Nick Thurman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | AClinton Lumbe… | 342 | .235/.305/.326 | 5 | 4 | 34 | — | .188/.238/.256 |
| 2018 | 24 | A+/A2 orgs | 270 | .207/.278/.273 | 1 | 0 | 8 | — | .152/.207/.205 |
| 2019 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 242 | .153/.229/.247 | 4 | 4 | -15 | — | .104/.157/.180 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 342 | 310 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 235 | 305 | 326 | 631 | 90 | 329 | 29 | 8 | 288 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 134 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 271 | 270 | 541 | 66 | 308 | 33 | 7 | 249 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 136 | 120 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 286 | 275 | 561 | 67 | 338 | 35 | 7 | 256 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 34 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 91 | 129 | 220 | 97 | 65 | 6 | 102 | -66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 208 | 184 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 81 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 174 | 251 | 266 | 518 | 92 | 290 | 39 | 8 | 235 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 342 | 320 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 137 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 188 | 238 | 256 | 494 | 69 | 310 | 40 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 134 | 126 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 203 | 214 | 417 | 56 | 273 | 45 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 136 | 123 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 211 | 195 | 406 | 49 | 286 | 49 | 5 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 34 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 61 | 125 | 186 | 94 | 76 | 3 | 71 | -66 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 208 | 190 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 111 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 116 | 172 | 189 | 362 | 74 | 233 | 53 | 5 | 158 | -7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 342 | 320 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 137 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 188 | 238 | 256 | 494 | 69 | 313 | 40 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 342 | 310 | 73 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 235 | 305 | 326 | 631 | 90 | 329 | 29 | 8 | 288 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 249 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 126 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 153 | 207 | 205 | 412 | 52 | 296 | 47 | 5 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 242 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 207 | 278 | 273 | 551 | 66 | 322 | 34 | 7 | 253 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 221 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 137 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 104 | 161 | 181 | 342 | 77 | 237 | 57 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 215 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 103 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 153 | 229 | 247 | 475 | 93 | 269 | 43 | 7 | 216 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 342 | 318 | 60 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 137 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 189 | 238 | 258 | 495 | 69 | 310 | 40 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 251 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 126 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 151 | 207 | 203 | 410 | 52 | 280 | 47 | 5 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 225 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 137 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 102 | 161 | 178 | 339 | 76 | 200 | 57 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 854 | 790 | 121 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 400 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 153 | 206 | 219 | 425 | 66 | 292 | 47 | 5 | 186 | 12 | -90 | +1 | +0 | -21 | +19 | -9.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 304 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 155 | 207 | 223 | 430 | 68 | 295 | 47 | 5 | 186 | 12 | -68 | +0 | +0 | -16 | +14 | -7.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 208 PAwOBA .229 → .158 (−71)K% 38.9% → 53.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.94% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 53.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 5.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.39% | ÷1.005 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 16.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.77% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.91% | ÷0.768 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 3.38% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .229 → .158; ISO .092 → .072; BABIP .290 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAArkansas Travelers · 34 PAwOBA .100 → .071 (−28)K% 64.7% → 76.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 64.71% | ÷1.031 | ×1.220 | — | — | 76.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.966 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.916 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.922 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 11.19% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 93, 2B 83, 3B 84, K 106, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .100 → .071; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AClinton LumberKings · 136 PAwOBA .253 → .180 (−73)K% 35.3% → 48.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.970 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | ×0.970 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×0.970 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .253 → .180; ISO .067 → .047; BABIP .338 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Modesto Nuts · 134 PAwOBA .245 → .182 (−63)K% 32.8% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.84% | ÷0.990 | ×1.340 | — | — | 44.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.46% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.36% | ÷1.003 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 21.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.41% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.015 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.925 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 1.25% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .245 → .182; ISO .066 → .051; BABIP .308 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AClinton LumberKings · 342 PAwOBA .280 → .218 (−62)K% 28.7% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.65% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.60% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×0.980 | 25.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×0.980 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×0.980 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.931 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .280 → .218; ISO .090 → .067; BABIP .329 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).