Deyni Olivero prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Deyni Olivero P Amarillo Sod Poodles

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%16.2%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%5.3%

ROS IP47

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs	9	6	40	171	25	16	3	67%	4.4	9.9%	11.7%	-1.8%	2.5%	4.99	5.09	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs	9	6	40	171	25	16	3	67%	4.4	14.6%	9.4%	5.3%	1.8%	4.99	4.03	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	16	13	76	323	48	21	4	81%	4.8	10.1%	8.1%	2.0%	1.7%	2.96	4.23	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	16	13	76	323	48	21	4	81%	4.8	14.9%	6.5%	8.4%	1.2%	2.96	3.35	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	14	14	64	279	55	25	5	100%	4.6	13.4%	11.2%	2.2%	2.5%	3.94	4.76	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	14	14	64	279	55	25	5	100%	4.6	19.7%	9.0%	10.8%	1.8%	3.94	3.57	—
2021	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	2	10	3	0	1	100%	2.0	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	10.0%	9.00	6.06	—
2021	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	1	1	2	10	3	0	1	100%	2.0	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	10.0%	9.00	6.60	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	142	609	105	48	21	100%	5.1	14.0%	8.6%	5.4%	3.8%	5.27	5.10	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	142	609	105	48	21	100%	5.1	17.2%	7.9%	9.4%	3.4%	5.27	4.56	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	9.1%	12.4%	-3.3%	3.3%	9.53	5.68	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	9.1%	12.4%	-3.3%	3.3%	9.53	5.68	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	17	17	68	338	38	38	15	100%	4.0	11.2%	11.2%	0.0%	4.4%	9.53	6.53	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.2%	10.9%	5.3%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	8	8	45	190	32	21	6	100%	5.6	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	5.20	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	2	2	14	59	10	6	2	100%	7.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	5.20	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	14	59	10	7	2	100%	7.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	4.82	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	142	99	28	100%	6.0	16.7%	11.0%	5.7%	3.2%	5.15	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		85	79	391	1730	206	172	52	93%	4.6	11.9%	9.9%	2.0%	3.0%	5.34	5.00	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	40	200	884	105	88	27	93%	4.6	11.9%	9.9%	2.0%	3.0%	5.34	5.00	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deyni Olivero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	16.2%	10.9%	3.0%	—	5.20	16.7%	5.7%	45	+0.05	—	—	—
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	83
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	77
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	77
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	76
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	76
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	76
Tyler Herron R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	29	SP	4.40	13.4%	6.9%	2.9%	.389	4.02	16.4%	7.7%	60	-0.38	4.02	117	75
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	75
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	74
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	74
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	74
Brandon Beachy R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	28	SP	4.58	16.1%	11.2%	2.6%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	1.97	364	73
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	28	SP	4.07	15.5%	9.1%	2.0%	.306	4.73	9.0%	-1.2%	38	+0.66	4.07	203	72
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	72
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	71
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	71
Luke Hudson R 2005 · 5.54 FIP	28	SP	5.54	13.9%	12.6%	3.7%	.260	3.81	14.5%	6.1%	102	-1.73	3.81	235	71
Tim Corcoran R 2006 · 4.67 FIP	28	SP-	4.67	14.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.29	7.6%	-3.8%	17	+0.62	4.10	130	71
P.J. Walters R 2013 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP	4.82	12.0%	9.8%	2.7%	.333	3.97	15.9%	8.2%	83	-0.85	3.97	230	70
Angel Araiza R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	27	SP	4.32	14.9%	8.4%	2.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	289	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	46	16.4%	10.9%	1.20	5.15
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07