Joel Kuhnel — OGILVIE

Joel Kuhnel P San Francisco Giants

Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 290 lbs MLB peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.00

FIP3.77

K%16.7%

BB%5.1%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL7070

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p2722.1%

p1013.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.362

FB+1.4 (58%)

CT (24%)

CH (6%)

SI (53%)

SL (7%)

CU (4%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	18	0	21	92	14	1	1	0%	1.2	10.3%	1.4%	9.0%	1.5%	3.43	3.23	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	18	0	21	92	14	1	1	0%	1.2	15.2%	1.1%	14.1%	1.1%	3.43	2.53	—
2017	22	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	48	0	64	276	54	10	6	0%	1.3	14.5%	4.3%	10.2%	2.4%	4.36	3.75	—
2017	22	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	48	0	64	276	54	10	6	0%	1.3	19.6%	3.6%	15.9%	2.2%	4.36	3.10	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	53	225	56	9	2	0%	1.2	19.2%	4.6%	14.6%	1.1%	3.04	2.64	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	44	0	53	225	56	9	2	0%	1.2	24.9%	4.0%	20.9%	0.9%	3.04	1.99	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	52	0	63	257	59	18	7	0%	1.2	19.5%	6.5%	13.0%	3.4%	2.56	4.13	+0.3
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	52	0	63	257	59	18	7	0%	1.2	23.0%	7.0%	16.0%	2.7%	2.56	3.53	+0.8
2020	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	3	0	3	13	3	0	2	0%	1.0	23.1%	0.0%	23.1%	15.4%	6.00	9.60	-0.2
2020	25	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	3	0	3	13	3	0	2	0%	1.0	23.1%	0.0%	23.1%	15.4%	6.00	9.77	-0.2
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	1	8	31	11	1	1	12%	1.0	35.5%	3.2%	32.3%	3.2%	1.12	2.28	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	1	8	31	11	1	1	12%	1.0	35.5%	3.2%	32.3%	3.2%	1.12	2.35	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	68	297	63	14	9	0%	1.1	22.0%	5.1%	16.9%	2.9%	5.80	3.49	+0.9
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	68	297	63	14	9	0%	1.1	21.2%	4.7%	16.5%	3.0%	5.80	3.58	+0.8
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	57	258	34	20	6	0%	1.2	11.1%	7.1%	4.0%	2.7%	6.04	4.55	+0.0
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	57	258	34	20	6	0%	1.2	11.1%	7.1%	4.0%	2.7%	6.04	4.55	+0.0
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	57	258	34	20	6	0%	1.2	13.2%	7.8%	5.4%	2.3%	6.04	4.34	+0.1
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	214	36	11	2	0%	1.3	14.7%	5.7%	9.0%	0.6%	3.29	2.90	+1.0
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	214	36	11	2	0%	1.3	14.7%	5.7%	9.0%	0.6%	3.29	2.90	+1.0
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	52	214	36	11	2	0%	1.3	16.8%	5.1%	11.7%	0.9%	3.29	2.85	+1.1
2025	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	50	2	64	259	56	11	5	4%	1.3	17.9%	3.8%	14.1%	2.0%	3.53	3.16	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	50	2	64	259	56	11	5	4%	1.3	17.9%	3.8%	14.1%	2.0%	3.53	3.16	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	50	2	64	259	56	11	5	4%	1.3	21.6%	4.2%	17.4%	1.9%	3.53	2.88	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			121	0	133	582	99	35	21	0%	1.1	17.0%	6.0%	11.0%	3.6%	5.56	4.46	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	52	0	53	229	37	17	8	0%	1.0	15.1%	7.2%	7.9%	3.8%	3.91	4.82	-0.2
YTD	31	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	52	0	53	229	37	17	8	0%	1.0	15.1%	7.2%	7.9%	3.8%	3.91	4.82	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	SF	13	0	14	54	14	4	1	0%	1.1	25.9%	7.4%	18.5%	1.9%	1.29	2.87	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	SF	39	0	39	175	23	13	7	0%	1.0	13.1%	7.4%	5.7%	4.0%	4.85	5.13	-0.3
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	SF	39	0	39	175	23	13	7	0%	1.0	13.1%	7.4%	5.7%	4.0%	4.85	5.13	-0.3
ROS	31	MLB MLE	SF	5	0	5	22	4	1	1	0%	1.1	16.7%	5.1%	11.6%	2.6%	4.00	3.77	+0.0
ROS	31	MLB CTX	SF	5	0	5	21	4	1	1	0%	1.0	16.7%	5.1%	11.6%	2.6%	4.00	3.77	+0.0
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	58	251	41	18	9	—	—	16.2%	7.2%	9.0%	3.4%	3.91	4.72	-0.1
FULL	31	MLB A+C	SF	—	—	44	187	41	18	9	—	—	21.8%	9.7%	12.1%	4.6%	5.15	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SF	56	0	58	246	38	14	8	0%	1.0	15.4%	5.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
2028	33	MLB MLE	SF	51	0	54	226	33	14	8	0%	1.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.5%	3.4%	4.78	4.90	-0.2
2027	32	MLB CTX	SF	52	0	55	232	36	13	7	0%	1.1	15.4%	5.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.61	4.62	-0.0
2028	33	MLB CTX	SF	49	0	51	215	31	13	7	0%	1.0	14.6%	6.0%	8.5%	3.4%	4.78	4.90	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		227	0	244	1053	170	62	36	0%	1.1	16.2%	5.9%	10.3%	3.5%	5.15	4.38	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	862	139	51	29	0%	1.1	16.2%	5.9%	10.3%	3.5%	5.15	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		426	3	506	2151	363	113	53	1%	1.2	16.9%	5.3%	11.6%	2.5%	4.03	3.69	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	1	200	850	143	45	21	1%	1.2	16.9%	5.3%	11.6%	2.5%	4.03	3.69	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joel Kuhnel (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.86	18.0%	4.1%	2.5%	—	4.75	15.0%	9.2%	112	+0.89	—	—	—
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	85
Jim Johnson R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	32	SU	3.34	17.2%	6.2%	1.7%	.330	3.63	22.0%	14.1%	185	+0.29	2.56	251	82
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	82
Bo Schultz R 2016 · 3.90 FIP	30	SU	3.90	14.4%	5.2%	2.5%	.276	2.73	16.4%	8.4%	27	-1.17	2.73	141	81
Jared Hughes R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	31	SU	4.30	13.2%	7.4%	2.5%	.283	3.75	19.4%	11.5%	210	-0.55	3.00	358	81
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	80
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	80
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	79
Blaine Boyer R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	34	SU	3.79	12.3%	5.6%	1.9%	.265	4.07	12.5%	5.9%	144	+0.28	3.24	209	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	79
Junichi Tazawa R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	16.0%	7.6%	3.5%	.270	4.81	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.16	2.94	227	78
Pedro Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	31	SU	4.14	14.7%	4.9%	3.0%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	145	78
Esteban Haro R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	13.9%	5.1%	2.4%	.386	3.76	9.5%	3.9%	39	-0.15	3.76	164	78
Carlos Torres R 2015 · 3.19 FIP	32	SU	3.19	19.8%	4.9%	2.1%	.315	3.67	20.8%	12.4%	206	+0.48	2.89	326	78
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	78
Matt Albers R 2015 · 3.19 FIP	32	SU	3.19	18.8%	4.7%	2.0%	.252	4.45	20.4%	13.3%	147	+1.26	3.15	244	78
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	77
Miguel Socolovich R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	31	SU	4.37	16.4%	5.1%	3.6%	.303	3.55	19.7%	14.5%	93	-0.82	2.65	283	77
Casey Fien R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	31	SU	3.42	16.0%	3.1%	2.3%	.272	5.55	18.5%	14.4%	73	+2.13	3.42	136	77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	16.1%	5.2%	1.17	4.47
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21