Seuly Matias
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 21 | INTLGigantes del … | 18 | .267/.389/.800 | 2 | 0 | 221 | — | |
| 2021 | 22 | AA/A+/ROK/INTL4 orgs | 365 | .208/.307/.489 | 24 | 6 | 69 | — | .159/.240/.370 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 443 | .220/.328/.405 | 16 | 6 | 67 | — | .185/.273/.350 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 225 | 196 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 235 | 333 | 439 | 772 | 204 | 373 | 38 | 11 | 344 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 246 | 222 | 54 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 72 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 303 | 423 | 726 | 180 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 315 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 376 | 338 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 31 | 24 | 131 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 231 | 305 | 550 | 855 | 320 | 264 | 35 | 6 | 368 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 45 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 289 | 244 | 533 | 24 | 265 | 16 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 221 | 189 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 148 | 261 | 307 | 568 | 159 | 270 | 44 | 11 | 258 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 18 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 389 | 800 | 1.189 | 533 | 200 | 17 | 6 | 494 | 221 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 93 | 83 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 193 | 280 | 494 | 774 | 301 | 220 | 38 | 9 | 336 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 159 | 141 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 302 | 504 | 805 | 291 | 274 | 36 | 8 | 350 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Royals Gold | — | 17 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 562 | 727 | 1.290 | 364 | 500 | 29 | 24 | 512 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 96 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 195 | 298 | 427 | 725 | 232 | 217 | 33 | 12 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 414 | 347 | 78 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 48 | 139 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 225 | 334 | 424 | 758 | 199 | 312 | 34 | 12 | 333 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 29 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 241 | 154 | 395 | 250 | 34 | 3 | 200 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 225 | 205 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 124 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 137 | 213 | 254 | 467 | 117 | 299 | 55 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 246 | 228 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 294 | 510 | 123 | 257 | 41 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 376 | 347 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 176 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 159 | 219 | 369 | 588 | 210 | 215 | 47 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 221 | 199 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 170 | 186 | 356 | 95 | 231 | 62 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 93 | 85 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 141 | 215 | 353 | 568 | 212 | 188 | 44 | 6 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 159 | 144 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 77 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 153 | 233 | 354 | 587 | 201 | 231 | 48 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals Gold | — | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 438 | 615 | 1.053 | 308 | 377 | 41 | 12 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 414 | 363 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 172 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 185 | 273 | 350 | 623 | 165 | 276 | 42 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 225 | 205 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 124 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 137 | 213 | 254 | 467 | 117 | 303 | 55 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Royals | — | 225 | 196 | 46 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 235 | 333 | 439 | 772 | 204 | 373 | 38 | 11 | 344 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 246 | 228 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 294 | 510 | 123 | 270 | 41 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | Burlington Royals | — | 246 | 222 | 54 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 72 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 243 | 303 | 423 | 726 | 180 | 318 | 29 | 7 | 315 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 389 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 24 | 17 | 197 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 159 | 220 | 373 | 592 | 213 | 224 | 47 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 379 | 87 | 14 | 1 | 31 | 27 | 138 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 230 | 303 | 517 | 820 | 288 | 264 | 33 | 6 | 355 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 221 | 199 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 170 | 186 | 356 | 95 | 242 | 62 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 221 | 189 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 148 | 261 | 307 | 568 | 159 | 270 | 44 | 11 | 258 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 18 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 389 | 800 | 1.189 | 533 | 200 | 17 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 18 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 389 | 800 | 1.189 | 533 | 200 | 17 | 6 | 494 | 221 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 365 | 330 | 51 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 171 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 155 | 229 | 367 | 596 | 212 | 229 | 47 | 6 | 255 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 365 | 317 | 66 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 36 | 130 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 208 | 307 | 489 | 796 | 281 | 253 | 36 | 10 | 345 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 387 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 184 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 186 | 278 | 351 | 629 | 165 | 292 | 42 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 443 | 373 | 82 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 149 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 328 | 405 | 733 | 185 | 307 | 34 | 11 | 325 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 225 | 203 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 124 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 138 | 213 | 256 | 469 | 118 | 299 | 55 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 246 | 231 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 102 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 216 | 290 | 506 | 121 | 257 | 41 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 388 | 62 | 9 | 1 | 24 | 17 | 197 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 160 | 220 | 374 | 593 | 214 | 215 | 47 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 221 | 200 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 136 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 90 | 170 | 185 | 355 | 95 | 231 | 62 | 7 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 365 | 330 | 51 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 171 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 155 | 229 | 367 | 596 | 212 | 225 | 47 | 6 | 255 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 391 | 72 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 184 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 184 | 278 | 348 | 625 | 164 | 276 | 42 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1939 | 1753 | 274 | 56 | 12 | 72 | 118 | 917 | 48 | 24 | 10 | 156 | 229 | 325 | 554 | 169 | 258 | 47 | 6 | 235 | 45 | -127 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +42 | -9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 92 | 19 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 307 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 156 | 230 | 325 | 555 | 168 | 259 | 47 | 6 | 235 | 45 | -43 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 414 PAwOBA .330 → .272 (−59)K% 33.6% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.57% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 19.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 6.88% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 99, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .330 → .272; ISO .199 → .170; BABIP .312 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 159 PAwOBA .341 → .240 (−101)K% 36.5% → 48.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.48% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 48.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 3.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.46% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 12.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 3.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.05% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 9.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .341 → .240; ISO .291 → .198; BABIP .274 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 93 PAwOBA .327 → .253 (−74)K% 37.6% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.63% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.42% | ÷0.980 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 9.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.117 | ×0.870 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.58% | ÷0.957 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 12.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .327 → .253; ISO .301 → .230; BABIP .220 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Royals Gold · 17 PAwOBA .531 → .399 (−131)K% 29.4% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.995 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.004 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 14.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 26.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.949 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 12.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.006 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 12.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 100, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .531 → .399; ISO .364 → .302; BABIP .500 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 221 PAwOBA .254 → .165 (−89)K% 44.3% → 61.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.34% | ÷1.024 | ×1.420 | — | — | 61.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.31% | ÷1.102 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.81% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.99% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 10.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.99% | ÷0.994 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 3.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷0.884 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 4.60% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 100, 2B 99, 3B 84, K 105, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .254 → .165; ISO .159 → .107; BABIP .270 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ALexington Legends · 376 PAwOBA .358 → .249 (−109)K% 34.8% → 46.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 46.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.12% | ÷1.016 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.94% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×1.030 | 14.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷1.112 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×1.030 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.977 | ×1.030 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.98% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 12.03% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 109, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .358 → .249; ISO .320 → .216; BABIP .264 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKBurlington Royals · 246 PAwOBA .311 → .219 (−92)K% 29.3% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 41.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 3.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 1.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 3.76% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .311 → .219; ISO .180 → .124; BABIP .318 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Royals · 225 PAwOBA .334 → .206 (−128)K% 38.2% → 55.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 55.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.018 | ×1.022 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.022 | 8.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.018 | ×1.022 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 5.80% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .334 → .206; ISO .204 → .120; BABIP .373 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .