Tim Cate

P Rochester Red Wings

Age 29 LHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	24	MIX2 levels	23	21	109	4.61	3.54	22.0%	7.9%	—	K 17.4% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.31
2023	25	MIX2 levels	42	0	43	4.01	4.13	23.8%	14.4%	—	K 19.9% · BB 13.6% · FIP 4.42
2024	26	AAAWSH	53	1	55	5.86	3.93	24.6%	12.1%	—	K 21.2% · BB 10.9% · FIP 4.17
2027PROJ	29	MLBWSH	36	0	38	4.50	4.50	22.2%	10.0%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBWSH	12	0	13	4.59	4.66	22.0%	10.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHector Hernandez (age 28) · Matt Whitehouse (age 28) · Tommy Phelps (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 119

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%22.2%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	20	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	4	4	21	93	19	6	4	100%	5.2	15.1%	7.6%	7.5%	5.0%	5.57	5.56	—
2018	20	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	4	4	21	93	19	6	4	100%	5.2	20.4%	6.5%	14.0%	4.3%	5.57	4.62	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	144	581	139	32	6	100%	5.5	18.0%	6.4%	11.6%	1.3%	3.07	3.12	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	144	581	139	32	6	100%	5.5	23.9%	5.5%	18.4%	1.0%	3.07	2.38	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	21	21	97	435	81	37	12	100%	4.6	15.1%	9.4%	5.7%	3.2%	5.31	4.76	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	21	21	97	435	81	37	12	100%	4.6	18.6%	8.5%	10.1%	2.8%	5.31	4.19	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	109	468	103	37	11	91%	4.8	17.4%	8.9%	8.5%	2.8%	4.61	4.31	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	109	468	103	37	11	91%	4.8	22.0%	7.9%	14.1%	2.4%	4.61	3.54	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	43	181	43	26	4	0%	1.0	19.9%	13.6%	6.3%	2.3%	4.01	4.42	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	43	181	43	26	4	0%	1.0	23.8%	14.4%	9.4%	2.2%	4.01	4.13	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	53	1	55	248	61	30	6	2%	1.0	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	2.7%	5.86	4.17	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	53	1	55	248	61	30	6	2%	1.0	21.2%	10.9%	10.3%	2.7%	5.86	4.17	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	53	1	55	248	61	30	6	2%	1.0	24.6%	12.1%	12.5%	2.4%	5.86	3.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	WSH	36	0	38	160	36	16	5	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	WSH	34	0	36	151	33	15	5	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.2%	11.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	WSH	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.2%	11.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.0	22.0%	10.2%	11.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	91	30	0%	1.1	22.0%	10.2%	11.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		169	73	469	2006	354	178	50	43%	2.8	17.7%	8.9%	8.8%	2.5%	4.42	4.11	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	31	200	856	151	76	22	43%	2.8	17.7%	8.9%	8.8%	2.5%	4.42	4.11	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tim Cate (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	22.2%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.66	22.0%	11.8%	36	+0.16	—	—	—
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	74
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	73
Tommy Phelps L 2003 · 3.39 FIP	29	SW	3.39	15.6%	8.0%	1.1%	.322	4.47	16.9%	8.9%	57	+1.08	3.39	120	71
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	71
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	70
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	69
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	68
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	66
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	66
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	66
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	64
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	64
Everett Teaford L 2012 · 5.47 FIP	28	SW	5.47	13.3%	8.0%	4.5%	.291	4.42	13.9%	6.3%	103	-1.05	4.42	208	63
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	63
Brian Flynn L 2019 · 4.49 FIP	29	SW	4.49	17.7%	10.1%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.80	295	63
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	62
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	62
Jake McSteen L 2024 · 4.64 FIP	28	SU	4.64	19.7%	6.4%	4.4%	.348	2.22	18.9%	13.2%	18	-2.42	2.22	286	61
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	61
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	22.1%	10.1%	1.19	4.54
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*