×0.920×1.010×0.98816.46%
Doubles /BIP2.17%÷1.056×0.960×1.010×0.9881.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.810×1.010×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.911×0.880—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .221 → .184; ISO .017 → .014; BABIP .191 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).