Justin Farmer
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROKSD | 53 | .302/.423/.581 | 3 | 0 | 87 | — | .191/.269/.362 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+/ASD | 562 | .225/.381/.363 | 12 | 40 | 55 | — | .166/.284/.266 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA/A+SD | 332 | .210/.294/.298 | 3 | 18 | 25 | — | .165/.230/.232 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 53 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 423 | 581 | 1.004 | 279 | 345 | 23 | 17 | 428 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 75 | 60 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 370 | 317 | 687 | 83 | 351 | 32 | 15 | 317 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 487 | 384 | 86 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 95 | 126 | 4 | 38 | 6 | 224 | 383 | 370 | 753 | 146 | 300 | 26 | 20 | 346 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 94 | 89 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 157 | 202 | 202 | 404 | 45 | 269 | 39 | 4 | 188 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 238 | 206 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 69 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 233 | 331 | 340 | 670 | 107 | 331 | 29 | 12 | 306 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 53 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 269 | 362 | 631 | 170 | 256 | 32 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 75 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 315 | 286 | 601 | 79 | 320 | 41 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 487 | 414 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 177 | 4 | 38 | 6 | 159 | 280 | 263 | 543 | 104 | 242 | 36 | 13 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 94 | 90 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 111 | 149 | 133 | 282 | 22 | 225 | 49 | 3 | 132 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 238 | 214 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 86 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 187 | 263 | 271 | 534 | 84 | 281 | 36 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 53 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 191 | 269 | 362 | 631 | 170 | 241 | 32 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 53 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 423 | 581 | 1.004 | 279 | 345 | 23 | 17 | 428 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 478 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 72 | 208 | 6 | 40 | 6 | 163 | 281 | 257 | 538 | 94 | 259 | 37 | 13 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 562 | 444 | 100 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 106 | 150 | 6 | 40 | 6 | 225 | 381 | 363 | 744 | 137 | 307 | 27 | 19 | 342 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 304 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 132 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 164 | 230 | 234 | 464 | 69 | 275 | 40 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 332 | 295 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 106 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 210 | 294 | 298 | 592 | 88 | 314 | 32 | 10 | 273 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 53 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 188 | 269 | 354 | 623 | 167 | 256 | 32 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 562 | 479 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 72 | 208 | 6 | 40 | 6 | 163 | 281 | 257 | 537 | 94 | 252 | 37 | 13 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 332 | 303 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 132 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 165 | 230 | 234 | 465 | 69 | 265 | 40 | 7 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 947 | 829 | 137 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 100 | 357 | 9 | 58 | 11 | 165 | 262 | 255 | 517 | 89 | 264 | 38 | 11 | 237 | 46 | -61 | +7 | +0 | -6 | +21 | -3.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 69 | 245 | 6 | 40 | 8 | 167 | 264 | 258 | 522 | 91 | 266 | 38 | 11 | 237 | 46 | -42 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 238 PAwOBA .301 → .234 (−68)K% 29.0% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷1.014 | ×1.270 | — | — | 36.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.09% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.978 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.03% | ÷1.118 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×0.978 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.967 | ×0.978 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.848 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.02% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 91, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .301 → .234; ISO .107 → .080; BABIP .331 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 94 PAwOBA .184 → .132 (−52)K% 39.4% → 48.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.36% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.26% | ÷0.927 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 17.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.116 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .184 → .132; ISO .045 → .027; BABIP .269 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ALake Elsinore Storm · 487 PAwOBA .340 → .248 (−92)K% 25.9% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.87% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.51% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 13.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | 17.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷1.115 | ×0.830 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.938 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 123, 3B 100, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .340 → .248; ISO .146 → .108; BABIP .300 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 75 PAwOBA .318 → .259 (−59)K% 32.0% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷0.992 | ×1.270 | — | — | 40.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.67% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.67% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.56% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 28.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.935 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.39% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 96, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .259; ISO .083 → .070; BABIP .351 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Padres · 53 PAwOBA .425 → .297 (−128)K% 22.6% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 10.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 7.28% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .425 → .297; ISO .279 → .202; BABIP .345 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).