Joe Rizzo

Pos3B

B/TL/R

Born1998-03-31

Age (2027)29

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2021	23	AASEA	430	.253/.333/.400	12	4	74	—	.227/.279/.355
2022	24	AASEA	540	.277/.344/.467	21	2	88	—	.238/.290/.395
2023	25	AAA/AA2 orgs	333	.247/.314/.407	9	1	56	—	.203/.254/.323

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 AAA

Max EV67

Whiff%65

K%60

Z-Con%48

Chase%31

BB%24

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	18	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	169	148	43	7	1	2	17	36	0	2	1	291	364	392	756	101	360	21	10	334	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	21	20	4	0	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	200	238	300	538	100	333	38	5	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Clinton LumberKings	—	480	410	104	17	0	7	63	113	3	3	1	254	357	346	703	93	330	24	13	323	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	508	461	111	21	2	4	40	108	3	6	1	241	306	321	627	80	303	21	8	285	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Modesto Nuts	—	570	518	153	30	3	10	45	94	4	0	3	295	356	423	779	127	343	16	8	347	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	50	45	9	1	0	1	5	11	0	0	0	200	280	289	569	89	242	22	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	430	380	96	18	1	12	42	104	4	4	4	253	333	400	733	147	313	24	10	327	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	540	488	135	30	0	21	48	103	2	2	1	277	344	467	811	191	311	19	9	358	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	191	173	45	13	0	6	15	40	2	0	0	260	326	439	766	179	305	21	8	338	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	142	127	29	8	0	3	13	31	0	1	0	228	298	362	660	134	277	22	9	295	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	169	155	35	5	1	2	10	52	0	2	1	226	273	310	582	84	298	31	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	21	20	3	0	1	0	1	11	0	0	0	150	190	250	440	100	301	52	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	—	480	430	100	15	0	6	43	158	3	3	1	233	307	309	616	77	343	33	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	508	474	93	17	1	4	27	146	3	6	1	196	244	262	506	65	269	29	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	570	534	130	22	2	12	28	129	4	0	3	243	286	360	645	116	295	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	430	397	90	16	1	11	25	125	4	4	4	227	279	355	635	128	294	29	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	540	501	119	25	0	18	35	124	2	2	1	238	290	395	685	158	278	23	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	191	177	39	9	0	5	11	48	2	0	0	220	274	356	630	136	266	25	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	142	133	24	7	0	2	8	38	0	1	0	180	227	278	505	98	234	27	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	169	155	35	5	1	2	10	52	0	2	1	226	273	310	582	84	314	31	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Mariners	—	169	148	43	7	1	2	17	36	0	2	1	291	364	392	756	101	360	21	10	334	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	501	450	103	15	1	6	44	169	3	3	1	229	302	307	608	78	348	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	501	430	108	17	1	7	64	121	3	3	1	251	352	344	696	93	330	24	13	319	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	508	474	93	17	1	4	27	146	3	6	1	196	244	262	506	65	271	29	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	508	461	111	21	2	4	40	108	3	6	1	241	306	321	627	80	303	21	8	285	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	620	582	141	24	2	13	31	140	4	0	3	242	285	357	643	115	296	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	620	563	162	31	3	11	50	105	4	0	3	288	350	412	762	124	336	17	8	341	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	430	397	90	16	1	11	25	125	4	4	4	227	279	355	635	128	298	29	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	430	380	96	18	1	12	42	104	4	4	4	253	333	400	733	147	313	24	10	327	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	540	501	119	25	0	18	35	124	2	2	1	238	290	395	685	158	280	23	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	540	488	135	30	0	21	48	103	2	2	1	277	344	467	811	191	311	19	9	358	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	333	310	62	16	0	7	19	87	2	1	0	200	251	319	570	119	252	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	333	300	74	21	0	9	28	71	2	1	0	247	314	407	721	160	293	21	8	320	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	169	157	35	5	1	2	10	52	0	2	1	223	273	306	578	83	298	31	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	501	449	103	15	1	6	44	169	3	3	1	229	302	307	609	78	341	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	508	473	93	17	1	4	27	146	3	6	1	197	244	262	506	66	269	29	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	620	580	141	24	2	13	31	140	4	0	3	243	285	359	644	116	295	23	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	430	398	90	16	1	11	25	125	4	4	4	226	279	354	634	128	294	29	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	540	498	119	25	0	18	35	124	2	2	1	239	290	398	688	159	278	23	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	333	309	62	16	0	7	19	87	2	1	0	201	251	320	571	120	252	26	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3101	2869	643	118	6	61	191	843	18	18	11	224	277	333	610	109	293	27	6	269	68	-118	-1	+0	+11	+67	-4.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	135	25	1	13	40	177	4	4	2	225	278	334	612	110	293	27	6	269	68	-25	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 191 PAwOBA .331 → .269 (−62)K% 20.9% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.94%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	25.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.85%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.57%
HBP% /PA	1.05%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.02%
Singles /BIP	19.55%	÷0.965	×0.930	×0.967	×1.033	18.82%
Doubles /BIP	9.77%	÷1.156	×0.830	×0.967	×1.033	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.967	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.51%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×1.033	3.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 93, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .331 → .269; ISO .179 → .135; BABIP .305 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 142 PAwOBA .289 → .229 (−61)K% 21.8% → 26.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.83%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	26.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.15%	÷1.056	×0.680	—	×0.998	5.88%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.052	×0.920	×0.950	×0.998	15.55%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.947	×0.910	×0.950	×0.998	7.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.097	×0.880	×0.950	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.091	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.29%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .289 → .229; ISO .134 → .109; BABIP .277 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAArkansas Travelers · 540 PAwOBA .349 → .298 (−51)K% 19.1% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.07%	÷1.015	×1.220	—	—	22.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.89%	÷0.976	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.45%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.33%
Singles /BIP	21.82%	÷0.985	×0.920	×0.974	×1.012	20.09%
Doubles /BIP	7.79%	÷0.987	×0.840	×0.974	×1.012	6.54%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.940	×0.974	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.45%	÷0.909	×0.800	—	×1.012	4.86%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .349 → .298; ISO .191 → .164; BABIP .311 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 430 PAwOBA .320 → .277 (−43)K% 24.2% → 29.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.19%	÷1.013	×1.220	—	—	29.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷1.144	×0.690	—	×1.027	5.76%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.81%
Singles /BIP	23.55%	÷0.999	×0.940	×0.987	×1.027	22.47%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷0.975	×0.870	×0.987	×1.027	5.90%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.987	×1.027	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷0.892	×0.780	—	×1.027	3.91%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .320 → .277; ISO .147 → .132; BABIP .313 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 570 PAwOBA .338 → .283 (−55)K% 16.5% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.49%	÷0.976	×1.340	—	—	22.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.19%	÷1.052	×0.710	—	×1.027	4.98%
HBP% /PA	0.70%	—	×0.790	—	×1.027	0.57%
Singles /BIP	25.94%	÷1.005	×0.910	×0.950	×1.027	22.92%
Doubles /BIP	7.08%	÷1.050	×0.820	×0.950	×1.027	5.39%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.022	×0.760	×0.950	×1.027	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	2.36%	÷0.768	×0.920	—	×1.027	2.90%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .283; ISO .127 → .120; BABIP .343 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Modesto Nuts · 508 PAwOBA .280 → .226 (−54)K% 21.3% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.26%	÷0.990	×1.340	—	—	28.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.87%	÷1.106	×0.710	—	×1.042	5.27%
HBP% /PA	0.59%	—	×0.790	—	×1.042	0.49%
Singles /BIP	23.80%	÷1.003	×0.910	×0.952	×1.042	21.41%
Doubles /BIP	5.95%	÷0.951	×0.820	×0.952	×1.042	5.09%
Triples /BIP	0.57%	÷1.150	×0.760	×0.952	×1.042	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	1.13%	÷0.925	×0.920	—	×1.042	1.17%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .280 → .226; ISO .080 → .067; BABIP .303 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AClinton LumberKings · 480 PAwOBA .317 → .277 (−40)K% 23.5% → 32.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.54%	÷0.972	×1.360	—	—	32.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.92%	÷1.036	×0.690	—	×1.045	8.99%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	0.51%
Singles /BIP	26.94%	÷0.951	×0.920	×1.049	×1.045	28.57%
Doubles /BIP	5.72%	÷0.950	×0.830	×1.049	×1.045	5.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.049	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.36%	÷0.931	×0.800	—	×1.045	2.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .317 → .277; ISO .093 → .080; BABIP .330 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Modesto Nuts · 21 PAwOBA .233 → .160 (−73)K% 38.1% → 52.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.10%	÷0.972	×1.340	—	—	52.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.76%	÷0.995	×0.710	—	×1.050	3.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.008	×0.910	—	×1.050	23.70%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.082	×0.820	—	×1.050	0.00%
Triples /BIP	8.33%	÷1.041	×0.760	—	×1.050	6.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.866	×0.920	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 108, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .233 → .160; ISO .100 → .059; BABIP .333 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .