Juan Fernandez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 349 | .257/.341/.427 | 11 | 3 | 94 | — | .211/.279/.340 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 517 | .279/.352/.340 | 2 | 11 | 82 | — | .268/.326/.313 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 427 | .263/.350/.373 | 7 | 10 | 80 | — | .237/.306/.333 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres | — | 109 | 85 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 353 | 481 | 447 | 928 | 94 | 414 | 15 | 16 | 413 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 125 | 112 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 295 | 368 | 491 | 859 | 196 | 316 | 11 | 7 | 380 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 258 | 232 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 224 | 297 | 306 | 603 | 82 | 275 | 19 | 8 | 276 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 201 | 179 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 350 | 380 | 730 | 106 | 320 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 292 | 257 | 58 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 60 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 314 | 370 | 683 | 144 | 263 | 21 | 10 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 57 | 50 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 420 | 482 | 720 | 1.202 | 300 | 439 | 12 | 9 | 508 | 230 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 27 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 440 | 481 | 560 | 1.041 | 120 | 500 | 15 | 7 | 464 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 431 | 380 | 103 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 72 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 271 | 344 | 318 | 663 | 47 | 332 | 17 | 8 | 304 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 59 | 51 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 345 | 392 | 737 | 137 | 293 | 17 | 10 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 412 | 364 | 95 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 56 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 261 | 342 | 371 | 713 | 110 | 290 | 14 | 9 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 571 | 444 | 1.016 | 111 | 333 | 7 | 13 | 446 | 188 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 109 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 358 | 322 | 681 | 78 | 276 | 18 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 125 | 115 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 130 | 257 | 16 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 258 | 237 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 242 | 236 | 478 | 55 | 242 | 26 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 201 | 184 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 275 | 277 | 552 | 65 | 268 | 21 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 292 | 265 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 77 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 279 | 340 | 619 | 128 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 27 | 26 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 385 | 407 | 500 | 907 | 115 | 458 | 19 | 4 | 382 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 431 | 392 | 102 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 87 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 260 | 321 | 301 | 622 | 41 | 327 | 20 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 412 | 372 | 88 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 69 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 237 | 306 | 333 | 639 | 97 | 268 | 17 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 109 | 90 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 358 | 322 | 681 | 78 | 296 | 18 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres | — | 109 | 85 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 353 | 481 | 447 | 928 | 94 | 414 | 15 | 16 | 413 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 125 | 115 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 130 | 258 | 16 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres 2 | — | 125 | 112 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 295 | 368 | 491 | 859 | 196 | 316 | 11 | 7 | 380 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 258 | 237 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 242 | 236 | 478 | 55 | 247 | 26 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 258 | 232 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 224 | 297 | 306 | 603 | 82 | 275 | 19 | 8 | 276 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 201 | 184 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 275 | 277 | 552 | 65 | 270 | 21 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 201 | 179 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 274 | 350 | 380 | 730 | 106 | 320 | 15 | 8 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 317 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 92 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 275 | 338 | 612 | 129 | 261 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 349 | 307 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 67 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 257 | 341 | 427 | 768 | 169 | 294 | 19 | 9 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 472 | 127 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 104 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 269 | 326 | 314 | 640 | 44 | 341 | 20 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 517 | 456 | 127 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 86 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 279 | 352 | 340 | 691 | 61 | 337 | 17 | 8 | 315 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 382 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 72 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 238 | 312 | 332 | 645 | 94 | 275 | 17 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 373 | 98 | 20 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 57 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 263 | 350 | 373 | 723 | 110 | 292 | 13 | 9 | 327 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres | — | 109 | 92 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 239 | 358 | 315 | 674 | 76 | 276 | 18 | 11 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 125 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 132 | 257 | 16 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 258 | 237 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 242 | 236 | 478 | 55 | 242 | 26 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 201 | 183 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 275 | 279 | 554 | 66 | 268 | 21 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 317 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 92 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 275 | 338 | 612 | 129 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 517 | 472 | 127 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 104 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 269 | 326 | 314 | 640 | 44 | 335 | 20 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 383 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 72 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 238 | 312 | 332 | 644 | 94 | 268 | 17 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1986 | 1797 | 414 | 65 | 7 | 22 | 126 | 418 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 230 | 297 | 311 | 608 | 81 | 286 | 21 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -75 | -1 | +0 | +35 | +43 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 135 | 21 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 137 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 230 | 297 | 308 | 604 | 78 | 286 | 21 | 6 | 269 | 68 | -25 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AASan Antonio Missions · 412 PAwOBA .316 → .281 (−35)K% 13.6% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.59% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷0.927 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.18% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 21.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.116 | ×0.840 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 97, 2B 123, 3B 102, K 97, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .316 → .281; ISO .110 → .097; BABIP .290 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 431 PAwOBA .297 → .278 (−19)K% 16.7% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.71% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.32% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.25% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 28.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | ×1.041 | ×1.027 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .297 → .278; ISO .047 → .042; BABIP .332 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 27 PAwOBA .451 → .382 (−70)K% 14.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.959 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 47.62% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 44.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.138 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.08% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .451 → .382; ISO .120 → .076; BABIP .500 → .458. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASan Antonio Missions · 292 PAwOBA .301 → .268 (−33)K% 20.5% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷0.949 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.59% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.80% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 19.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.57% | ÷0.925 | ×0.870 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.071 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×1.042 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.06% | ÷0.868 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 114, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .301 → .268; ISO .144 → .132; BABIP .263 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 201 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−71)K% 15.4% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.42% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.46% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 20.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.151 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .106 → .078; BABIP .320 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 258 PAwOBA .270 → .216 (−54)K% 19.0% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.22% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.176 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 82, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .270 → .216; ISO .082 → .059; BABIP .275 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Padres 2 · 125 PAwOBA .369 → .283 (−86)K% 11.2% → 16.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.20% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×1.022 | 16.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×1.022 | 6.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.021 | ×1.022 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .369 → .283; ISO .196 → .149; BABIP .316 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Padres · 109 PAwOBA .411 → .291 (−120)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 11.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.67% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.980 | ×1.022 | 24.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.022 | 2.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.980 | ×1.022 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .411 → .291; ISO .094 → .056; BABIP .414 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .