Moisés Castillo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA/A+STL | 335 | .217/.301/.321 | 6 | 5 | 38 | — | .176/.248/.251 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 521 | .265/.364/.341 | 4 | 10 | 73 | — | .225/.298/.285 |
| 2023 | 24 | AACWS | 424 | .225/.315/.308 | 5 | 3 | 44 | — | .189/.258/.259 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 257 | 209 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 365 | 316 | 681 | 72 | 311 | 18 | 14 | 311 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 109 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 333 | 349 | 682 | 101 | 321 | 22 | 8 | 308 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 193 | 170 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 332 | 353 | 685 | 100 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 61 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 246 | 132 | 378 | 189 | 26 | 10 | 197 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | — | 274 | 246 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 72 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 236 | 314 | 362 | 676 | 126 | 310 | 26 | 7 | 308 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 269 | 233 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 236 | 331 | 318 | 648 | 82 | 283 | 17 | 12 | 298 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 196 | 164 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 37 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 280 | 392 | 323 | 715 | 43 | 352 | 19 | 14 | 333 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 56 | 49 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 347 | 429 | 510 | 939 | 163 | 400 | 14 | 11 | 417 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 424 | 373 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 76 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 315 | 308 | 623 | 83 | 269 | 18 | 10 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 257 | 220 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 164 | 261 | 205 | 466 | 41 | 212 | 22 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 252 | 265 | 518 | 80 | 266 | 31 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 193 | 176 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 199 | 258 | 273 | 531 | 74 | 251 | 28 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 61 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 197 | 109 | 306 | 185 | 33 | 7 | 162 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 274 | 251 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 97 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 191 | 259 | 283 | 542 | 92 | 284 | 35 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 269 | 242 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 57 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 219 | 289 | 298 | 587 | 79 | 269 | 21 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 196 | 175 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 309 | 269 | 578 | 34 | 314 | 26 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 424 | 386 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 99 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 189 | 258 | 259 | 517 | 70 | 239 | 23 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 257 | 220 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 164 | 261 | 205 | 466 | 41 | 218 | 22 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 257 | 209 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 365 | 316 | 681 | 72 | 311 | 18 | 14 | 311 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 252 | 265 | 518 | 80 | 274 | 31 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 109 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 333 | 349 | 682 | 101 | 321 | 22 | 8 | 308 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 193 | 176 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 199 | 258 | 273 | 531 | 74 | 264 | 28 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 193 | 170 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 253 | 332 | 353 | 685 | 100 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 309 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 306 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 117 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 176 | 248 | 252 | 499 | 75 | 270 | 35 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 335 | 299 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 88 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 217 | 301 | 321 | 623 | 104 | 288 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 521 | 468 | 105 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 120 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 224 | 297 | 282 | 579 | 58 | 292 | 23 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 521 | 446 | 118 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 65 | 91 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 265 | 364 | 341 | 705 | 76 | 321 | 17 | 12 | 324 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 424 | 386 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 99 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 189 | 258 | 259 | 517 | 70 | 242 | 23 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 424 | 373 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 76 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 315 | 308 | 623 | 83 | 269 | 18 | 10 | 289 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 257 | 226 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 57 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 159 | 261 | 199 | 460 | 40 | 212 | 22 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 125 | 114 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 184 | 252 | 263 | 515 | 79 | 266 | 31 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 193 | 177 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 258 | 271 | 529 | 73 | 251 | 28 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 335 | 303 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 117 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 178 | 248 | 254 | 502 | 76 | 266 | 35 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 521 | 468 | 105 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 120 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 224 | 297 | 282 | 579 | 58 | 288 | 23 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 424 | 385 | 73 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 99 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 190 | 258 | 260 | 518 | 70 | 239 | 23 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1855 | 1669 | 324 | 57 | 3 | 15 | 133 | 486 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 194 | 267 | 259 | 526 | 65 | 262 | 26 | 7 | 236 | 46 | -120 | +1 | +0 | +20 | +40 | -6.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 113 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 47 | 170 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 193 | 268 | 256 | 524 | 63 | 261 | 26 | 7 | 236 | 46 | -42 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABirmingham Barons · 424 PAwOBA .283 → .233 (−50)K% 17.9% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.92% | ÷0.938 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.069 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 18.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.68% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 93, K 88, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .283 → .233; ISO .083 → .072; BABIP .269 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABirmingham Barons · 269 PAwOBA .293 → .258 (−35)K% 17.1% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.10% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.993 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 20.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.95% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.880 | ×0.997 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.056 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.83% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 89, 3B 97, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .293 → .258; ISO .082 → .076; BABIP .283 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 196 PAwOBA .329 → .262 (−67)K% 18.9% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.88% | ÷0.953 | ×1.310 | — | — | 25.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.78% | ÷1.037 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.28% | ÷0.956 | ×0.870 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 29.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.056 | ×0.780 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 2.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.001 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .329 → .262; ISO .043 → .035; BABIP .352 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Peoria Chiefs · 274 PAwOBA .300 → .237 (−63)K% 26.3% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.93% | ÷0.984 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.99% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 21.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.063 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 2.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .300 → .237; ISO .126 → .093; BABIP .310 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASpringfield Cardinals · 61 PAwOBA .193 → .162 (−30)K% 26.2% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.23% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 2.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.003 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 18.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.107 | ×0.870 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.973 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 101, 2B 121, 3B 95, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .193 → .162; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .189 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKJohnson City Cardinals · 193 PAwOBA .304 → .231 (−73)K% 19.7% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 6.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 2.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.009 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .304 → .231; ISO .100 → .075; BABIP .300 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Cardinals · 125 PAwOBA .300 → .223 (−78)K% 21.6% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.20% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.025 | ×1.022 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.97% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .300 → .223; ISO .101 → .072; BABIP .321 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Cardinals · 257 PAwOBA .303 → .217 (−86)K% 18.3% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 16.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.022 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .303 → .217; ISO .072 → .047; BABIP .311 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .