Travis MacGregor

P Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	AAALAA	41	3	82	3.61	3.65	20.7%	8.2%	—	K 17.8% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.08
2025	27	AAMIL	47	0	51	4.94	3.30	23.9%	11.7%	—	K 19.4% · BB 12.9% · FIP 3.83
2026	28	MIX3 levels	14	2	21	0.86	2.24	24.7%	9.4%	—	K 21.8% · BB 7.1% · FIP 2.16
2027PROJ	29	MLBNYY	55	0	58	4.61	4.61	19.4%	10.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBNYY	19	0	20	4.69	4.76	19.4%	11.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBNYY	27	0	28	4.82	4.93	19.3%	11.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control40Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYoanner Negrin (age 31) · Dustin Molleken (age 30) · Diego Moreno (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%19.4%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	9	32	131	19	10	1	100%	3.5	9.9%	9.5%	0.3%	1.1%	3.13	4.06	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	9	32	131	19	10	1	100%	3.5	14.5%	7.6%	6.9%	0.8%	3.13	3.26	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	12	12	41	209	32	20	3	100%	3.4	10.4%	12.0%	-1.6%	2.0%	7.84	4.84	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	12	12	41	209	32	20	3	100%	3.4	15.3%	9.6%	5.7%	1.4%	7.84	3.95	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	71	302	80	22	8	100%	4.2	20.1%	9.1%	11.0%	2.8%	3.18	4.11	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	71	302	80	22	8	100%	4.2	26.5%	7.3%	19.2%	2.6%	3.18	3.24	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	22	21	91	401	88	41	13	95%	4.1	17.8%	11.2%	6.5%	4.1%	6.25	5.28	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	22	21	91	401	88	41	13	95%	4.1	21.9%	10.2%	11.7%	3.2%	6.25	4.38	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	3	81	374	103	47	10	8%	2.1	23.1%	13.5%	9.6%	2.9%	5.22	4.47	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	3	81	374	103	47	10	8%	2.1	27.5%	12.6%	15.0%	2.7%	5.22	3.90	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	7%	1.8	20.5%	8.9%	11.5%	1.8%	3.82	3.51	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	3	78	342	84	31	6	7%	1.8	24.6%	9.1%	15.5%	1.8%	3.82	3.14	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	2.8%	3.61	4.08	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	17.8%	7.4%	10.4%	2.8%	3.61	4.08	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	41	3	82	352	73	29	8	7%	2.0	20.7%	8.2%	12.5%	2.3%	3.61	3.65	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.3%	4.94	3.83	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	12.9%	6.5%	1.3%	4.94	3.83	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	47	0	51	230	55	27	3	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.7%	12.2%	1.3%	4.94	3.30	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	2	21	85	21	8	0	14%	1.5	21.8%	7.1%	14.7%	0.0%	0.86	2.16	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	2	21	85	21	8	0	14%	1.5	21.8%	7.1%	14.7%	0.0%	0.86	2.16	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	2	21	85	21	8	0	14%	1.5	24.7%	9.4%	15.3%	0.0%	0.86	2.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	NYY	55	0	58	245	47	27	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.8%	8.5%	2.5%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52	0	55	231	45	25	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	2.8%	4.69	4.76	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	NYY	49	0	51	216	42	24	7	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.93	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	NYY	19	0	20	84	16	9	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.0%	8.4%	2.8%	4.69	4.76	-0.0
2029	31	MLB CTX	NYY	27	0	28	118	23	13	4	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.2%	8.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	0	48	204	39	23	6	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.1%	8.2%	2.9%	4.77	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	95	25	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.1%	8.2%	2.9%	4.77	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		243	70	547	2426	449	253	61	29%	2.3	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	2.5%	4.57	4.23	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	26	200	886	164	92	22	29%	2.3	18.5%	10.4%	8.1%	2.5%	4.57	4.23	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Travis MacGregor (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	19.4%	10.8%	2.5%	—	4.84	19.4%	8.3%	106	+0.23	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	78
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	77
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	77
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	77
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	76
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	76
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	76
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	76
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	75
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	75
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	74
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	74
David Goforth R 2018 · 4.07 FIP	29	SU	4.07	14.1%	8.6%	2.0%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	256	73
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	72
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	72
Felipe Arredondo R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	29	SW	3.92	17.2%	6.6%	2.6%	.281	4.71	15.4%	8.2%	139	+0.79	3.92	337	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	19.4%	11.0%	1.07	4.70
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*