Sherten Apostel
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 21 | MLBTEX | 21 | .100/.143/.150 | 0 | 0 | -20 | -0.5 | ||
| 2021 | 22 | AAA/AA/ROKTEX | 271 | .235/.323/.416 | 10 | 0 | 70 | — | .215/.279/.355 | |
| 2022 | 23 | AAATEX | 77 | .224/.325/.433 | 3 | 0 | 63 | — | .171/.247/.314 | |
| 2023 | 24 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | — | 201 | 171 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 310 | 275 | 584 | 70 | 309 | 30 | 12 | 271 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates | — | 259 | 198 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 426 | 495 | 921 | 237 | 296 | 19 | 22 | 404 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | — | 175 | 139 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 408 | 460 | 868 | 201 | 319 | 24 | 18 | 389 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 159 | 135 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 352 | 378 | 730 | 141 | 341 | 31 | 14 | 334 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 319 | 283 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 71 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 258 | 335 | 470 | 805 | 212 | 290 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 137 | -20 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 88 | 78 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 287 | 282 | 569 | 77 | 326 | 36 | 8 | 263 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 167 | 148 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 319 | 419 | 738 | 182 | 319 | 31 | 10 | 328 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 562 | 1.250 | 1.812 | 833 | 500 | 31 | 19 | 704 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 77 | 67 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 325 | 433 | 758 | 209 | 364 | 40 | 13 | 337 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 137 | -21 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 201 | 178 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 218 | 169 | 387 | 34 | 218 | 37 | 8 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 259 | 218 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 60 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 161 | 285 | 294 | 579 | 133 | 184 | 23 | 14 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bristol Pirates | — | 175 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 305 | 327 | 631 | 133 | 270 | 34 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 159 | 143 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 264 | 287 | 551 | 105 | 318 | 43 | 9 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 319 | 291 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 95 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 333 | 590 | 141 | 239 | 30 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 139 | -20 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 88 | 80 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 264 | 275 | 539 | 75 | 322 | 41 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 167 | 154 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 61 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 271 | 351 | 622 | 136 | 317 | 37 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 438 | 846 | 1.284 | 538 | 315 | 44 | 12 | 448 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 77 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 143 | 343 | 48 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 201 | 178 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 135 | 218 | 169 | 387 | 34 | 229 | 37 | 8 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates | — | 201 | 171 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 205 | 310 | 275 | 584 | 70 | 309 | 30 | 12 | 271 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 259 | 218 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 60 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 161 | 285 | 294 | 579 | 133 | 194 | 23 | 14 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates | — | 259 | 198 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 258 | 426 | 495 | 921 | 237 | 296 | 19 | 22 | 404 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bristol Pirates | — | 175 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 193 | 305 | 327 | 631 | 133 | 279 | 34 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Bristol Pirates | — | 175 | 139 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 408 | 460 | 868 | 201 | 319 | 24 | 18 | 389 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 434 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 165 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 259 | 318 | 577 | 129 | 266 | 35 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 478 | 418 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 120 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 341 | 440 | 781 | 189 | 305 | 25 | 11 | 346 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 139 | -20 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB RAW | Texas Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 137 | -20 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 271 | 247 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 275 | 344 | 619 | 134 | 326 | 38 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 271 | 238 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 323 | 416 | 739 | 181 | 326 | 33 | 10 | 329 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 77 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 143 | 323 | 48 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 77 | 67 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 325 | 433 | 758 | 209 | 364 | 40 | 13 | 337 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 201 | 180 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 218 | 167 | 385 | 33 | 218 | 37 | 8 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 259 | 219 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 60 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 160 | 285 | 292 | 577 | 132 | 184 | 23 | 14 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Bristol Pirates | — | 175 | 149 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 195 | 305 | 329 | 633 | 134 | 270 | 34 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 478 | 434 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 165 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 189 | 259 | 318 | 577 | 129 | 265 | 35 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 139 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 271 | 247 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 275 | 344 | 619 | 134 | 319 | 38 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 77 | 70 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 247 | 314 | 561 | 143 | 343 | 48 | 9 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 137 | 56 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 619 | 62 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 182 | 43 | 5 | 137 | 56 | -93 | +0 | -74 | -12 | +14 | -16.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1482 | 1317 | 236 | 47 | 6 | 32 | 135 | 509 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 179 | 264 | 297 | 561 | 118 | 260 | 34 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -0 | +0 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 223 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 180 | 264 | 299 | 563 | 119 | 261 | 34 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -93 | +0 | -74 | -12 | +14 | -16.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 77 PAwOBA .329 → .262 (−66)K% 40.3% → 47.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.26% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 47.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.99% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.44% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 19.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.89% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 12.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.40% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .329 → .262; ISO .209 → .159; BABIP .364 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 167 PAwOBA .321 → .274 (−47)K% 31.1% → 36.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.14% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.18% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 21.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 9.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 4.56% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .321 → .274; ISO .182 → .146; BABIP .319 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAARound Rock Express · 88 PAwOBA .259 → .234 (−25)K% 36.4% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.072 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 26.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .259 → .234; ISO .077 → .065; BABIP .326 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rangers · 16 PAwOBA .683 → .448 (−236)K% 31.2% → 45.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.071 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 11.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 9.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 42.86% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 32.12% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 113, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .683 → .448; ISO .833 → .560; BABIP .500 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AHickory Crawdads · 319 PAwOBA .346 → .257 (−90)K% 22.3% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.26% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.78% | ÷0.955 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.75% | ÷1.033 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.106 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 4.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.907 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.183 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 5.05% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 107, 2B 121, 3B 81, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .346 → .257; ISO .212 → .145; BABIP .290 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 159 PAwOBA .326 → .242 (−83)K% 30.8% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.82% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.042 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.152 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 3.79% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .242; ISO .141 → .103; BABIP .341 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKBristol Pirates · 175 PAwOBA .381 → .284 (−97)K% 24.0% → 34.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 34.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 11.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.71% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 20.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 5.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .381 → .284; ISO .201 → .154; BABIP .319 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Pirates · 259 PAwOBA .392 → .260 (−132)K% 18.9% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 13.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.979 | ×1.008 | 11.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.979 | ×1.008 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.979 | ×1.008 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 2.86% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .392 → .260; ISO .237 → .135; BABIP .296 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).