Tristen Lutz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AAMIL | 268 | .217/.293/.362 | 7 | 2 | 46 | — | .183/.244/.301 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAMIL | 295 | .259/.355/.443 | 12 | 1 | 77 | — | .214/.287/.353 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAMIL | 187 | .221/.351/.377 | 6 | 0 | 59 | — | .178/.276/.288 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 187 | 161 | 50 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 311 | 400 | 559 | 959 | 248 | 369 | 22 | 9 | 415 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 503 | 444 | 109 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 139 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 245 | 325 | 421 | 746 | 176 | 322 | 28 | 9 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 477 | 420 | 107 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 137 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 255 | 338 | 419 | 757 | 164 | 343 | 29 | 10 | 337 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 268 | 240 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 217 | 293 | 362 | 656 | 146 | 302 | 32 | 7 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 295 | 255 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 355 | 443 | 798 | 184 | 344 | 30 | 12 | 355 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 154 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 351 | 377 | 728 | 156 | 329 | 35 | 14 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 187 | 168 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 226 | 297 | 405 | 702 | 179 | 297 | 32 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 503 | 455 | 87 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 196 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 191 | 258 | 316 | 575 | 125 | 294 | 39 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 477 | 436 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 201 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 179 | 243 | 282 | 525 | 103 | 294 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 268 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 107 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 183 | 244 | 301 | 545 | 118 | 283 | 40 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 295 | 266 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 110 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 287 | 353 | 640 | 139 | 317 | 37 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 163 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 276 | 288 | 564 | 110 | 318 | 46 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 187 | 168 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 226 | 297 | 405 | 702 | 179 | 304 | 32 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 187 | 161 | 50 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 311 | 400 | 559 | 959 | 248 | 369 | 22 | 9 | 415 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 503 | 455 | 87 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 196 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 191 | 258 | 316 | 575 | 125 | 305 | 39 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 503 | 444 | 109 | 33 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 139 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 245 | 325 | 421 | 746 | 176 | 322 | 28 | 9 | 328 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 477 | 436 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 201 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 179 | 243 | 282 | 525 | 103 | 300 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 477 | 420 | 107 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 137 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 255 | 338 | 419 | 757 | 164 | 343 | 29 | 10 | 337 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 268 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 107 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 183 | 244 | 301 | 545 | 118 | 289 | 40 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 268 | 240 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 86 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 217 | 293 | 362 | 656 | 146 | 302 | 32 | 7 | 294 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 295 | 266 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 110 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 287 | 353 | 640 | 139 | 322 | 37 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 295 | 255 | 66 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 88 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 355 | 443 | 798 | 184 | 344 | 30 | 12 | 355 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 163 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 276 | 288 | 564 | 110 | 333 | 46 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 154 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 351 | 377 | 728 | 156 | 329 | 35 | 14 | 331 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 187 | 168 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 60 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 226 | 297 | 405 | 702 | 179 | 297 | 32 | 5 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 503 | 457 | 87 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 196 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 190 | 258 | 315 | 573 | 125 | 294 | 39 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 477 | 437 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 201 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 178 | 243 | 281 | 525 | 103 | 294 | 42 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 268 | 246 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 107 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 183 | 244 | 301 | 545 | 118 | 283 | 40 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 295 | 266 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 110 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 287 | 353 | 640 | 139 | 317 | 37 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 187 | 163 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 276 | 288 | 564 | 110 | 318 | 46 | 10 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1917 | 1734 | 334 | 68 | 8 | 44 | 129 | 760 | 35 | 18 | 16 | 193 | 262 | 317 | 580 | 125 | 306 | 40 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -95 | -3 | +0 | -12 | +42 | -6.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 258 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 194 | 264 | 320 | 584 | 126 | 308 | 40 | 7 | 254 | 58 | -32 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 187 PAwOBA .326 → .255 (−72)K% 34.8% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.76% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 9.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.72% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 23.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.74% | ÷0.827 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.021 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.74% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.10% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .326 → .255; ISO .156 → .118; BABIP .329 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 295 PAwOBA .348 → .282 (−66)K% 29.8% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.83% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.53% | ÷1.027 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.75% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 23.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 6.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.19% | ÷1.012 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.75% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .348 → .282; ISO .184 → .148; BABIP .344 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 268 PAwOBA .289 → .236 (−53)K% 32.1% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.09% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.78% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 20.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.92% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .289 → .236; ISO .146 → .114; BABIP .302 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Carolina Mudcats · 477 PAwOBA .331 → .234 (−96)K% 28.7% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.72% | ÷0.967 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷1.010 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.67% | ÷0.978 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 22.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.48% | ÷1.183 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.096 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.59% | ÷1.082 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 3.92% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 137, 3B 119, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .331 → .234; ISO .164 → .109; BABIP .343 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 503 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−71)K% 27.6% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.63% | ÷0.967 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.15% | ÷0.946 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 18.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.82% | ÷0.957 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 9.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.112 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.030 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.019 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 122, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .176 → .130; BABIP .322 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Brewers · 187 PAwOBA .403 → .296 (−106)K% 22.5% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.46% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.28% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 22.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.008 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 5.94% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .403 → .296; ISO .248 → .180; BABIP .369 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).