Joel Kuhnel
P
Milwaukee Brewers
Age 31
RHP
6'5" / 290 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.14
FIP3.92
K%15.9%
BB%5.5%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP63
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p3122.6%
K%
p1014.0%
xwOBA vs
p140.355
FB+1.4 (57%)
CT (27%)
CH (7%)
SI (52%)
SL (7%)
CU (3%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | 18 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 10.3% | 1.4% | 9.0% | 1.5% | 3.43 | 3.23 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | 18 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 1.1% | 14.1% | 1.1% | 3.43 | 2.53 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | 48 | 0 | 64 | 276 | 54 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.5% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 4.36 | 3.58 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Dayton Dragons | 48 | 0 | 64 | 276 | 54 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.6% | 3.6% | 15.9% | 2.2% | 4.36 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 44 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 4.6% | 14.6% | 1.0% | 3.04 | 2.61 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 44 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.9% | 4.0% | 20.9% | 0.9% | 3.04 | 1.99 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 59 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 2.56 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 0 | 63 | 257 | 59 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 2.7% | 2.56 | 3.53 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 6.00 | 9.60 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 6.00 | 9.77 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 12% | 1.0 | 35.5% | 3.2% | 32.3% | 3.2% | 1.12 | 2.28 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 12% | 1.0 | 35.5% | 3.2% | 32.3% | 3.2% | 1.12 | 2.35 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 68 | 297 | 63 | 14 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 5.1% | 16.9% | 3.0% | 5.80 | 3.52 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 68 | 297 | 63 | 14 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 4.7% | 16.5% | 3.0% | 5.80 | 3.58 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 57 | 258 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.04 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 57 | 258 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 6.04 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 214 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 0.6% | 3.29 | 2.93 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 214 | 36 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.8% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 0.9% | 3.29 | 2.85 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 50 | 2 | 64 | 259 | 56 | 11 | 5 | 4% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 3.08 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 50 | 2 | 64 | 259 | 56 | 11 | 5 | 4% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 4.2% | 17.4% | 1.9% | 3.53 | 2.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 62 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 42 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 58 | 246 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 36 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 32 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.93 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 285 | 0 | 305 | 1307 | 206 | 79 | 42 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.31 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 857 | 135 | 52 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 5.03 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 436 | 3 | 517 | 2197 | 372 | 120 | 52 | 1% | 1.2 | 16.9% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 3.66 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 1 | 200 | 849 | 144 | 46 | 20 | 1% | 1.2 | 16.9% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joel Kuhnel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.87 | 18.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.79 | 14.7% | 8.4% | 160 | +0.92 | — | — | — |
| Juan Sandoval R 2029 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 86 |
| Jim Johnson R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.21 | 2.51 | 251 | 83 |
| Jared Hughes R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.21 | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.81 | 19.4% | 11.5% | 210 | -0.40 | 3.02 | 358 | 82 |
| Bo Schultz R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.84 | 14.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | .276 | 2.73 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 27 | -1.11 | 2.73 | 141 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 81 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 81 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 81 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 80 |
| Tony Barnette R 2027 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 80 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2029 · 3.78 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.78 | 12.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | .265 | 4.08 | 12.5% | 5.9% | 144 | +0.30 | 3.21 | 209 | 80 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.81 | 13.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | .386 | 3.62 | 9.5% | 3.9% | 39 | -0.19 | 3.62 | 164 | 79 |
| Pedro Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.95 | 14.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 145 | 79 |
| Alex Wilson R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.25 | 17.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | .232 | 5.01 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 62 | +0.76 | 3.40 | 326 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.80 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 149 | 78 |
| Carlos Torres R 2027 · 3.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.19 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | .315 | 3.74 | 20.8% | 12.4% | 206 | +0.55 | 2.78 | 326 | 78 |
| Matt Albers R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.18 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.51 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 147 | +1.33 | 3.15 | 244 | 78 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.80 | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 9.8% | 0.3% | 53 | -0.69 | 4.11 | 156 | 78 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 78 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.37 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.72 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 90 | +1.35 | 3.37 | 170 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 55 | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.16 | 4.53 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |