Mason Thompson

P Round Rock Express

Age 29 RHP 6'6" / 241 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	MIX2 levels	52	0	55	5.40	3.61	18.5%	9.1%	0.6	K 18.3% · BB 9.2% · FIP 3.63
2025	27	MIX4 levels	29	1	27	8.67	4.06	21.7%	14.5%	0.2	K 18.3% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.58
2026	28	AAATEX	39	3	40	5.67	3.28	22.6%	9.0%	—	K 19.4% · BB 8.1% · FIP 3.51
2027PROJ	29	MLBTEX	54	0	57	4.64	4.67	19.5%	11.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBTEX	19	0	20	4.78	4.88	18.8%	11.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBTEX	26	0	27	4.98	5.11	18.1%	11.7%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.8 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

FB Velo54

Whiff%24

K%23

xwOBA vs10

CompsDustin Molleken (age 30) · Gregory Infante (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.64

FIP4.67

K%19.5%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5494.8

Whiff%

p2421.6%

p2318.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.370

SI (41%)

CU (5%)

CH (3%)

SL-1.2 (33%)

FB-2.7 (59%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	5	5	12	50	12	5	0	100%	2.4	16.3%	12.5%	3.8%	0.0%	2.25	3.31	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	5	5	12	50	12	5	0	100%	2.4	24.0%	10.0%	14.0%	0.0%	2.25	2.35	—
2017	19	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	7	7	27	115	28	12	2	100%	3.9	18.0%	12.3%	5.7%	2.2%	4.67	4.32	—
2017	19	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	7	7	27	115	28	12	2	100%	3.9	24.3%	10.4%	13.9%	1.7%	4.67	3.32	—
2018	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	20	93	425	97	37	8	91%	4.2	16.9%	10.3%	6.6%	2.1%	4.94	4.12	—
2018	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	22	20	93	425	97	37	8	91%	4.2	22.8%	8.7%	14.1%	1.9%	4.94	3.33	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	27	132	25	22	4	80%	2.7	15.5%	20.0%	-4.5%	3.8%	7.24	6.43	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	8	27	132	25	22	4	80%	2.7	18.9%	16.7%	2.3%	3.0%	7.24	5.59	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	51	231	47	22	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.7%	9.4%	3.4%	4.91	4.57	-0.0
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	51	231	47	22	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	9.5%	10.8%	3.5%	4.91	4.58	-0.0
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	4	43	180	41	13	2	11%	1.1	18.9%	7.9%	11.0%	1.2%	3.16	3.15	+0.7
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	4	43	180	41	13	2	11%	1.1	22.8%	7.2%	15.6%	1.1%	3.16	2.70	+0.9
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	0	55	243	45	22	4	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.2%	9.2%	1.7%	5.40	3.63	+0.6
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	0	55	243	45	22	4	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.1%	9.5%	1.6%	5.40	3.61	+0.6
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	1	27	138	30	20	2	3%	0.9	18.3%	16.7%	1.7%	1.7%	8.67	4.58	-0.0
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	29	1	27	138	30	20	2	3%	0.9	18.3%	16.7%	1.7%	1.7%	8.67	4.58	-0.0
2025	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	29	1	27	138	30	20	2	3%	0.9	21.7%	14.5%	7.2%	1.4%	8.67	4.06	+0.2
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	39	3	40	177	40	16	3	8%	1.0	19.4%	8.1%	11.3%	1.9%	5.67	3.51	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	39	3	40	177	40	16	3	8%	1.0	19.4%	8.1%	11.3%	1.9%	5.67	3.51	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	39	3	40	177	40	16	3	8%	1.0	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	1.7%	5.67	3.28	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			120	0	114	522	93	55	11	0%	1.0	17.8%	10.5%	7.3%	2.1%	5.21	4.17	+0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	TEX	54	0	57	241	47	26	6	0%	1.1	19.5%	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	4.64	4.67	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TEX	51	0	53	225	42	25	6	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	2.8%	4.78	4.88	-0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	TEX	47	0	50	210	38	24	6	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.7%	6.4%	3.1%	4.98	5.11	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	TEX	19	0	20	84	16	10	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	2.8%	4.78	4.88	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	TEX	26	0	27	114	21	13	3	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.7%	6.4%	3.1%	4.98	5.11	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		165	0	161	721	130	78	17	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.3%	5.12	4.24	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		205	0	200	895	161	97	21	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.3%	5.12	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		256	48	375	1691	304	187	36	19%	1.5	17.9%	11.0%	6.9%	2.1%	5.21	4.15	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	26	200	902	162	100	19	19%	1.5	17.9%	11.0%	6.9%	2.1%	5.21	4.15	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Thompson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.67	19.5%	11.0%	2.6%	—	4.99	18.4%	7.0%	103	+0.32	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	87
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	83
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	81
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	79
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	78
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	78
Tyler Walker R 2005 · 4.19 FIP	29	SU	4.19	19.4%	7.5%	3.2%	.303	3.61	19.7%	11.3%	93	-0.58	2.38	289	78
Justin Miller R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	29	SU	3.74	20.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.353	4.72	22.5%	16.5%	127	+0.98	2.63	292	78
Kevin Gryboski R 2003 · 3.67 FIP	29	SU	3.67	16.8%	8.9%	1.6%	.295	3.92	9.4%	0.2%	82	+0.25	3.67	178	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	77
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	77
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	77
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	77
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	77
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	662	77
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	46	18.4%	11.2%	0.97	4.97
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Chris Resop ('13)	1.2	61	18.6%	10.3%	0.85	4.62
Mike Munoz ('89-'00, 1 WAR*)	1.8	46	17.6%*	10.2%*	0.93*	4.46*
Bob Allen ('61-'67, -1 WAR*)	1.4	55	21.4%*	10.4%*	0.89*	4.79*