Jim Haley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 27 | AAATB | 420 | .231/.308/.440 | 18 | 16 | 55 | — | .189/.248/.332 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAAPHI | 410 | .253/.326/.412 | 11 | 18 | 59 | — | .203/.262/.307 |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA/AAPHI | 381 | .244/.316/.387 | 9 | 19 | 55 | — | .207/.263/.312 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 135 | 125 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 224 | 271 | 256 | 527 | 32 | 295 | 23 | 5 | 241 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 109 | 100 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 320 | 358 | 410 | 768 | 90 | 365 | 16 | 4 | 336 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 328 | 300 | 97 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 323 | 368 | 480 | 848 | 157 | 367 | 16 | 5 | 368 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 142 | 133 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 286 | 321 | 541 | 863 | 256 | 288 | 16 | 4 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 345 | 318 | 89 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 85 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 280 | 334 | 403 | 737 | 123 | 358 | 25 | 6 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 40 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 225 | 194 | 419 | 56 | 200 | 28 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 373 | 336 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 118 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 205 | 278 | 393 | 671 | 188 | 266 | 32 | 6 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 420 | 373 | 86 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 125 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 440 | 747 | 209 | 292 | 30 | 8 | 327 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 410 | 364 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 94 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 253 | 326 | 412 | 738 | 159 | 309 | 23 | 8 | 326 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 313 | 285 | 71 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 75 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 249 | 314 | 400 | 714 | 151 | 310 | 24 | 6 | 319 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 68 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 324 | 322 | 646 | 102 | 324 | 31 | 10 | 300 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 135 | 126 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 43 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 190 | 233 | 222 | 455 | 32 | 272 | 32 | 4 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 109 | 101 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 287 | 321 | 366 | 687 | 79 | 333 | 22 | 3 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 328 | 305 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 71 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 262 | 299 | 377 | 676 | 115 | 310 | 22 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 142 | 135 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 244 | 271 | 452 | 723 | 207 | 253 | 20 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 345 | 323 | 69 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 117 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 214 | 262 | 316 | 577 | 102 | 308 | 34 | 4 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 373 | 344 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 148 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 163 | 222 | 308 | 530 | 145 | 234 | 40 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 420 | 386 | 73 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 150 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 189 | 248 | 332 | 579 | 142 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 410 | 375 | 76 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 113 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 203 | 262 | 307 | 568 | 104 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 313 | 292 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 88 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 209 | 260 | 315 | 575 | 106 | 277 | 28 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 68 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 197 | 279 | 295 | 574 | 98 | 296 | 38 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 228 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 228 | 264 | 276 | 540 | 48 | 311 | 27 | 3 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 244 | 225 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 267 | 310 | 324 | 634 | 58 | 328 | 20 | 5 | 283 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 328 | 305 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 71 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 262 | 299 | 377 | 676 | 115 | 322 | 22 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 328 | 300 | 97 | 22 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 52 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 323 | 368 | 480 | 848 | 157 | 367 | 16 | 5 | 368 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 487 | 458 | 102 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 145 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 223 | 264 | 356 | 620 | 133 | 291 | 30 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 487 | 451 | 127 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 108 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 331 | 443 | 774 | 162 | 336 | 22 | 5 | 342 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 40 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 225 | 194 | 419 | 56 | 200 | 28 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 40 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 225 | 194 | 419 | 56 | 200 | 28 | 2 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 373 | 344 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 148 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 163 | 222 | 308 | 530 | 145 | 239 | 40 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 373 | 336 | 69 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 24 | 118 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 205 | 278 | 393 | 671 | 188 | 266 | 32 | 6 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 420 | 386 | 73 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 150 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 189 | 248 | 332 | 579 | 142 | 269 | 36 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | Durham Bulls | — | 420 | 373 | 86 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 125 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 231 | 308 | 440 | 747 | 209 | 292 | 30 | 8 | 327 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 410 | 375 | 76 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 113 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 203 | 262 | 307 | 568 | 104 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA RAW | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 410 | 364 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 94 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 253 | 326 | 412 | 738 | 159 | 309 | 23 | 8 | 326 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 381 | 353 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 114 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 204 | 261 | 309 | 569 | 105 | 282 | 30 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 381 | 344 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 96 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 244 | 316 | 387 | 702 | 142 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 316 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 244 | 231 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 225 | 264 | 273 | 536 | 48 | 299 | 27 | 3 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 328 | 309 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 71 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 259 | 299 | 372 | 671 | 113 | 310 | 22 | 3 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 487 | 458 | 102 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 145 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 223 | 264 | 356 | 620 | 133 | 292 | 30 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 373 | 344 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 148 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 163 | 222 | 308 | 530 | 145 | 234 | 40 | 4 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 420 | 387 | 73 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 150 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 189 | 248 | 331 | 578 | 142 | 261 | 36 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 410 | 377 | 76 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 113 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 202 | 262 | 305 | 567 | 103 | 267 | 28 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 381 | 351 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 114 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 205 | 261 | 311 | 571 | 105 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 381 | 351 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 114 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 205 | 261 | 311 | 571 | 105 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2683 | 2485 | 516 | 92 | 15 | 56 | 118 | 819 | 52 | 123 | 17 | 208 | 258 | 324 | 583 | 117 | 282 | 31 | 4 | 251 | 56 | -140 | +18 | +0 | +10 | +58 | -5.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 602 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 198 | 13 | 30 | 4 | 209 | 261 | 329 | 590 | 120 | 284 | 30 | 4 | 251 | 56 | -34 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 313 PAwOBA .312 → .254 (−57)K% 24.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.96% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.39% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .312 → .254; ISO .151 → .112; BABIP .310 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 68 PAwOBA .293 → .229 (−64)K% 30.9% → 38.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.958 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 2.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.958 | 24.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.958 | 2.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.958 | 2.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 1.73% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .293 → .229; ISO .102 → .073; BABIP .324 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 410 PAwOBA .320 → .255 (−64)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.105 | ×0.970 | ×1.005 | ×0.992 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.07% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .320 → .255; ISO .159 → .114; BABIP .309 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 420 PAwOBA .321 → .250 (−71)K% 29.8% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.76% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 19.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .321 → .250; ISO .209 → .146; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 373 PAwOBA .291 → .227 (−65)K% 31.6% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.64% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.43% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.51% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 15.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.80% | ÷1.046 | ×0.870 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 6.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.42% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .291 → .227; ISO .188 → .143; BABIP .266 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 345 PAwOBA .322 → .252 (−71)K% 24.6% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.64% | ÷1.033 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.51% | ÷1.018 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.76% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.011 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.18% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .322 → .252; ISO .123 → .100; BABIP .358 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 142 PAwOBA .363 → .309 (−54)K% 16.2% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.20% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.23% | ÷0.963 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.952 | ×1.012 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×0.952 | ×1.012 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.952 | ×1.012 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.40% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .363 → .309; ISO .256 → .216; BABIP .288 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 328 PAwOBA .362 → .290 (−72)K% 15.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.57% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.61% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 23.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.87% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.037 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .362 → .290; ISO .157 → .119; BABIP .367 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .