Tyson Miller

P Charlotte Knights

Age 32 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX2 levels	62	66	2.32	3.25	23.9%	5.2%	1.0	K 23.0% · BB 4.7% · FIP 3.45
2025	30	AAACHC	31	37	6.27	4.95	19.7%	18.6%	—	K 16.9% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.67
2026	31	AAACWS	6	8	12.96	9.70	20.0%	15.6%	—	K 20.0% · BB 15.6% · FIP 8.26
2027PROJ	32	MLBCWS	124	130	4.38	4.92	18.3%	11.1%	-0.5
2028PROJ37% MLB	33	MLBCWS	42	44	4.80	5.13	17.8%	11.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ32% MLB	34	MLBCWS	33	35	5.11	5.37	17.2%	11.4%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

xwOBA vs73

Whiff%58

K%54

FB Velo10

CompsAustin Bibens-Dirkx (age 32) · Todd Redmond (age 30) · Chris Jakubauskas (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.38

FIP4.92

K%18.3%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP130

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 130 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.6

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p5423.0%

xwOBA vs

p730.290

FB+7.8 (51%)

SL+6.3 (44%)

CH+0.5 (2%)

SI (3%)

CU (3%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	21	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	2	1	6	21	3	3	0	50%	3.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2016	21	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs	2	1	6	21	3	3	0	50%	3.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.60	—
2017	22	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	28	20	121	519	99	38	10	71%	4.3	14.1%	8.6%	5.5%	2.9%	4.48	4.58	—
2017	22	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	28	20	121	519	99	38	10	71%	4.3	19.1%	7.3%	11.8%	1.9%	4.48	3.48	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	23	127	516	126	35	12	100%	5.5	18.8%	7.8%	11.0%	3.1%	3.61	4.21	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	23	127	516	126	35	12	100%	5.5	24.4%	6.8%	17.6%	2.3%	3.61	3.17	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	137	572	123	43	19	100%	5.3	17.9%	8.1%	9.9%	3.5%	4.35	4.52	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	137	572	123	43	19	100%	5.3	21.5%	7.5%	14.0%	3.3%	4.35	4.05	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	2	1	5	20	0	3	1	50%	2.5	0.0%	15.0%	-15.0%	5.0%	5.40	7.74	-0.2
2020	25	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	2	1	5	20	0	3	1	50%	2.5	0.0%	15.0%	-15.0%	5.0%	5.40	7.50	-0.1
2021	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	23	10	61	253	65	25	7	43%	2.7	22.6%	10.4%	12.2%	3.2%	3.23	4.25	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	23	10	61	253	65	25	7	43%	2.7	25.7%	9.9%	15.8%	2.8%	3.23	3.69	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	18	100	454	122	48	15	55%	3.0	23.9%	11.0%	12.8%	3.7%	5.20	4.54	+0.4
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	18	100	454	122	48	15	55%	3.0	26.9%	10.6%	16.3%	3.3%	5.20	4.05	+1.0
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	59	245	60	21	6	6%	1.6	21.6%	8.0%	13.7%	2.6%	3.81	3.69	+0.6
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	59	245	60	21	6	6%	1.6	24.5%	8.6%	15.9%	2.4%	3.81	3.46	+0.8
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	66	251	60	13	7	0%	1.1	23.0%	4.7%	18.3%	3.1%	2.32	3.45	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	62	0	66	251	60	13	7	0%	1.1	23.0%	4.7%	18.3%	3.1%	2.32	3.45	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	62	0	66	251	60	13	7	0%	1.1	23.9%	5.2%	18.7%	2.8%	2.32	3.25	+1.0
2025	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	31	0	37	183	36	34	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	16.7%	0.2%	1.6%	6.27	4.67	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	31	0	37	183	36	34	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	16.7%	0.2%	1.6%	6.27	4.67	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	31	0	37	183	36	34	3	0%	1.2	19.7%	18.6%	1.1%	1.6%	6.27	4.95	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	6	0	8	45	9	7	4	0%	1.4	20.0%	15.6%	4.4%	8.9%	12.96	8.26	—
2026	31	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	6	0	8	45	9	7	4	0%	1.4	20.0%	15.6%	4.4%	8.9%	12.96	8.26	—
2026	31	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	6	0	8	45	9	7	4	0%	1.4	20.0%	15.6%	4.4%	8.9%	12.96	9.70	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			74	3	93	375	72	28	11	4%	1.3	19.2%	7.5%	11.7%	2.9%	3.87	3.99	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	CWS	124	0	130	549	100	61	16	0%	1.0	18.3%	11.1%	7.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.92	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	CWS	114	0	120	505	90	56	16	0%	1.0	17.8%	11.2%	6.6%	3.2%	4.80	5.13	-0.8
2029	34	MLB MLE	CWS	104	0	109	459	79	52	16	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.4%	5.8%	3.4%	5.11	5.37	-1.0
2028	33	MLB CTX	CWS	42	0	44	186	33	21	6	0%	1.0	17.8%	11.2%	6.6%	3.2%	4.80	5.13	-0.3
2029	34	MLB CTX	CWS	33	0	35	148	25	17	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	11.4%	5.8%	3.4%	5.11	5.37	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		149	3	172	709	131	66	22	2%	1.2	18.4%	9.3%	9.2%	3.1%	4.36	4.42	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		174	3	200	824	152	77	26	2%	1.2	18.4%	9.3%	9.2%	3.1%	4.36	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		272	101	728	3079	592	282	98	37%	2.7	19.2%	9.2%	10.1%	3.2%	4.21	4.38	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	28	200	846	163	78	27	37%	2.7	19.2%	9.2%	10.1%	3.2%	4.21	4.38	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyson Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	18.3%	11.1%	2.9%	—	5.24	17.5%	6.2%	228	+0.32	—	—	—
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	73
Todd Redmond R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SW	3.86	15.4%	7.1%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	247	71
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	65
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	64
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	62
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	468	61
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	61
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	60
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	59
Pete Walker R 2002 · 4.59 FIP	33	SP-	4.59	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	.279	5.16	12.0%	2.8%	139	+0.57	4.45	327	59
Al Levine R 2000 · 4.86 FIP	32	SU	4.86	9.9%	10.3%	2.4%	.267	4.68	12.1%	3.0%	210	-0.18	3.45	575	58
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	58
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	58
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	57
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	57
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	57
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	57
Mike Fyhrie R 2002 · 3.86 FIP	32	SW	3.86	13.7%	9.0%	1.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	173	56
Ramon Delgado R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	30	SW	4.31	11.2%	4.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	135	55
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	55

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	113	18.1%	10.5%	1.20	4.56
Jim Davis ('54-'57, 2 WAR*)	2.0	102	19.2%*	9.8%*	1.05*	4.22*
Al Cicotte ('57-'62, -0 WAR*)	1.3	65	19.6%*	10.1%*	1.26*	4.68*
Larry Demery ('74-'77, 2 WAR*)	2.2	111	16.8%*	10.1%*	1.35*	4.42*
Alan Benes ('03)	2.5	99	18.6%	10.2%	1.07	4.59
Luis Ortiz ('25)	1.6	109	19.8%	10.1%	1.16	4.05
Jeff Juden ('99)	2.7	107	18.8%	10.5%	1.23	4.81