Matthew Acosta
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ASD | 349 | .264/.372/.414 | 6 | 9 | 70 | — | .208/.291/.328 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA/A+/ASD | 372 | .225/.321/.347 | 7 | 16 | 46 | — | .177/.249/.268 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 349 | 292 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 69 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 264 | 372 | 414 | 786 | 151 | 326 | 20 | 13 | 350 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 41 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 158 | 220 | 211 | 430 | 53 | 261 | 37 | 7 | 202 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 205 | 179 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 48 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 257 | 345 | 363 | 708 | 106 | 336 | 23 | 11 | 320 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 126 | 103 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 194 | 314 | 369 | 683 | 175 | 214 | 24 | 13 | 300 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 349 | 308 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 101 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 208 | 291 | 328 | 619 | 120 | 283 | 29 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 41 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 146 | 128 | 275 | 26 | 237 | 44 | 5 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 205 | 186 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 210 | 276 | 290 | 566 | 81 | 301 | 30 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 126 | 108 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 148 | 240 | 278 | 517 | 130 | 172 | 33 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 349 | 308 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 101 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 208 | 291 | 328 | 619 | 120 | 287 | 29 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 349 | 292 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 69 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 264 | 372 | 414 | 786 | 151 | 326 | 20 | 13 | 350 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 372 | 333 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 122 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 183 | 255 | 276 | 531 | 93 | 263 | 33 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 372 | 320 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 42 | 93 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 225 | 321 | 347 | 667 | 122 | 290 | 25 | 11 | 300 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 349 | 310 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 101 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 291 | 326 | 617 | 119 | 283 | 29 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 372 | 337 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 122 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 181 | 255 | 273 | 528 | 92 | 250 | 33 | 8 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 721 | 641 | 125 | 24 | 4 | 12 | 61 | 223 | 7 | 25 | 4 | 195 | 272 | 301 | 573 | 106 | 275 | 31 | 8 | 253 | 57 | -37 | +3 | +0 | +3 | +16 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 114 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 55 | 201 | 6 | 23 | 4 | 197 | 274 | 306 | 580 | 109 | 278 | 31 | 8 | 253 | 57 | -33 | +3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 205 PAwOBA .315 → .258 (−58)K% 23.4% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.41% | ÷0.992 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.19% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 23.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 5.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.31% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .315 → .258; ISO .106 → .085; BABIP .336 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 126 PAwOBA .297 → .226 (−70)K% 23.8% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.70% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.44% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 13.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.115 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 2.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.85% | ÷0.938 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.72% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .297 → .226; ISO .175 → .139; BABIP .214 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 41 PAwOBA .197 → .155 (−42)K% 36.6% → 44.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.59% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.32% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 16.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 7.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .197 → .155; ISO .053 → .039; BABIP .261 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALake Elsinore Storm · 349 PAwOBA .342 → .271 (−71)K% 19.8% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.77% | ÷0.932 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.47% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 9.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.97% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.990 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.07% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.990 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.028 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.990 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.69% | ÷0.815 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.62% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 100, 2B 111, 3B 106, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .342 → .271; ISO .151 → .126; BABIP .326 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).