Layne Henderson

P Asheville Tourists

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	26	MIX2 levels	34	53	3.54	3.06	31.3%	10.6%	—	K 24.9% · BB 12.7% · FIP 4.00
2023	27	MIX2 levels	42	58	4.47	3.94	29.5%	16.0%	—	K 24.6% · BB 15.8% · FIP 4.50
2024	28	MIX2 levels	30	35	4.37	3.41	28.4%	10.5%	—	K 22.5% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.32
2027PROJ	31	MLBHOU	12	13	4.40	4.40	23.2%	9.8%	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	32	MLBHOU	6	6	4.53	4.62	22.8%	10.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJoe Nelson (age 31) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Mike Broadway (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.40

FIP4.40

K%23.2%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%13.5%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	7	0	18	75	17	10	0	0%	2.6	15.4%	16.7%	-1.3%	0.0%	3.93	3.91	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	7	0	18	75	17	10	0	0%	2.6	22.7%	13.3%	9.3%	0.0%	3.93	2.88	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	38	176	55	22	3	0%	1.7	23.6%	14.2%	9.4%	2.0%	4.46	4.02	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	38	176	55	22	3	0%	1.7	31.2%	12.5%	18.8%	1.7%	4.46	2.97	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	53	226	67	29	5	0%	1.8	22.9%	14.8%	8.1%	2.6%	3.57	4.46	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	53	226	67	29	5	0%	1.8	29.6%	12.8%	16.8%	2.2%	3.57	3.44	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	53	217	68	23	5	0%	1.6	24.9%	12.7%	12.2%	2.5%	3.54	4.00	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	53	217	68	23	5	0%	1.6	31.3%	10.6%	20.7%	2.3%	3.54	3.06	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	58	268	79	43	6	0%	1.4	24.6%	15.8%	8.9%	2.7%	4.47	4.50	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	58	268	79	43	6	0%	1.4	29.5%	16.0%	13.4%	2.2%	4.47	3.94	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.37	4.32	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	22.5%	11.2%	11.3%	3.1%	4.37	4.32	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	35	162	46	17	4	0%	1.2	28.4%	10.5%	17.9%	2.5%	4.37	3.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	HOU	12	0	13	55	13	5	2	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.8%	13.5%	3.0%	4.40	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	HOU	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.62	-0.0
2028	32	MLB CTX	HOU	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.24	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.3%	4.53	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		165	0	256	1124	261	159	27	0%	1.6	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.4%	4.04	4.25	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	0	200	877	204	124	21	0%	1.6	23.3%	14.1%	9.1%	2.4%	4.04	4.25	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Layne Henderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.40	23.2%	9.8%	3.0%	—	4.62	22.8%	12.7%	20	+0.22	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	86
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	82
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	78
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	78
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	76
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	76
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	76
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.27	300	76
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	76
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	75
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	75
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	75
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	74
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	74
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	74
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	73
Grant Sides R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	30	SU	3.31	21.7%	9.8%	1.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	159	73
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	73