Jake Alu
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/AAWSH | 567 | .299/.370/.506 | 20 | 15 | 107 | — | .266/.320/.427 | |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/A+WSH | 347 | .293/.362/.420 | 5 | 17 | 79 | — | .253/.306/.342 | |
| 2023 | 26 | MLBWSH | 175 | .226/.285/.289 | 2 | 5 | 64 | -0.8 | ||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA/ROKWSH | 252 | .250/.323/.353 | 3 | 9 | 52 | — | .208/.262/.286 | |
| 2025 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 213 | 197 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 316 | 411 | 727 | 147 | 313 | 20 | 6 | 323 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 157 | 145 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 303 | 357 | 490 | 846 | 186 | 361 | 20 | 5 | 374 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 242 | 217 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 323 | 380 | 553 | 933 | 230 | 353 | 18 | 8 | 399 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 325 | 285 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 59 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 281 | 363 | 470 | 834 | 189 | 323 | 18 | 10 | 367 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 63 | 291 | 24 | 6 | 260 | 64 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 330 | 292 | 87 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 46 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 298 | 365 | 428 | 793 | 130 | 333 | 14 | 9 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 267 | 561 | 67 | 250 | 18 | 12 | 264 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 221 | 196 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 30 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 230 | 304 | 332 | 636 | 102 | 251 | 14 | 10 | 285 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 31 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 393 | 452 | 500 | 952 | 107 | 440 | 10 | 10 | 425 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 63 | 291 | 24 | 6 | 260 | 62 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +4 | -0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 213 | 200 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 53 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 269 | 340 | 609 | 115 | 286 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 157 | 147 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 45 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 252 | 299 | 401 | 701 | 150 | 330 | 29 | 4 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 242 | 222 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 288 | 333 | 455 | 788 | 167 | 332 | 21 | 6 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 325 | 296 | 74 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 72 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 250 | 311 | 405 | 716 | 155 | 299 | 22 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 63 | 291 | 24 | 6 | 262 | 64 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +4 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 330 | 300 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 56 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 257 | 310 | 347 | 656 | 90 | 292 | 17 | 6 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 250 | 485 | 62 | 214 | 24 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 221 | 202 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 198 | 253 | 277 | 531 | 79 | 222 | 17 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 31 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 276 | 323 | 345 | 667 | 69 | 324 | 13 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 348 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 98 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 239 | 282 | 371 | 653 | 132 | 309 | 26 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 342 | 96 | 22 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 75 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 281 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 164 | 333 | 20 | 6 | 344 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 518 | 139 | 37 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 122 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 268 | 322 | 434 | 756 | 166 | 319 | 22 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 567 | 502 | 150 | 40 | 2 | 20 | 51 | 103 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 299 | 370 | 506 | 876 | 207 | 336 | 18 | 9 | 381 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 522 | 474 | 115 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 102 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 243 | 299 | 321 | 620 | 78 | 294 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 522 | 466 | 126 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 91 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 270 | 336 | 376 | 711 | 105 | 317 | 17 | 8 | 316 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 231 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 208 | 262 | 286 | 548 | 78 | 241 | 17 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 252 | 224 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 33 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 250 | 323 | 353 | 675 | 103 | 276 | 13 | 10 | 303 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 346 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 98 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 240 | 282 | 373 | 655 | 133 | 305 | 26 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 521 | 139 | 37 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 122 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 267 | 322 | 432 | 754 | 165 | 313 | 22 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 522 | 479 | 115 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 102 | 5 | 22 | 4 | 240 | 299 | 317 | 616 | 77 | 289 | 20 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 233 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 262 | 283 | 545 | 77 | 235 | 17 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 252 | 233 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 206 | 262 | 283 | 545 | 77 | 235 | 17 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 175 | 159 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 63 | 291 | 24 | 6 | 260 | 82 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +4 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 133 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 156 | 11 | 19 | 4 | 225 | 283 | 286 | 569 | 61 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 260 | 82 | -29 | +2 | +3 | -21 | +14 | -3.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1711 | 1571 | 385 | 85 | 6 | 30 | 100 | 364 | 17 | 59 | 11 | 245 | 297 | 364 | 661 | 119 | 297 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +1 | +1 | -6 | +4 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 597 | 145 | 32 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 138 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 243 | 295 | 358 | 653 | 116 | 294 | 21 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -29 | +2 | +3 | -21 | +14 | -3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 221 PAwOBA .283 → .237 (−46)K% 13.6% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.57% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.67% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 16.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .283 → .237; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .251 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Nationals · 31 PAwOBA .414 → .293 (−122)K% 9.7% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.979 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 24.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 8.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 105, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .414 → .293; ISO .107 → .073; BABIP .440 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 330 PAwOBA .345 → .289 (−55)K% 13.9% → 17.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.94% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 22.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.54% | ÷1.137 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 6.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.058 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .345 → .289; ISO .130 → .095; BABIP .333 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 17 PAwOBA .258 → .195 (−63)K% 17.6% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.973 | ×1.310 | — | — | 23.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.005 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.981 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 14.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.894 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 7.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .258 → .195; ISO .067 → .055; BABIP .250 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 325 PAwOBA .358 → .312 (−47)K% 18.2% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.15% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷0.980 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.91% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 18.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.06% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 10.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.98% | ÷0.979 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .358 → .312; ISO .189 → .162; BABIP .323 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARochester Red Wings · 242 PAwOBA .396 → .347 (−49)K% 18.2% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.85% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.86% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 23.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.67% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.913 | ×0.970 | ×1.015 | ×1.033 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.36% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.24% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 83, K 110, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .396 → .347; ISO .230 → .180; BABIP .353 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAHarrisburg Senators · 213 PAwOBA .315 → .263 (−52)K% 20.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.10% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.08% | ÷0.967 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.055 | ×0.870 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 6.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷1.037 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .315 → .263; ISO .147 → .111; BABIP .313 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 157 PAwOBA .364 → .299 (−64)K% 20.4% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.38% | ÷0.965 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.10% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.78% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 22.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.85% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×0.988 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.42% | ÷0.906 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 4.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .364 → .299; ISO .186 → .155; BABIP .361 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).