Chris Rodriguez

P Charlotte Knights

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX2 levels	3	0	3	13.50	4.97	11.8%	17.6%	—	K 11.8% · BB 17.6% · FIP 4.34
2024	26	MIX3 levels	36	1	48	4.84	5.09	19.4%	15.7%	—	K 14.3% · BB 16.1% · FIP 5.84
2025	27	AAACWS	18	8	41	5.71	5.05	18.5%	12.7%	—	K 15.9% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.66
2027PROJ	29	MLBCWS	55	0	58	5.43	5.29	16.8%	13.5%	-0.5
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBCWS	19	0	20	5.37	5.40	16.8%	13.4%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBCWS	27	0	28	5.44	5.55	16.6%	13.4%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021

xwOBA vs77

FB Velo51

Whiff%49

K%46

CompsAlex Caldera (age 29) · Fredy Quintero (age 29) · Dustin Antolin (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.43

FIP5.29

K%16.8%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%3.3%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p4925.1%

p4621.6%

xwOBA vs

p770.286

FB+1.3

CH-0.5

SL-1.1

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	7	5	11	42	17	3	0	71%	1.6	40.5%	7.1%	33.3%	0.0%	1.59	0.59	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	7	5	11	42	17	3	0	71%	1.6	40.5%	7.1%	33.3%	0.0%	1.59	0.89	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	14	57	257	56	14	2	100%	4.1	15.4%	6.6%	8.8%	1.0%	6.16	3.19	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	14	57	257	56	14	2	100%	4.1	21.8%	5.4%	16.3%	0.8%	6.16	2.33	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	3	3	9	36	13	4	0	100%	3.1	36.1%	11.1%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.46	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	3	3	9	36	13	4	0	100%	3.1	36.1%	11.1%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	9	50	227	51	26	2	39%	2.2	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	0.5%	4.14	2.85	+1.0
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	9	50	227	51	26	2	39%	2.2	22.5%	11.5%	11.0%	0.9%	4.14	3.14	+0.8
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	0	3	17	2	3	0	0%	0.9	11.8%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	13.50	4.34	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	0	3	17	2	3	0	0%	0.9	11.8%	17.6%	-5.9%	0.0%	13.50	4.97	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	14.3%	16.1%	-1.7%	3.5%	4.84	5.84	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	14.3%	16.1%	-1.7%	3.5%	4.84	5.84	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	1	48	216	42	34	6	3%	1.3	19.4%	15.7%	3.7%	2.8%	4.84	5.09	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	2.6%	5.71	4.66	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	2.6%	5.71	4.66	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	18	8	41	189	35	24	6	44%	2.3	18.5%	12.7%	5.8%	3.2%	5.71	5.05	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	2	30	134	29	15	0	13%	2.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	0.0%	3.64	2.66	+0.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	CWS	55	0	58	245	41	33	7	0%	1.1	16.8%	13.5%	3.3%	2.8%	5.43	5.29	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	52	0	55	231	39	31	7	0%	1.1	16.8%	13.4%	3.4%	3.0%	5.37	5.40	-0.5
2029	31	MLB MLE	CWS	49	0	51	216	36	29	7	0%	1.0	16.6%	13.4%	3.1%	3.2%	5.44	5.55	-0.6
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	19	0	20	84	14	11	3	0%	1.1	16.8%	13.4%	3.4%	3.0%	5.37	5.40	-0.2
2029	31	MLB CTX	CWS	27	0	28	118	20	16	4	0%	1.0	16.6%	13.4%	3.1%	3.2%	5.44	5.55	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	2	78	338	63	42	6	3%	1.3	18.6%	12.5%	6.1%	1.9%	4.74	4.15	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		156	5	200	867	162	108	15	3%	1.3	18.6%	12.5%	6.1%	1.9%	4.74	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		104	40	220	984	183	108	16	38%	2.1	18.6%	10.9%	7.7%	1.7%	4.92	3.82	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	36	200	896	167	98	15	38%	2.1	18.6%	10.9%	7.7%	1.7%	4.92	3.82	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	16.8%	13.5%	2.8%	—	5.47	16.7%	3.3%	106	+0.18	—	—	—
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	78
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	74
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	73
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	73
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	72
Jared Fernandez R 2001 · 4.66 FIP	29	SW	4.66	8.8%	10.5%	1.8%	.267	3.95	14.0%	5.6%	89	-0.71	3.57	101	72
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	72
Brad Allen R 2016 · 5.82 FIP	27	SW	5.82	14.7%	13.2%	4.2%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	149	71
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	71
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	236	71
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	321	71
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	71
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	70
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	70
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	70
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	69
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	69
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	69
Benjamin Sandoval R 2016 · 5.13 FIP	29	SU	5.13	6.7%	11.3%	2.1%	.292	5.51	9.0%	-4.4%	49	+0.38	4.66	146	69
Adam Quintana R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	27	SW	4.17	18.6%	11.7%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	1.72	201	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	48	17.5%	13.1%	0.97	5.14
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*