Brady Whalen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 196 | .270/.326/.444 | 6 | 4 | 73 | — | .231/.275/.374 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AASF | 149 | .156/.270/.219 | 1 | 0 | 13 | — | .134/.216/.186 |
| 2025 | 27 | INTLTomateros de … | 89 | .230/.337/.351 | 2 | 1 | 93 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 83 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 268 | 247 | 515 | 68 | 188 | 11 | 10 | 241 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 230 | 190 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 221 | 351 | 416 | 767 | 195 | 236 | 16 | 15 | 343 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 508 | 435 | 108 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 101 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 248 | 342 | 370 | 712 | 122 | 299 | 20 | 11 | 318 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 211 | 192 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 255 | 319 | 432 | 751 | 177 | 286 | 21 | 7 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 45 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 356 | 300 | 656 | 25 | 355 | 20 | 9 | 308 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Cardinals | — | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 160 | 250 | 200 | 450 | 40 | 160 | 7 | 10 | 203 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 108 | 98 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 306 | 358 | 480 | 838 | 173 | 380 | 19 | 6 | 362 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 98 | 89 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 347 | 427 | 774 | 146 | 297 | 12 | 9 | 346 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 200 | 170 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 288 | 392 | 465 | 857 | 176 | 333 | 18 | 12 | 382 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 156 | 143 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 259 | 307 | 434 | 741 | 175 | 276 | 15 | 5 | 322 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | — | 40 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 314 | 400 | 486 | 886 | 171 | 333 | 10 | 10 | 395 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 75 | 63 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 270 | 190 | 461 | 48 | 209 | 28 | 15 | 226 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 74 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 270 | 246 | 516 | 77 | 213 | 23 | 12 | 246 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 89 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 337 | 351 | 689 | 122 | 238 | 12 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 83 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 195 | 184 | 379 | 53 | 152 | 16 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 230 | 202 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 144 | 182 | 23 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 508 | 455 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 133 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 198 | 266 | 284 | 549 | 86 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 211 | 197 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 208 | 257 | 345 | 602 | 137 | 250 | 28 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 45 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 289 | 244 | 533 | 24 | 309 | 27 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Cardinals | — | 30 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 214 | 192 | 407 | 38 | 126 | 10 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 108 | 100 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 270 | 311 | 430 | 741 | 160 | 335 | 22 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 98 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 276 | 326 | 602 | 98 | 248 | 14 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 200 | 178 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 307 | 360 | 666 | 135 | 282 | 26 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 156 | 145 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 234 | 275 | 379 | 654 | 145 | 253 | 19 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Black | — | 40 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 275 | 351 | 626 | 135 | 236 | 15 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 75 | 66 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 230 | 182 | 412 | 45 | 191 | 31 | 11 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 74 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 203 | 191 | 394 | 59 | 189 | 27 | 8 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 83 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 132 | 195 | 184 | 379 | 53 | 143 | 16 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 83 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 268 | 247 | 515 | 68 | 188 | 11 | 10 | 241 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 230 | 202 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 144 | 185 | 23 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 230 | 190 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 221 | 351 | 416 | 767 | 195 | 236 | 16 | 15 | 343 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 508 | 455 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 133 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 198 | 266 | 284 | 549 | 86 | 259 | 26 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Peoria Chiefs | — | 508 | 435 | 108 | 30 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 101 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 248 | 342 | 370 | 712 | 122 | 299 | 20 | 11 | 318 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 286 | 265 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 200 | 251 | 306 | 557 | 106 | 246 | 26 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 286 | 257 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 55 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 249 | 318 | 389 | 707 | 140 | 281 | 19 | 8 | 315 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 406 | 370 | 88 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 238 | 300 | 370 | 671 | 132 | 293 | 22 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 406 | 357 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 68 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 291 | 372 | 459 | 832 | 168 | 337 | 17 | 10 | 368 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 182 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 374 | 648 | 143 | 257 | 18 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 196 | 178 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 270 | 326 | 444 | 770 | 174 | 288 | 14 | 6 | 336 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 134 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 216 | 187 | 403 | 52 | 189 | 30 | 9 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 149 | 128 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 270 | 219 | 489 | 62 | 211 | 26 | 13 | 236 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 89 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 337 | 351 | 689 | 122 | 238 | 12 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 89 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 337 | 351 | 689 | 122 | 238 | 12 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 83 | 77 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 130 | 195 | 182 | 377 | 52 | 152 | 16 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 230 | 202 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 163 | 259 | 307 | 566 | 144 | 182 | 23 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 508 | 461 | 90 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 133 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 195 | 266 | 280 | 545 | 85 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 286 | 266 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 199 | 251 | 305 | 555 | 105 | 246 | 26 | 5 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 406 | 370 | 88 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 89 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 238 | 300 | 370 | 671 | 132 | 288 | 22 | 6 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 196 | 183 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 230 | 275 | 372 | 646 | 142 | 250 | 18 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 134 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 216 | 187 | 403 | 52 | 190 | 30 | 9 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 149 | 134 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | 216 | 187 | 403 | 52 | 190 | 30 | 9 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1947 | 1758 | 351 | 75 | 7 | 34 | 137 | 451 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 200 | 267 | 308 | 575 | 109 | 244 | 23 | 7 | 240 | 48 | -120 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +42 | -7.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 151 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 198 | 265 | 303 | 568 | 106 | 242 | 23 | 7 | 240 | 48 | -40 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAASacramento River Cats · 75 PAwOBA .224 → .185 (−39)K% 28.0% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.081 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.67% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 13.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 118, K 116, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .224 → .185; ISO .048 → .040; BABIP .209 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 74 PAwOBA .240 → .191 (−49)K% 23.0% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.97% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 15.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .240 → .191; ISO .077 → .056; BABIP .213 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 156 PAwOBA .317 → .279 (−38)K% 15.4% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.33% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 18.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.003 | ×0.860 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.906 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .317 → .279; ISO .175 → .151; BABIP .276 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Giants Black · 40 PAwOBA .385 → .266 (−118)K% 10.0% → 14.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.053 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.017 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.031 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 2.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .385 → .266; ISO .171 → .119; BABIP .333 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 APalm Beach Cardinals · 200 PAwOBA .374 → .294 (−80)K% 18.0% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.00% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.980 | 21.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.46% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.980 | 5.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | ×0.980 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.48% | ÷0.880 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .374 → .294; ISO .176 → .144; BABIP .333 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASpringfield Cardinals · 108 PAwOBA .355 → .308 (−47)K% 18.5% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.48% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.10% | ÷0.935 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 12.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .355 → .308; ISO .173 → .159; BABIP .380 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Peoria Chiefs · 98 PAwOBA .337 → .267 (−70)K% 12.2% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.24% | ÷1.064 | ×1.270 | — | — | 14.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.989 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 4.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.76% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 86, K 113, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .337 → .267; ISO .146 → .107; BABIP .297 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Peoria Chiefs · 211 PAwOBA .324 → .255 (−69)K% 20.9% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.30% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 19.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .324 → .255; ISO .177 → .132; BABIP .286 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .