Tim Cate
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 28
LHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%22.6%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 4 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.57 | 5.31 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 4 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.4% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 5.57 | 4.62 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 144 | 581 | 139 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.0% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 3.07 | 3.13 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 144 | 581 | 139 | 32 | 6 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.9% | 5.5% | 18.4% | 1.0% | 3.07 | 2.38 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 21 | 21 | 97 | 435 | 81 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.31 | 4.70 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 21 | 21 | 97 | 435 | 81 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 5.31 | 4.19 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 109 | 468 | 103 | 37 | 11 | 91% | 4.8 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.61 | 4.31 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 109 | 468 | 103 | 37 | 11 | 91% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 2.4% | 4.61 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 43 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 4.01 | 4.52 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 43 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 4.01 | 4.13 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 53 | 1 | 55 | 248 | 61 | 30 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 5.86 | 4.38 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 53 | 1 | 55 | 248 | 61 | 30 | 6 | 2% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 34 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 33 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 94 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 169 | 73 | 469 | 2006 | 356 | 186 | 50 | 43% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.13 | +7.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 31 | 200 | 856 | 152 | 79 | 21 | 43% | 2.8 | 17.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.42 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Cate (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.67 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 35 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 77 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 75 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 73 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 72 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 71 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 69 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 68 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 67 |
| Tommy Vail L 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 151 | 67 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.56 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 203 | 67 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 67 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 65 |
| Andy Otero L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 64 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 22.4% | 9.2% | 2.9% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 325 | 63 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.04 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.6% | .318 | 4.37 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.33 | 3.53 | 282 | 63 |
| Brendan Nail L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 63 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 63 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 62 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 62 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 35 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.59 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |