Tanner Murphy
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+/ANYM | 155 | .182/.299/.311 | 3 | 7 | 17 | — | .131/.227/.219 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+/ANYM | 230 | .236/.341/.385 | 5 | 7 | 47 | — | .171/.248/.278 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA/AANYM | 185 | .202/.293/.294 | 2 | 9 | 30 | — | .171/.239/.248 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 70 | 61 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 180 | 286 | 262 | 548 | 82 | 314 | 37 | 11 | 259 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 85 | 71 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 183 | 310 | 352 | 662 | 169 | 278 | 39 | 12 | 301 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 106 | 95 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 232 | 305 | 379 | 684 | 147 | 333 | 32 | 6 | 305 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | St. Lucie Mets | — | 124 | 100 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 240 | 372 | 390 | 762 | 150 | 300 | 24 | 14 | 341 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 25 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 320 | 417 | 737 | 125 | 500 | 40 | 4 | 327 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 160 | 139 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 187 | 289 | 273 | 563 | 86 | 338 | 41 | 11 | 264 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 70 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 143 | 229 | 206 | 435 | 63 | 289 | 49 | 9 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 85 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 122 | 226 | 230 | 456 | 108 | 239 | 56 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Brooklyn Cyclones | — | 106 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 163 | 219 | 276 | 495 | 112 | 267 | 42 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 124 | 107 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 178 | 273 | 280 | 553 | 103 | 247 | 35 | 8 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 25 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 292 | 532 | 83 | 472 | 48 | 4 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 160 | 145 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 166 | 239 | 241 | 480 | 76 | 328 | 50 | 8 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 81 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 123 | 214 | 210 | 424 | 87 | 268 | 52 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 155 | 132 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 59 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 182 | 299 | 311 | 609 | 129 | 296 | 38 | 12 | 282 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 204 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 87 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 172 | 252 | 279 | 532 | 108 | 265 | 38 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 230 | 195 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 64 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 236 | 341 | 385 | 725 | 149 | 315 | 28 | 10 | 324 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 170 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 93 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 171 | 234 | 247 | 481 | 76 | 360 | 50 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 185 | 163 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 76 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 202 | 293 | 294 | 588 | 92 | 365 | 41 | 10 | 272 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 81 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 123 | 214 | 210 | 424 | 87 | 262 | 52 | 8 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 230 | 206 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 87 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 170 | 252 | 277 | 529 | 107 | 256 | 38 | 6 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 169 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 93 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 172 | 234 | 249 | 482 | 77 | 347 | 50 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 570 | 512 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 261 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 158 | 236 | 250 | 486 | 92 | 294 | 46 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -45 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +12 | -2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 298 | 16 | 26 | 2 | 156 | 233 | 245 | 478 | 89 | 290 | 46 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -52 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 160 PAwOBA .255 → .206 (−49)K% 41.2% → 50.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.25% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 50.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.66% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 24.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.31% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .255 → .206; ISO .086 → .067; BABIP .338 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 25 PAwOBA .318 → .250 (−68)K% 40.0% → 50.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 49.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 27.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 19.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .250; ISO .125 → .097; BABIP .500 → .472. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ASt. Lucie Mets · 124 PAwOBA .338 → .256 (−82)K% 24.2% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | 19.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.949 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 110, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 92, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .338 → .256; ISO .150 → .122; BABIP .300 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 106 PAwOBA .300 → .215 (−84)K% 32.1% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.08% | ÷0.995 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.020 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 3.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 2.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.060 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 2.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.925 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.08% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 112, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .300 → .215; ISO .147 → .111; BABIP .333 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ASt. Lucie Mets · 85 PAwOBA .297 → .195 (−102)K% 38.8% → 55.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.82% | ÷0.945 | ×1.360 | — | — | 55.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.041 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.53% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 16.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.988 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 6.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 127, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .297 → .195; ISO .169 → .105; BABIP .278 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 70 PAwOBA .253 → .191 (−62)K% 37.1% → 48.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.14% | ÷1.041 | ×1.350 | — | — | 48.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 18.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 2.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .253 → .191; ISO .082 → .060; BABIP .314 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).