Colton Welker

Pos3B

B/TR/R

Born1997-10-09

Age (2027)29

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	23	AAA/A+COL	133	.261/.351/.487	6	0	67	—	.200/.267/.358
2021	23	MLBCOL	40	.189/.250/.216	0	0	32	-0.2
2022	24	AAACOL	45	.324/.432/.514	2	0	120	—	.289/.386/.395
2023	25	AAA/INTL2 orgs	190	.240/.397/.273	0	2	80	—	.215/.331/.243
2024	26	No MLB games played
2025	27	No MLB games played
2026	28	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

BB%89

Whiff%71

Chase%68

K%57

Z-Con%56

Max EV43

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	227	210	69	15	2	5	13	28	1	6	4	329	371	490	861	162	356	12	6	375	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Asheville Tourists	—	279	254	89	18	1	6	18	42	5	5	7	350	404	500	904	150	399	15	6	399	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	509	454	151	32	0	13	42	103	2	5	1	333	392	489	881	156	395	20	8	383	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	394	353	89	23	1	10	32	68	2	2	1	252	318	408	726	156	281	17	8	319	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	97	83	19	2	0	0	12	13	2	3	0	229	340	253	593	24	271	13	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	269	28	8	220	32	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	98	84	24	5	1	3	12	20	1	0	0	286	381	476	858	190	339	20	12	377	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	35	31	6	1	0	3	2	10	1	0	0	194	265	516	781	323	158	29	6	328	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	45	37	12	1	0	2	6	7	1	0	0	324	432	514	945	189	345	16	13	411	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	170	135	32	5	0	0	30	36	4	2	0	237	391	274	665	37	320	21	18	322	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	20	15	4	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	267	450	267	717		286	5	25	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	269	28	8	220	35	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	227	215	55	11	1	4	8	40	1	6	4	256	286	372	658	116	290	18	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	279	262	76	14	1	4	10	55	5	5	7	290	329	397	725	107	348	20	4	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	509	469	128	25	0	8	27	147	2	5	1	273	315	377	693	104	357	29	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	394	365	77	17	1	7	20	82	2	2	1	211	256	321	576	110	243	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	269	28	8	216	32	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	98	88	19	4	1	2	8	25	1	0	0	216	289	352	641	136	277	26	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	35	32	5	1	0	2	1	14	1	0	0	156	206	375	581	219	135	40	3	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	45	38	11	1	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	289	386	395	781	105	307	18	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	170	144	31	4	0	0	21	40	4	2	0	215	331	243	574	28	298	24	12	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	227	215	55	11	1	4	8	40	1	6	4	256	286	372	658	116	293	18	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Grand Junction Rockies	—	227	210	69	15	2	5	13	28	1	6	4	329	371	490	861	162	356	12	6	375	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	279	262	76	14	1	4	10	55	5	5	7	290	329	397	725	107	351	20	4	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	279	254	89	18	1	6	18	42	5	5	7	350	404	500	904	150	399	15	6	399	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	509	469	128	25	0	8	27	147	2	5	1	273	315	377	693	104	369	29	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ RAW	Lancaster JetHawks	—	509	454	151	32	0	13	42	103	2	5	1	333	392	489	881	156	395	20	8	383	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	454	96	21	1	9	26	103	4	5	1	211	260	322	582	110	250	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	491	436	108	25	1	10	44	81	4	5	1	248	322	378	701	131	279	16	9	312	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	173	156	31	6	1	4	13	50	2	0	0	199	269	327	596	128	260	29	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	173	152	37	7	1	6	17	41	2	0	0	243	327	421	749	178	290	24	10	331	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	45	38	11	1	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	289	386	395	781	105	333	18	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	45	37	12	1	0	2	6	7	1	0	0	324	432	514	945	189	345	16	13	411	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	190	161	35	5	0	0	24	44	4	2	0	217	333	248	582	31	297	23	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	190	150	36	5	0	0	35	37	4	2	0	240	397	273	670	33	316	19	18	325	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	227	216	55	11	1	4	8	40	1	6	4	255	286	370	656	116	290	18	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	279	262	76	14	1	4	10	55	5	5	7	290	329	397	725	107	348	20	4	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Lancaster JetHawks	—	509	475	128	25	0	8	27	147	2	5	1	269	315	373	688	103	357	29	5	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	491	458	96	21	1	9	26	103	4	5	1	210	260	319	579	109	243	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	173	156	31	6	1	4	13	50	2	0	0	199	269	327	596	128	246	29	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	45	39	11	1	0	1	5	8	1	0	0	282	386	385	771	103	307	18	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	190	160	35	5	0	0	24	44	4	2	0	219	333	250	583	31	298	23	13	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	189	250	216	466	27	269	28	8	220	79	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	114	16	0	0	49	179	0	0	0	190	251	216	467	27	270	28	8	220	79	-50	+0	-7	+10	+14	-3.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1914	1755	432	83	4	30	113	447	19	23	13	246	299	349	648	103	308	23	6	285	79	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	146	28	1	10	38	152	6	8	4	245	296	346	642	101	307	23	6	285	79	-50	+0	-7	+10	+14	-3.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAASacramento River Cats · 170 PAwOBA .317 → .278 (−39)K% 21.2% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.18%	÷1.087	×1.200	—	—	23.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷0.981	×0.690	—	×1.018	12.64%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.25%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷0.992	×0.930	×0.993	×1.018	25.83%
Doubles /BIP	5.05%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.993	×1.018	4.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.956	×0.970	×0.993	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.057	×0.700	—	×1.018	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 117, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .317 → .278; ISO .037 → .033; BABIP .320 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 45 PAwOBA .410 → .346 (−63)K% 15.6% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.56%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	18.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.945	×0.690	—	×1.033	10.06%
HBP% /PA	2.22%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	2.16%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.047	×0.930	—	×1.033	27.53%
Doubles /BIP	3.33%	÷1.038	×0.830	—	×1.033	2.75%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷1.061	×0.700	—	×1.033	4.54%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 109, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .410 → .346; ISO .189 → .138; BABIP .345 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 98 PAwOBA .371 → .284 (−87)K% 20.4% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.41%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	25.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.24%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×1.048	8.58%
HBP% /PA	1.02%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.01%
Singles /BIP	23.44%	÷1.110	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	19.55%
Doubles /BIP	7.81%	÷0.988	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	6.53%
Triples /BIP	1.56%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×1.048	1.24%
Home runs /BIP	4.69%	÷1.172	×0.700	—	×1.048	2.93%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .371 → .284; ISO .190 → .135; BABIP .339 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Spokane Indians · 35 PAwOBA .327 → .223 (−104)K% 28.6% → 39.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷0.967	×1.350	—	—	39.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.71%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×0.988	3.81%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.810	—	×0.988	2.29%
Singles /BIP	9.52%	÷0.966	×0.910	—	×0.988	8.87%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.976	×0.830	—	×0.988	4.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.820	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷1.211	×0.830	—	×0.988	9.67%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .223; ISO .323 → .201; BABIP .158 → .135. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAHartford Yard Goats · 394 PAwOBA .312 → .254 (−58)K% 17.3% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.26%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	20.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.36%	÷1.042	×0.700	—	×1.042	5.15%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.45%
Singles /BIP	19.30%	÷1.029	×0.970	×0.950	×1.042	18.01%
Doubles /BIP	8.07%	÷1.178	×0.860	×0.950	×1.042	5.83%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.950	×1.042	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	3.51%	÷1.190	×0.780	—	×1.042	2.40%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 106, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .312 → .254; ISO .156 → .113; BABIP .281 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 509 PAwOBA .379 → .302 (−77)K% 20.2% → 28.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.24%	÷0.938	×1.340	—	—	28.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.86%	÷1.073	×0.710	—	×1.027	5.34%
HBP% /PA	0.39%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.32%
Singles /BIP	30.20%	÷1.007	×0.910	×1.014	×1.027	28.42%
Doubles /BIP	9.12%	÷1.025	×0.820	×1.014	×1.027	7.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.130	×0.760	×1.014	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.531	×0.920	—	×1.027	2.29%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 206, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 126, K 88, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .379 → .302; ISO .156 → .106; BABIP .395 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAsheville Tourists · 279 PAwOBA .388 → .319 (−69)K% 15.1% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.05%	÷1.018	×1.340	—	—	19.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.38%	÷0.987	×0.660	—	×1.030	3.70%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	1.42%
Singles /BIP	30.19%	÷1.048	×0.920	×1.001	×1.030	27.33%
Doubles /BIP	8.49%	÷1.085	×0.820	×1.001	×1.030	6.62%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.001	×1.030	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	2.83%	÷1.243	×0.820	—	×1.030	1.92%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 110, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .388 → .319; ISO .150 → .110; BABIP .399 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 227 PAwOBA .370 → .284 (−86)K% 12.3% → 17.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.33%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	17.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.73%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×1.008	3.52%
HBP% /PA	0.44%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.32%
Singles /BIP	25.82%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.028	×1.008	21.94%
Doubles /BIP	8.24%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.028	×1.008	6.15%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.028	×1.008	0.82%
Home runs /BIP	2.75%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×1.008	2.08%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .370 → .284; ISO .162 → .119; BABIP .356 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .